STMicroelectronics (STM) Allora ... StMicroelectronics: Medium Term Analysis (3 lettori)

magneto

Forumer attivo
CIAO CURFRA vi leggo sempre volentieri spesso anche a tarda notte quando torno a casa dalla solita scappatella con gli amici :D ed è sempre un gran piacere leggere CURFRA PORFIRIO E SBIT.
Scrivo quello che ho scritto nel post di PORFIRIO scusami ma per favore non litigate :) :) :D :D :-D :-D :( :( ciao a tutti con stima davide.
 

curfr@

Forumer storico
magneto ha scritto:
CIAO CURFRA vi leggo sempre volentieri spesso anche a tarda notte quando torno a casa dalla solita scappatella con gli amici :D ed è sempre un gran piacere leggere CURFRA PORFIRIO E SBIT.
Scrivo quello che ho scritto nel post di PORFIRIO scusami ma per favore non litigate :) :) :D :D :-D :-D :( :( ciao a tutti con stima davide.

Io non litigo: discuto!
Qualora questo non fosse piu possibile applico la piu sublime forma dell'arte: il silenzio!

In ogni caso....meglio leggere quanto segue!


Reuters

Wall Street Seen Down Ahead of Greenspan
Wednesday September 8, 6:11 am ET

By Huw Jones


LONDON (Reuters) - Wall Street was set to open weaker on Wednesday ahead of a key speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, with the technology sector on edge before a business update from Texas Instruments .
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By 5:52 a.m. EDT, U.S. stock futures were pointing to opening losses of between 0.3 and 0.5 percent for the three main indexes .
Wall Street rose on Tuesday but dealers said the advance lacked conviction.

"The rally last night came on light volume, a fizzler rather than a sizzler. The market is a bit ahead of itself and technology is going nowhere," said Steve Previs of Jefferies International.

Greenspan will testify on the U.S. economic outlook before the House Budget Committee at 1430 GMT. The central bank's FOMC interest rate setting committee is due to meet in just 13 days.

"With less than two weeks until the next FOMC meeting, Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan's testimony today will be of interest to the market. We doubt that he will say anything to alter the view that the Fed will hike another 25 basis points on September 21," Bear Stearns investment bank said.

The Fed's "beige book" of economic activity in the U.S. regions will also be eagerly awaited to see if high oil prices have had any impact. The report is due at 2 p.m. EDT.

Burger chain McDonald's reports August sales.

TECH EYED

Texas Instruments will present its mid-quarter business update after Wall Street's close as investors in technology hope for some good news.

The event comes after rival chipmaker Intel presented a weak update last week, and investors will scrutinize the Texas Instruments report to see if Intel's problems were company specific or industry-wide.

Also in the sector, dealers said Piper Jaffray cut its rating on the stock of software group Oracle to "market perform" from "outperform."

Meanwhile, Viacom has begun a share exchange offer to split off its Blockbuster unit and put the video rental chain in the hands of Viacom shareholders, the company said late on Wednesday.

After the closing bell on Tuesday, shares in Tellabs rose more than 12 percent while those of Advanced Fibre Communications slipped.

Tellabs and Advanced Fibre Communications Inc. on Tuesday said they had amended the terms of the firms' previously announced merger, bringing the deal's estimated value to $1.5 billion from $1.85 billion.

General Electric,a pioneer of outsourcing to India, is considering the sale of its back-office services business in the country for $1 billion, the Economic Times newspaper said on Wednesday.

DRUG FOCUS

In the pharmaceutical sector, generic drug maker Mylan Laboratories Inc. rose more than 2 percent after the bell on Tuesday to $18.50, from their $18.08 close on the New York Stock Exchange.

Financier Carl Icahn said he had bought a 6.8 percent stake in the group and is vowing to oppose the generic drug maker's proposed purchase of King Pharmaceuticals .

Elsewhere in the sector, Swiss Serono moved to fatten up its product pipeline as Europe's biggest biotechnology company unveiled plans to take a stake worth $50 million in U.S. firm ZymoGenetics in a deal to develop new drugs.

On Tuesday, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 0.8 percent at 10,342.79 points, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.76 percent at 1,858.56 points.
 

curfr@

Forumer storico
Reuters
Stocks Seen Down Before Greenspan Speaks
Wednesday September 8, 7:03 am ET


NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks looked to open lower on Wednesday ahead of a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, with a downgrade of software maker Oracle Corp. (likely to add pressure on the market.
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Piper Jaffray cut its rating on Oracle, one of the world's biggest software makers, to "market perform" from "outperform." The downgrade comes after chipmaker Intel Corp. reported a weak update last week that weighed heavily on the market.

Greenspan will testify on the U.S. economic outlook before the House Budget Committee at 10:30 a.m. EDT. The central bank's FOMC interest rate setting committee is due to meet in just 13 days.

The Fed is expected to raise interest rates another 25 basis points.

S&P 500 futures were down 2 points, below fair value accounting for dividends, interest rates and time to expiration on the contract, indicating the market would open slightly lower.

Dow Jones industrial index futures fell 22 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 5 points.

"We're looking at a mildly lower open, and I think this is mainly due to caution before Greenspan speaks," said Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co., adding that he expected the Fed chairman to "stay on message."

"I think we're also down on the Oracle downgrade and some profit taking from yesterday," Hogan added.

The Fed's "beige book" of economic activity in the U.S. regions will also be eagerly awaited to see if high oil prices have had any impact. The report is due at 1800 GMT.

Oil prices eased again on Wednesday as increased OPEC supplies weighed on market sentiment.

U.S. light crude (CLc1) shed 26 cents to $43.05 a barrel, down more than $6 from August's all-time peak of $49.40.

In corporate news, burger chain McDonald's Corp.reports August sales.

Texas Instruments will present its mid-quarter business update after Wall Street's close as investors in technology hope for some good news.

Investors will scrutinize the Texas Instruments Inc.'s (report to see if rival Intel's problems were company specific or industry-wide.

After the closing bell on Tuesday, shares in Tellabs Inc. rose more than 12 percent while those of Advanced Fibre Communications Inc. slipped. The two companies said they had amended the terms of their previously announced merger, bringing the deal's estimated value to $1.5 billion from $1.85 billion.

In the pharmaceutical sector, generic drug maker Mylan Laboratories Inc. rose more than 2 percent after the bell on Tuesday to $18.50, from their $18.08 close on the New York Stock Exchange .

Financier Carl Icahn said he had bought a 6.8 percent stake in the group and is vowing to oppose the generic drug maker's proposed purchase of King Pharmaceuticals

On Tuesday, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 0.8 percent at 10,342.79 points, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.76 percent at 1,858.56 points.
 

curfr@

Forumer storico
1094644525immagine.jpg
 

curfr@

Forumer storico
1094645036immagine.jpg


Tutto puo succedere: ma per il momento è meglio attenersi ai fatti!
Stop in ogni caso sul livello 13.70 - 13.75!
 

bingo_bongoo

Forumer storico
INTEL in preopen a 19,85.............

però un giretto a 19,30 è più che mai certo..............quasi.......

diciamo altissime probabilità............

e se INTEL dovrà perdere 55 cent.................

figuriamoci STM.....................come sfonda il minimo e vola a 13,00


1094647884screenhunter_894.gif
 

bingo_bongoo

Forumer storico
già che ci siamo..............

una conferma che bisogna abbandonare la nave, a gambe levate!!!

STM se si fermerà lo farà a 11,50 dollari, mica scemi quelli di FINMECCANICA loro hanno le PUTtan..... che gli parano le ciapet.....

:-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D

1094648149screenhunter_895.gif
 

deardevil

Forumer storico
Re: su Mib30

tontolina ha scritto:
curfr@ ha scritto:
deardevil ha scritto:
27500 lo ritieni un obiettivo di correzione realistico?

Beh...la fase è congestionata! Le misurazioni statistiche che ho fatto sulla serie storica sono chiare su una crescente probabilità di ribasso: diciamo che monitoro attentamente il supporto a 27640.
Oltre questo livello si deve valutare attentamente una significativa possibilità di reversal dw...con primo target a 27420.
ti consiglio di seguire uno stocastico lento per la misurazione del ciclo in questa fase....
ciao
per un attimo ho temuto.....
gli animi sono ben caldi in questi giorni...
e i malintesi all'ordine del giorno
ciao[/quote




Grazie, sempre gentile!
 

curfr@

Forumer storico
bingo_bongoo ha scritto:
INTEL in preopen a 19,85.............

però un giretto a 19,30 è più che mai certo..............quasi.......

diciamo altissime probabilità............

e se INTEL dovrà perdere 55 cent.................

figuriamoci STM.....................come sfonda il minimo e vola a 13,00


1094647884screenhunter_894.gif



Solo 13.00? Se rompe il minimo a 13.47 penso che si vada ben oltre piu in basso...di quel valore!
Statisticamente si registrano dei ribassi sugli indici in Settembre: quello attuale è già in ritardo sulla media dei mmax registrati in passato ma sostanzialmente in linea con la dimensione dello swing rialzista da cui dovrebbe generarsi!
Non è impossibile che ci sia un ribasso sugli indici di circa 12-15 sedute...e chi ( i professionals ) deve fare i conti con il giusto timing non puo permettersi di posizionarsi in anticipo rispetto a variabili misurate statisticamente.
Cosa voglio dire? Bassi volumi: se non si è short al massimo si "flatta"! Di rialzi tali da giustificare long positions, salvo che speculative (parlo di escursioni dell'ordine del 5%) non credo possa parlarsi!
Finchè i mercati rimangono choppy...è dura...anche per chi è short! Bisogna lottare con gli stop hunters professionisti...e quelli non sono scemi!
In ogni caso quel 5% circa di cui ti dicevo...a me non fa schifo: se dovessi riuscire a catturarlo ben venga altrimenti esco dallo short e mi metto flat!
Sono paziente...
 

deardevil

Forumer storico
bingo_bongoo ha scritto:
già che ci siamo..............

una conferma che bisogna abbandonare la nave, a gambe levate!!!

STM se si fermerà lo farà a 11,50 dollari, mica scemi quelli di FINMECCANICA loro hanno le PUTtan..... che gli parano le ciapet.....

:-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D :-D

1094648149screenhunter_895.gif



OK.
Ora ti chiedo: perché non si fermerà a 16,85?
E poi: Tu pensi che i volumi di STM-NY possano veramente avvalorare le ipotesi tecniche?
 

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