bund & c.: la partenza a razzo. Seduti? Pronti? Viaaaaaa
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Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
Bonjour a tout les bondaroles
stica che salto, si son decisi alla fine! ora il test decisivo sulla quota TOTEMICA 113,5 , non sarà per oggi perchè altrimenti sarebbe mostruoso
tutti le r daily superate, rimane la r2 weekly a 113,4375
ric che hai fatto poi con quella call?
stica che salto, si son decisi alla fine! ora il test decisivo sulla quota TOTEMICA 113,5 , non sarà per oggi perchè altrimenti sarebbe mostruoso
tutti le r daily superate, rimane la r2 weekly a 113,4375ric che hai fatto poi con quella call?
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
Treasuries rally on view Fed rate hikes might slow
Wed Dec 14, 2005
By Ellen Freilich
NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - Treasury debt prices rallied on Wednesday, adding to gains scored after the Federal Reserve hinted on Tuesday that its year-and-a-half long campaign of rate hikes might be waning.
"The market is taking some of the risk off the table that the Fed might be raising rates a lot further," said James Caron, derivatives strategist at Merrill Lynch.
On Tuesday, the Fed increased its benchmark federal funds rate by a quarter-percentage point to 4.25 percent, the highest level since April 2001.
But the market paid greater attention to what the Fed said in its policy statement.
In that statement, the Fed dropped a reference to "monetary policy accommodation," implying that monetary conditions were no longer actively stimulating economic growth.
"Clearly the Fed believes they're no longer accommodative and that they've moved into neutral territory," Caron said. "They're talking about some additional tightening, but that could be 25 basis points, or 50, or 75; we don't know. But the market is removing some of the tightening risk. That's why we are rallying."
Analysts said that by removing its reference to monetary policy accommodation, which implied that monetary conditions were still too stimulative given the economy's current growth profile, the Fed signaled the beginning of the end of a rate increase series that has pushed the fed funds rate up 3.25 percentage points in quarter-percentage-point increments.
In early dealings, benchmark 10-year notes were up 10/32, their yield easing to 4.48 percent from 4.53 percent on Tuesday. Two-year notes rose 1/32, their yields easing to 4.39 percent from 4.42 percent on Tuesday.
Five-year notes were up 5/32, their yields easing to 4.39 percent from 4.43 percent, while the 30-year bond was up 18/32, its yield easing to 4.69 percent from 4.73 percent on Tuesday.
Even so, analysts noted that the Fed had explicitly said that "some further measured policy firming" was likely.
A Reuters poll published late Tuesday showed that Wall Street is convinced that the Fed will raise interest rates at least one more time and that a majority of economists see more than one rate rise ahead in the New Year. Half of the 20 economists polled estimated that the federal funds rate would rise to 5.0 percent or higher by the end of the year.
The Fed next meets in January. Its March policy meeting will the first one for the new Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, and economists are divided over whether he will want to mark his new tenure with a rate rise. The Reuters poll found 15 of 20 analysts expect an increase in March, up from 12 analysts in the previous survey taken last month.
A government report released early in the trading session showed that the U.S. trade deficit widened unexpectedly in October to a record $68.9 billion despite a drop in the cost of imported oil. The news evoked little reaction in the bond market, however.
"The market didn't really react to the trade deficit," said Caron. "The deficit widened, but that's not really new news."
Wed Dec 14, 2005
By Ellen Freilich
NEW YORK, Dec 14 (Reuters) - Treasury debt prices rallied on Wednesday, adding to gains scored after the Federal Reserve hinted on Tuesday that its year-and-a-half long campaign of rate hikes might be waning.
"The market is taking some of the risk off the table that the Fed might be raising rates a lot further," said James Caron, derivatives strategist at Merrill Lynch.
On Tuesday, the Fed increased its benchmark federal funds rate by a quarter-percentage point to 4.25 percent, the highest level since April 2001.
But the market paid greater attention to what the Fed said in its policy statement.
In that statement, the Fed dropped a reference to "monetary policy accommodation," implying that monetary conditions were no longer actively stimulating economic growth.
"Clearly the Fed believes they're no longer accommodative and that they've moved into neutral territory," Caron said. "They're talking about some additional tightening, but that could be 25 basis points, or 50, or 75; we don't know. But the market is removing some of the tightening risk. That's why we are rallying."
Analysts said that by removing its reference to monetary policy accommodation, which implied that monetary conditions were still too stimulative given the economy's current growth profile, the Fed signaled the beginning of the end of a rate increase series that has pushed the fed funds rate up 3.25 percentage points in quarter-percentage-point increments.
In early dealings, benchmark 10-year notes were up 10/32, their yield easing to 4.48 percent from 4.53 percent on Tuesday. Two-year notes rose 1/32, their yields easing to 4.39 percent from 4.42 percent on Tuesday.
Five-year notes were up 5/32, their yields easing to 4.39 percent from 4.43 percent, while the 30-year bond was up 18/32, its yield easing to 4.69 percent from 4.73 percent on Tuesday.
Even so, analysts noted that the Fed had explicitly said that "some further measured policy firming" was likely.
A Reuters poll published late Tuesday showed that Wall Street is convinced that the Fed will raise interest rates at least one more time and that a majority of economists see more than one rate rise ahead in the New Year. Half of the 20 economists polled estimated that the federal funds rate would rise to 5.0 percent or higher by the end of the year.
The Fed next meets in January. Its March policy meeting will the first one for the new Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, and economists are divided over whether he will want to mark his new tenure with a rate rise. The Reuters poll found 15 of 20 analysts expect an increase in March, up from 12 analysts in the previous survey taken last month.
A government report released early in the trading session showed that the U.S. trade deficit widened unexpectedly in October to a record $68.9 billion despite a drop in the cost of imported oil. The news evoked little reaction in the bond market, however.
"The market didn't really react to the trade deficit," said Caron. "The deficit widened, but that's not really new news."
gastronomo
Forumer storico
ric che hai fatto poi con quella call?[/quote]
Quelle sul bund ahime le ho ancora
, sul tbronx venduta troppo presto...non credevo superasse 112.75.....comunque va bene lo stesso, un prodotto nuovo da imparare e con cui esercitarsi 
.
Al di là delle considerazioni su quel che farà la FED credo che dietro sto balzo ci sia un bel tirare i remi in barca per la fine dell'anno, il nikkei ha beccato una gran scoppola e quindi si posizionano risk free.
Quelle sul bund ahime le ho ancora
, sul tbronx venduta troppo presto...non credevo superasse 112.75.....comunque va bene lo stesso, un prodotto nuovo da imparare e con cui esercitarsi .Al di là delle considerazioni su quel che farà la FED credo che dietro sto balzo ci sia un bel tirare i remi in barca per la fine dell'anno, il nikkei ha beccato una gran scoppola e quindi si posizionano risk free.
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
spread 30y-10y sulle 4 figure
e pensare che iniziai a tradare sul T-bond durante la mega discesa da 124 a 104 quando i tassi stavano all'1,25-1%
aggiornamento grafico feticcio
e pensare che iniziai a tradare sul T-bond durante la mega discesa da 124 a 104 quando i tassi stavano all'1,25-1%
aggiornamento grafico feticcio
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
gastronomo ha scritto:
Quelle sul bund ahime le ho ancora
, sul tbronx venduta troppo presto...non credevo superasse 112.75.....comunque va bene lo stesso, un prodotto nuovo da imparare e con cui esercitarsi .Al di là delle considerazioni su quel che farà la FED credo che dietro sto balzo ci sia un bel tirare i remi in barca per la fine dell'anno, il nikkei ha beccato una gran scoppola e quindi si posizionano risk free.[/quote]
da spezzarti le manine
la reattività di quella call sta diventando esplosivad'altronde se si da uno sguardo al cot di venerdì scorso
si può dedurre che i funds oggi si son lanciati alla ricopertura e i grossi si divertono con i forconi a squeezarli
sul 10y invece sia i funds che i commercials erano net long per cui cerino acceso lasciato in mano ai piccoli
f4f
翠鸟科
gastronomo ha scritto:
Quelle sul bund ahime le ho ancora
, sul tbronx venduta troppo presto...non credevo superasse 112.75.....comunque va bene lo stesso, un prodotto nuovo da imparare e con cui esercitarsi .Al di là delle considerazioni su quel che farà la FED credo che dietro sto balzo ci sia un bel tirare i remi in barca per la fine dell'anno, il nikkei ha beccato una gran scoppola e quindi si posizionano risk free.[/quote]
magari stasera si parla anke di opz
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
nein da maggio 2001 son passato al T-bronx, se proprio vuoi gli steps veloci di carriera '99 azioni - poi cw - minifib - minind100 - Bund - t-Bronx ----> l'infinito 
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