Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE BUND, TBOND and the middle of the guado (VM 69)

[PILU]

CHICAGO (MF-DJ)--L'indice Cfnai elaborato dalla Fed di Chicago, che
misura l'attivita' economica del distretto, a luglio si e' attestato -0,74
punti, in rialzo dal -1,82 di giugno.

Il miglioramento dell'indice, si legge in una nota, e' dovuto a tutte e
quattro le sotto componenti (reddito e produzione, occupazione, consumi,
vendite).

La media dei tre mesi a luglio e' salita a -1,69 da -2,18 dei tre mesi a
giugno, ma suggerisce ancora una volta che la crescita dell'attivita'
economica negli Usa rimane abbondantemente al di sotto del trend storico.

Per quanto riguarda l'inflazione, prosegue la nota, l'indice
suggerisce che le pressioni inflative provenienti dall'attivita' economica
resteranno basse anche nel prossimo anno.
com/rug

no comment

 

[PILU]

http://www.wallstreetitalia.com/articolo.aspx?art_id=771578

 

[quicksilver]

The Weekly Report For August 24th - August 28th, 2009

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Commentary: Options expiration week ended with a bang, with a strong display by the bulls. The general markets surged to new rally highs after an early-week pullback threatened to become a more serious correction. All the major market indexes gapped down sharply on Monday and finished the day at their lows, hinting at more weakness to come during the week. However, beginning Tuesday, the markets began to stair-step their way higher, and ended with a sharp move to new highs by Friday. Financials had a strong week, with banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) finishing the week at new recovery highs. Several oil stocks also rallied sharply to close out the week, after threatening to break down. The Oil Service HOLDRs ETF (NYSE:OIH) started Monday by breaking under near-term support, but still rallied to clear its base by Friday. In the end, it was a volatile week that ended up frustrating short sellers once again.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]IN PICTURES: 7 Tools Of The Trade[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

In looking at the chart for the S&P 500 SPDRS (NYSE:SPY) ETF, you can see the gap down on Monday that took the ETF below its 20-day moving average. The gap down was ominous at the time, and looked like it was the start of a deeper correction that would lead to a test of the July breakout. However, SPY recovered throughout the week, and cleared the small consolidation area it formed through July. As noted on the chart, SPY is starting to show a MACD divergence, which hints at waning momentum. The August low is now an important level to watch if the breakout ends up reversing next week. (For related reading, check out What does it mean to use technical divergence in trading?)

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Diamonds Trust Series 1 (NYSE:DIA) ETF, which tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average, shows a similar pattern. DIA ended the week at new highs after Monday's gap down, but is showing the same MACD divergence as SPY. While these divergences can resolve themselves through time, they often serve as a warning that a move is getting extended. [/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The iShares Russell 2000 Index (NYSE:IWM) ETF chart is showing more of the same. IWM has now held support above its November highs and could be targeting a test of a major prior support level near $64. This was the level that held on three separate occasions in 2008 until finally giving way through the sharp decline during the financial crisis. As a former support level, it could serve as formidable resistance moving forward. [/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Powershares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq:QQQQ) continues to diverge from its peers. While the other major index ETFs rallied to new highs, QQQQ surprisingly held at resistance. This may end up being a minor blip if QQQQ follows its peers higher next week, but it serves as an additional caution signal. Tech stocks have led for the majority of this rally, and the fact that they are lagging at this point is definitely worth monitoring.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]



[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Have a Great Day![/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]By Joey Fundora[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Joey Fundora is an independent trader located in South Florida. Joey focuses on using technical analysis techniques to uncover supply and demand imbalances in equities. To see more of his work, visit his site on Stock Chart Analysis.[/FONT]

 

[Fernando'S]

nessuna voglia di ribasso
c'è T&S che copre un arco temporale di circa 10 mesi che chiama i 29'000
T&S 29'000, C=A circa 26'000, C=1,62 di A cira 31000
il ritracciamento di tutto il ribasso dai max ai min di marzo09:
il 50% è a 28'500 , il 38% è a 24'500
...che palle !

 

[PILU]

nessuna voglia di ribasso
c'è T&S che copre un arco temporale di circa 10 mesi che chiama i 29'000
T&S 29'000, C=A circa 26'000, C=1,62 di A cira 31000
il ritracciamento di tutto il ribasso dai max ai min di marzo09:
il 50% è a 28'500 , il 38% è a 24'500
...che palle !

ma alla rottura della trend non si è visto un aumento dei volumi conseguente ..può essere una falsa rottura "agostana" ? ovvero una bella trappola come quella ribassista di qualche settimana fa ?

 

[Fernando'S]

ma alla rottura della trend non si è visto un aumento dei volumi conseguente ..può essere una falsa rottura "agostana" ? ovvero una bella trappola come quella ribassista di qualche settimana fa ?

...è così su tutti gli indici...
dici che si sono messi d'accordo tutti per mettercelo in quel posto a me e a te ?
..che li possino ammazza !!

 

[f4f]

The Weekly Report For August 24th - August 28th, 2009

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Commentary: Options expiration week ended with a bang, with a strong display by the bulls. The general markets surged to new rally highs after an early-week pullback threatened to become a more serious correction. All the major market indexes gapped down sharply on Monday and finished the day at their lows, hinting at more weakness to come during the week. However, beginning Tuesday, the markets began to stair-step their way higher, and ended with a sharp move to new highs by Friday. Financials had a strong week, with banks like JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) finishing the week at new recovery highs. Several oil stocks also rallied sharply to close out the week, after threatening to break down. The Oil Service HOLDRs ETF (NYSE:OIH) started Monday by breaking under near-term support, but still rallied to clear its base by Friday. In the end, it was a volatile week that ended up frustrating short sellers once again.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]IN PICTURES: 7 Tools Of The Trade[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

In looking at the chart for the S&P 500 SPDRS (NYSE:SPY) ETF, you can see the gap down on Monday that took the ETF below its 20-day moving average. The gap down was ominous at the time, and looked like it was the start of a deeper correction that would lead to a test of the July breakout. However, SPY recovered throughout the week, and cleared the small consolidation area it formed through July. As noted on the chart, SPY is starting to show a MACD divergence, which hints at waning momentum. The August low is now an important level to watch if the breakout ends up reversing next week. (For related reading, check out What does it mean to use technical divergence in trading?)

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Diamonds Trust Series 1 (NYSE:DIA) ETF, which tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average, shows a similar pattern. DIA ended the week at new highs after Monday's gap down, but is showing the same MACD divergence as SPY. While these divergences can resolve themselves through time, they often serve as a warning that a move is getting extended. [/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The iShares Russell 2000 Index (NYSE:IWM) ETF chart is showing more of the same. IWM has now held support above its November highs and could be targeting a test of a major prior support level near $64. This was the level that held on three separate occasions in 2008 until finally giving way through the sharp decline during the financial crisis. As a former support level, it could serve as formidable resistance moving forward. [/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Powershares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq:QQQQ) continues to diverge from its peers. While the other major index ETFs rallied to new highs, QQQQ surprisingly held at resistance. This may end up being a minor blip if QQQQ follows its peers higher next week, but it serves as an additional caution signal. Tech stocks have led for the majority of this rally, and the fact that they are lagging at this point is definitely worth monitoring.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]



[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Have a Great Day![/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]By Joey Fundora[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Joey Fundora is an independent trader located in South Florida. Joey focuses on using technical analysis techniques to uncover supply and demand imbalances in equities. To see more of his work, visit his site on Stock Chart Analysis.[/FONT]

molto apprezzato
grazie

 

[PILU]

...è così su tutti gli indici...
dici che si sono messi d'accordo tutti per mettercelo in quel posto a me e a te ?
..che li possino ammazza !!

essendo qs settimana settimana di aste titoli usa per circa 100 e rotti mld, uno storno ci potrebbe benissimo stare .. la liquidità non basta e devono saperla dosare al fine di lasciare tutto in piedi ... e se vediamo che il rialzo da marzo in poi è andato su sempre con volumi inferiori anche in presenza di rotture di resistenze importanti ..continuare ad avere la forza di salire ancora senza un periodo di riaccumulazione (partendo ben inteso dal presupposto che il peggio sia passato) beh sarebbe una grossa sorpresa per me ..
anche perchè tra le tante notizie ..

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a1YZAQx7tBEk


Aug. 24 (Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp. , saddled with the worst credit-card default rates among its biggest rivals, is shunning the asset-backed securities market it tapped for $13.7 billion last year.

eppure bank of america ultimamente ha fatto delle performance in borsa niente male ....

 

[quicksilver]

molto apprezzato
grazie

quelli vecchi è inutile metterli, poi ogni tanto fanno analisi su settori azionari specialmente in relazione al mercato, questo è l'ultimo: (19 agosto)

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Bank Stocks Not Going Away[/FONT]​

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Commentary: [/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The banks have been front and center throughout the entire financial crisis. At one point, faith in the banks was virtually non-existent, which was to be expected with the banks being the primary group impacted by the whole credit swap mess and imploding real estate prices. Eventually, the Fed had to step in and bail some of the banks out and, more importantly, attempt to restore confidence in the system.[/FONT]



[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Initially, the banks were decimated as the real threat of collapse loomed, but as a group they have been one of the strongest sectors since bottoming out in March. All this continues to take place with a backdrop of negativity to the group, with many traders continuing to make bearish bets on the sector. Despite the negative view toward the group, the bank stocks in general remain in very bullish postures.[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The chart for the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:XLF) summarizes what many of the bank stocks and financials look like. XLF cleared a descending triangle pattern in mid July, and continued to rally through the May highs in August. This rally confirms a higher high, and confirms that the financials are in an intermediate-term uptrend. Even with a healthy pullback, XLF would remain in a bullish setup. The line in the sand right now would be the $11, area which was tested a few times this year.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) looks very similar to the XLF chart, and also shows a stock transitioning into an intermediate-term uptrend. With the move above $15.06, BAC set a higher high, and has been setting higher lows along the way. BAC also has plenty of room to consolidate and pull back without damaging the structure of the uptrend. (For related reading, check out Assessing Bank Assets: Are Your Savings Safe?)[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC) is another bank stock that has maintained its strength after bottoming out in March. While the chart for WFC is very similar to the one for BAC, it has one glaring difference: WFC failed to hold above the May high on the recent rally attempt. This puts it back into a pattern of consolidation. While not necessarily weak, WFC would need to clear the base in order to be considered in an uptrend. [/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]JP Morgan Chase and Co. (NYSE:JPM) is another banking stock that has surged to new highs. It cleared a wedge type consolidation in July, and had been in a persistent trend higher through early August. JPM is now consolidating that rally, while holding above the May highs. This is bullish action, as it is showing there is underlying demand on weakness.[/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Source: StockCharts.com[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Bottom Line[/FONT]
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]While it appears the general markets are beginning a much needed consolidation, the financials have shown very few signs of weakness yet. If the pullback in the markets is tame, it's possible that these bank stocks will be set up for another thrust higher. The banking sector still has a negative connotation attached to it, but there are no signs that these companies are going away. At this point, a move below their July lows would be needed for a trend change. This allows plenty of room for a pullback without damaging the integrity of the existing trend. Of course, in trading there are no certainties, but until bearish patterns appear in the bank stocks, there is no real reason to bet against them. [/FONT]







[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Have a Great Day![/FONT]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]By Joey Fundora Joey Fundora is an independent trader located in South Florida. Joey focuses on using technical analysis techniques to uncover supply and demand imbalances in equities. To see more of his work, visit his site on Stock Chart Analysis. [/FONT]

 

[f4f]

gooood morning bbbbanda