EUR/USD (14 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione Seashore
- Data di Inizio
Forex
Forumer storico
Ciao Francesco,w_fib ha scritto:
ciao Forex
complimenti per il gain, essendo random anche tu qualche volta ci azzecchi
Quindi anche tu stai contando l'attuale rialzo come una sequenza di tre onde, mentre la precedente discesa partita dai massimi è in 5 onde.
Ora si tratta di capire se questa sarà una B o una onda 2 (propendo per la prima ipotesi).
a 1,4711 siamo al 61% del precedente ribasso quindi smollo tutto e mi metto flat in attesa di prendere posizione short di euro
non proprio....io sto considerando che dai massimi a 4966 sia partita onda 4 e da lì si sono sviluppate tre onde di cui la prima e la seconda in 3 onde e la terza in 5 onde...
quindi per quanto mi riguarda credo che a 4366 o giù di lì si sia conclusa onda 4 e sia quindi partita onda 5....e ora saremmo nella sua 3.
Ho chiuso a 4740 perchè mi hanno fatto notare (http://www.learncurrencytrading.com/fxforum/showthread.php?t=13880&page=207 ) che c'è anche la possibilità che onda 4 si stia sviluppando con un triangolo ( anche se onda C, io la conto in 5...ma potrei sbagliarmi ) e se coì fosse questa salita sarebbe onda D e calcolando la sua lunghezza come 61,8 della B arrivo a 4740......e dato che ero gonfio ho preferito portare a casa ( 253 pips x 8 lotti ) tutto e non rischiare....se fosse effettivamente triangolo, da questi livelli potremmo tornare in area 4400-4500...
Personalmente ...mi sforzerò di restare flat...perchè per ora siamo in mezzo al guado..
Ciao e buonaserata....
Forex
Forumer storico
io resto flat....mi voglio godere spensierato questo weekend...corky ha scritto:Oddio come me prudono le manine su sto short!!!
Forex, incontramose più spesso, in questa bellissima Roma ladrona, ce porta tanto bene!!!
P.S. Scusami sorry, giusto per info, sei sempre short? Grazie
magari con una sana pescata....
che pesci si pigliano stamani? fed52
Nuovo forumer
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=66975
Forex - US dollar steady vs euro, yen ahead of next week's Fed policy meeting
HONG KONG (Thomson Financial) -
The US dollar held steady against the euro and yen in afternoon trade in Asia Friday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week.
'The market is anticipating another Fed rate cut again, but they are divided on the size of the reduction,' said Mark Wan, chief analyst at Hang Seng Investment Services Ltd.
On Tuesday the Fed surprised the market by announcing a deep 75 basis point rate cut, a week before its next scheduled meeting, on Jan 29-30. The rate cut triggered a stock market rally in Asia Wednesday and European shares posted strong gains yesterday.
At 1.00 pm (0500 GMT), the dollar was at 107.15 yen, little changed from 107.18 yen in Sydney this morning. The euro was at 1.4750 dollars, little changed from 1.4756.
The Fed will likely cut its key rate by a quarter of a percentage point, Wan said.
'I don't think they need to cut it by 50 basis points,' he said.
The dollar will likely hit 106 yen and the euro will reach 1.490 dollars at the end of this quarter, said Callum Henderson, head of currency strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.
The European Central Bank (ECB) is unlikely to raise its key rate and is more likely to lower it, despite hawkish comments by top ECB officials, Henderson said.
ECB council member Axel Weber took a dismissive tone on a euro-zone rate cut Thursday, adding weight to ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet's statement Wednesday, which suggested he is sticking with his anti-inflation stance and will not follow the Fed in cutting rates.
'Heading into the second half, they will likely cut rather than hike interest rates,' said Henderson.
The ECB is under pressure to follow its peers in the US, the UK and Canada in lowering borrowing costs to help ease credit and encourage consumers and businessmen to borrow, spend and invest and thus help the global economy avoid a recession.
Forex - US dollar steady vs euro, yen ahead of next week's Fed policy meeting
HONG KONG (Thomson Financial) -
The US dollar held steady against the euro and yen in afternoon trade in Asia Friday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week.
'The market is anticipating another Fed rate cut again, but they are divided on the size of the reduction,' said Mark Wan, chief analyst at Hang Seng Investment Services Ltd.
On Tuesday the Fed surprised the market by announcing a deep 75 basis point rate cut, a week before its next scheduled meeting, on Jan 29-30. The rate cut triggered a stock market rally in Asia Wednesday and European shares posted strong gains yesterday.
At 1.00 pm (0500 GMT), the dollar was at 107.15 yen, little changed from 107.18 yen in Sydney this morning. The euro was at 1.4750 dollars, little changed from 1.4756.
The Fed will likely cut its key rate by a quarter of a percentage point, Wan said.
'I don't think they need to cut it by 50 basis points,' he said.
The dollar will likely hit 106 yen and the euro will reach 1.490 dollars at the end of this quarter, said Callum Henderson, head of currency strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.
The European Central Bank (ECB) is unlikely to raise its key rate and is more likely to lower it, despite hawkish comments by top ECB officials, Henderson said.
ECB council member Axel Weber took a dismissive tone on a euro-zone rate cut Thursday, adding weight to ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet's statement Wednesday, which suggested he is sticking with his anti-inflation stance and will not follow the Fed in cutting rates.
'Heading into the second half, they will likely cut rather than hike interest rates,' said Henderson.
The ECB is under pressure to follow its peers in the US, the UK and Canada in lowering borrowing costs to help ease credit and encourage consumers and businessmen to borrow, spend and invest and thus help the global economy avoid a recession.
Ed
Forumer storico
Il ciclo settimanale partito da 14364 è giunto alla 71 esima ora, producendo un rialzo di oltre 400 pti. La media dei rialzi dei settimanali è circa 400 pti. Uno short adesso, a metà ciclo, è poco riskioso.
Ed
PS. forex, se ho capito bene, fai chiudere una 4 a 14364 oppure a 14309?
Ed
PS. forex, se ho capito bene, fai chiudere una 4 a 14364 oppure a 14309?
Forex
Forumer storico
Buongiorno Ed,Ed ha scritto:
Per essere chiaro:
4966 - 4309 ( in 3 onde ) A
4309 - 4922 ( in 3 onde ) B
4922 - 4364 ( in 5 onde ?? ) C
Da qui vedo 2 possibilità:
se ho contato bene la C...allora onda 4 finita e siamo ora nella 5 up......
se ho contato male onda C ed la stessa è in 3 e non in 5 allora potremmo essere in un triangolo e ora staremmo facendo la D se non addirittura la E, considerando la D finita ieri a 4777..
Se così fosse ( ultima ipotesi ) la E potrebbe terminare o poco sotto area 4500
dove passa una trend rialzista oppure in area 4400 dove passa il lato del triangolo...
Personalmente resto flat in attesa di un'entrata long dalle aree suddette...
Non entro short ora perchè lo reputo troppo pericoloso nel caso in cui fosse corretto il conto in 5 onde della C....
Questa è la mia lettura....