Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1

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Imark ha scritto:
Avevo quasi dimenticato la Grecia...

OTC di venerdì sera. E' proseguita la risalita dei prezzi, più debole solo sulla parte lunghissima della curva. I GGBei sono andati bene.

il 2013 - 85,71 (BBML) 85,81 (Xtrakter);
il 2014 - 81,86 (BBML) 82,01 (Xtrakter);
il 2015 - 81,16 (BBML) 81,27 (Xtrakter);
il 2016 - 68,57 (BBML) 68,53 (Xtrakter);
il 2017 - 66,71 (BBML) 66,63 (Xtrakter);
il 2018 - 65,15 (BBML) 65,00 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6% 69,01 (BBML) 69,28 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6.5% 70,94 (BBML) 71,06 (Xtrakter);
il 2022 - 65,64 (BBML) 65,82 (Xtrakter);
il 2024 - 61,12 (BBML) 61,20 (Xtrakter);
il 2026 - 62,14 (BBML) 62,35 (Xtrakter);
il 2037 - 56,86 (BBML) 57,18 (Xtrakter);
il 2040 - 57,02 (BBML) 57,44 (Xtrakter);

GGBei 2025 - 54,18 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
GGBei 2030 - 48,83 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
Clicca per allargare...

Aggiornamento infrasettimanale: OTC mercoledì sera.

Come già detto, buono il comportamento dei titoli greci nei gg scorsi. Per il commento, mi torna quanto scritto da Jessica pochi post fa, dunque non aggiungo altro. Occhio ai volumi però: restano leggeri su molti titoli sui mercati retail.

il 2013 - 86,95 (BBML) 86,92 (Xtrakter);
il 2014 - 83,15 (BBML) 83,14 (Xtrakter);
il 2015 - 82,87 (BBML) 82,76 (Xtrakter);
il 2016 - 70,31 (BBML) 70,20 (Xtrakter);
il 2017 - 68,44 (BBML) 68,60 (Xtrakter);
il 2018 - 67,02 (BBML) 67,03 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6% 72,92 (BBML) 72,62 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6.5% 72,92 (BBML) 72,62 (Xtrakter);
il 2022 - 67,44 (BBML) 67,40 (Xtrakter);
il 2024 - 62,99 (BBML) 62,86 (Xtrakter);
il 2026 - 64,09 (BBML) 64,12 (Xtrakter);
il 2037 - 57,97 (BBML) 57,55 (Xtrakter);
il 2040 - 57,81 (BBML) 57,50 (Xtrakter);

GGBei 2025 - 53,70 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
GGBei 2030 - 49,51 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
 
Per quanto riguarda i volumi sul retail sono d'accordo con Jessica e Mark.
E' anche vero che sul retail italiano e tedesco non ho mai visto volumi di una certa importanza.
D'altra parte gli acquisti "grossi" delle nostre elleniche sono fatti sui mercati non regolamentati.
Il retail non basterebbe a soddisfare la domanda/offerta.
 
Athens Stocks Post Mixed Signs



Greek market posts mixed signs on Thursday, on a small fluctuation range.

“Despite the gradual ease of pressures asserted on the rights of NBG and Bank of Cyprus (BoC), the Athens market failed to realize an ascending reaction, the latter being a clear sign of the market’s weakness, bearing in mind the degree of the GI’s correction during the past few months. That said, we note that it is focal for the domestic market to retain the 1,450 units (the latter marking the low of the July the 5th – August the 4th ascending rally), anticipating that as we move towards aforementioned levels, the possibility of an abrupt upward reaction increases. Technically, with today’s support being in the 1,450 units, we expect the GI to possibly react towards the 1,480 units, which consist today’s 1st resistance level,” Pegasus Securities says in its morning report.

ATE Securities anticipates the domestic market to remain rather fragile, with thin trading and low volumes being persistent characteristics, while Marfin Analysis says expects volatility to persist, and foreign markets do not seem to support an upward movement for the moment.

“We reiterate our cautious stance on the ASE not expecting any major day-to-day price volatility. International markets should affect the short-term course of the ASE with the success level of NBG’s combined capital increase offering mid-term direction to the local stock market,” Kyprou Securities notes.

Across the board, the General Index drops 0.24% at 1,463.17, on a total turnover of 26.90 mil. euro.

(Capital.gr)
 
ferdo ha scritto:
Tommy, Fugnoli non ce lo posti?!
E' l'appuntamento del giovedì ...
Clicca per allargare...

vi aggiorno sui titoli che seguo 2012 5,25 e 2024 4,7

i volumi sono sempre quelli che sono (massimo 2-300.000 pezzi) ma il trend è in netta risalita

sul 2012 siamo sui 95-96, mentre sul 2024 sul 63-64

se qualcuno fosse entrato quando vi segnalavo l'inizio del trend avrebbe fatto 3-4 figure sul primo e 5-6 sul secondo

IMHO ci sono ancora spazi di risalita
 
Greece to aim for smaller fiscal adjustment in 2011

 September 30, 2010



Greece on Monday will present its draft 2011 budget, targeting a smaller fiscal adjustment to dig out of its debt crisis after a big deficit reduction this year, still a challenge within a persisting economic slump. Under the terms of a 110 billion euro bailout agreed with the IMF and its euro zone peers, Greece must cut its budget hole by 50 basis points to 7.6 percent of GDP.

It will be a lighter task compared to this year's 5.5 percentage point fiscal correction which is meant to shrink the budget gap to 8.1 percent of GDP.

"The projections in the 2011 draft budget will be in line with those in the EU/IMF memorandum," a senior government official, who did not want to be named, told Reuters.

Greece's austerity drive will continue despite soaring joblessness and a deepening recession as the government takes new measures to boost revenues by an extra 5.5 billion euros and curb spending by 1.6 billion next year.

The budget will likely rely on property taxes, an amnesty on building violations, new gambling licenses and raising the low VAT rate to 13 from 11 percent, officials said.

Measures are likely to include taxing wages in kind such as cars, raising the legal values of real estate used by tax authorities on property transfers and a special levy on profitable firms.

"Portugal is making the bulk of its budget consolidation in 2011. The route Greece has taken, making the biggest part of the adjustment in 2010 is better because it sent from early on a clear signal to create confidence," said Andreas Scheuerle, an economist at DekaBank.

Some officials say the budget deficit target may be slightly below 7.6 percent of GDP, partly thanks to the fact that this year's higher-than-expected inflation may increase nominal GDP.

But EU and IMF officials will focus on the money figure for the deficit, which they have set at 17 billion euros for next year, rather than on the deficit to GDP ratio to filter out such possible changes to the denominator from inflation or revisions, officials said.

In their latest projections the country's international lenders forecast the budget deficit would stand at 7.9 percent of GDP this year and 7.3 percent next year.

The IMF projects the 240 billion euro economy will contract by 2.6 percent next year after a 4.0 percent slump in 2010.


REVENUE WEAKNESS

Athens raised the main VAT rate by four percentage points to 23 percent this year but eight months into 2010 revenues trail a 13.7 percent growth target, up just 3.4 percent.

Economic think tank IOBE said the shortfall forced the government to chop its investment programme by 33 percent to ensure the deficit target will not be missed this year, meaning a 1.2 percentage point hit on gross domestic product (GDP).

"Authorities underestimated the price and income elasticity of demand," IOBE said in a quarterly report.

On the spending side, the socialist government will likely shoot for extra savings of 1.6 billion euros from belt tightening, including cutting half a billion euros from its investment programme.

Analysts say the EU/IMF plan to be implemented in next year's budget creates a sufficient cushion against risks including a sharper-than-expected economic downturn, reform fatigue and poor results in reining in tax evasion.

"The consolidation programme for 2011 outstrips the deficit reduction target by more than 3 percentage points of GDP. Unless we have an unforeseen external surprise or a very significant contraction in growth, next year's target can be fully attained," said economist Platon Monokroussos at EFG Eurobank.

(Financial Mirror)


***
Previsioni per il 2011 ...
 
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