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INTERVIEW:Greece Can Save EUR5B A Year By Implementing New IT


By Nick Skrekas
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


ATHENS (Dow Jones)--The Greek socialist government believes the country can save EUR5 billion a year through the implementation of three new computerized systems, the Economy Ministry said.
Moreover, the Ministry of Economy wants to refocus the country's worn-out development policy, redefine it and bring it into the digital age.
"With three new IT platforms for e-prescriptions, e-procurement for the state sector and electronic tracking of fuel supplies to crack down on smuggling, Greece can save EUR5 billion a year," said Antonis Markopoulos, special secretary for digital planning at the Economy Ministry, in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires.



Debt-laden Greece has promised the International Monetary Fund and the European Union that it will cut its budget black hole to EUR16.35 billion by the end of 2011, from an ambitious EUR18.5 billion target for this year. To do that, it needs to work harder on the expenditure side because tax revenues are flagging due to the local recession.
Significant savings are also needed to help the Mediterranean country get out from under its EUR300 billion national debt pile and also pay off the EUR110 billion bailout inked in May with its international lenders.
Markopoulos said that e-prescriptions are in a pilot stage and will be rolled out to all social security funds next year. The e-procurement system will be implemented in November, so initial e-auctions will be up from 2011. Fuel-tracking systems will be put in place in the two largest Greek cities of Athens and Thessalonica, where 80% of service stations are based, by the first quarter of 2011.



"There is resistance from vested interests, but we have the political will to ram through reforms to protect the tax-paying public by legally obliging participants to come on board these new technological platforms," the special secretary said.
But there is more to current plans than e-government, as the private sector take-up of e-commerce is also critical. In 2008, broadband penetration in Greece was the lowest in the European Union, and it is now playing catch-up with the help of Brussels. "We are still far behind the rest of developed Europe, but we have the optimism that we can change this rapidly by introducing fiber-optic broadband," Markopoulos said.
Greece has EUR1.5 billion--with 80% of funds from the EU--to build this improved digital economy over three years, which the special secretary broadly oversees.

The socialist government is focusing on three key sectors--e-governance, expanding local IT infrastructure, and assisting the private sector and local information technology and communications entrepreneurship.
The fact that the World Bank says that every 10% increase in broadband penetration leads to a 1.5% growth in gross domestic product isn't lost on the special secretary. "We want fiber-optic networks in place across all of Greece within three years, so it's a huge growth-directed program," Markopoulos said.
But the socialist government policies also have overriding political goals aimed at revamping Greece's development model--a necessity since Greece's competitiveness lags behind in many traditional industries and given competition from lower-cost and lower-tax neighbors.



"The government has decided to put a lot of effort in a new development strategy of backing green energy, biotechnology, and the information and telecommunication sector. It's a new sectoral development strategy, and we want it to complement areas like tourism and shipping, where we traditionally have a competitive advantage," he said.
Markopoulos said that the paradox in Greece is that it has highly educated and innovative people, but the country can't extract the value and growth from them, and has driven their creative spirit overseas. His aim is to turn this brain drain around.



"Human capital is very high-quality in Greece; there are good ideas here for technology investments, and there is much less red tape and permits for such new businesses than other industrial types of investments. We are looking to build an IT community and create the right environment to keep our young entrepreneurs here and attract foreign capital," he said.
The special secretary has also earmarked EUR150 million funded by the European Investment Bank for investments in new technology and innovative start-ups.
"We plan road shows in the U.S. and Europe, so if a private-sector investor finds a new start-up opportunity in Greece, we will co-invest 50% of funds with them and share the risk," Markopoulos said.



Markopoulos is one of the youngest faces as a special secretary, at 34 years old. He has a Ph.D. in telecoms and worked for seven years exclusively in the private sector. He submitted his resume for the position and was--as a break from governance tradition--never a deep governing party insider.
"I am trying to bring private-sector common sense to public administration and a technocratic tone under the political umbrella. This socialist government does not demonize entrepreneurship, and we will invest in this digital new era as one way to get out of the crisis," he said.
 
S&P President Sharma: Greece Will Not Default


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Deven Sharma, president of Standard & Poor's, said Greece will not default Monday.
"I do not believe Greece will default," said Sharma, speaking at The Buttonwood Gathering in New York.
"The design always was for there to be a collective solution" in the European Union, he said.
Regarding the risk of the euro zone's falling apart, Sharma said monetary leaders have a number of policy choices left.
"There is a lot of desire to keep the euro together from a policy point of view," he said.
Still, Sharma said the euro currency question will be driven more by the politics of each country.
He said the likelihood of default is higher in more speculative markets and emerging markets with geopolitical risks on the horizon.
"We are watching very carefully," he said, but didn't name any countries under scrutiny.
S&P is a unit of McGraw-Hill Cos. (MHP).
 
Greece Likely to Default Within Three Years, El-Erian Says

By Susanne Walker - Oct 25, 2010 11:21 PM GMT+0200 Mon Oct 25 21:21:22 GMT 2010



Greece is likely to default within three years because budget-cutting measures won’t be enough to reduce the nation’s sovereign debt burden, Pacific Investment Management Co. Chief Executive Officer Mohamed A. El-Erian said.
A default is likely “as long as you can contain the contagion to other countries and it is done through orderly restructuring and repricing to retain competitiveness,” El- Erian said at a conference sponsored by the Economist magazine in New York today. “The alternative doesn’t promise growth and employment generation.”

Europe’s sovereign debt crisis erupted at the end of 2009 after Greece’s newly elected socialist government said the budget deficit was twice as big as the previous administration had disclosed. The European Union and International Monetary Fund approved the aid package on May 2 in exchange for the Greek government agreeing to cut public-sector wages and pensions and raise taxes on fuel, alcohol and cigarettes.

“I have never seen 11 percent of GDP being delivered” under the current program assumptions, El Erian said. The debt burden at the end of the process is likely to be higher than it was at the beginning, he said.
“The most likely outcome is at some point when the rest of system will be reinforced, they will have to address the debt overhang and its competitive position,” he said.


Greek Debt


Credit-default swaps protecting Greek government bonds for a year cost 568 basis points, 66 basis points less than 10-year protection, according to CMA in London. Before the nation was rescued with the 110 billion-euro ($153 billion) international loan package in May, investors concerned Greece would renege on its debt commitments were willing to pay 665 basis points more for one-year swaps than for 10-year insurance.

The shift may suggests that Prime Minister George Papandreou’s spending cuts and austerity measures are buying the country time to reduce a budget deficit that’s more than four times the European Union’s limit.
Greek bonds fell, with the 10-year bond yield increasing one basis point to 9.42 percent today, leaving the gap with similar German notes at 6.88 percentage points.


(Bloomberg)
 
Andante poco mosso, questa dovrebbe essere la partitura degli spread/bund sugli ellenici che oscillano tendenzialmente verso l'allargamento, ma guadagnando qualche posizione rispetto al Bund.

Ieri El Erian di Pimco, ha rilanciato la possibilità della Grecia di uscire dalla situazione di crisi attraverso una ristrutturazione del debito concordando con le tesi di Roubini.
Di diverso avviso Deven Sharma di S&P che è più possibilista sulla capacità del governo ellenico.
Insomma, in mancanza di altro, si continua a discutere dei temi di sempre ...

Sul resto del Club Med aleggia un clima di incertezza, un pò legato alle esternazioni di Weber intorno all'aumento dei tassi ed un pò in attesa dell'approvazione dei rispettivi Parlamenti delle misure antideficit decise dai leaders di Lisbona e Dublino.
Nel frattempo qualche punto di spread è guadagnato, ma perderlo è altrettanto facile.

Grecia 698 pb. (697)
Irlanda 407 pb. (415)
Portogallo 329 pb. (344)
Spagna 162 pb. (167)
Italia 132 pb. (137)
 
PM's nationally televised press conf'




Prime Minister George Papandreou, speaking in an interview with television channels on Monday evening, stressed that "we must not let the country's course be undermined or stopped," adding that many have invested in Greece's failure.
Asked about the possibility of early elections, Papandreou said: "I have no intention of going to early elections" but pionted out that if the result of the local elections is added on to certain other parametres and the sum leads to a deadlock then, since there are no deadlocks in democracy, the sovereign people must speak.

The prime minister noted that a package amounting to 110 billion euros was secured, the biggest to be secured historically and added that "today, after these sacrifices we can hope and the first light has appeared at the end of the tunnel."
He further said that "if we delay or stop the course towards the big changes, all these sacrifices will be lost and what is most probable is that we will return to the past and to an even worse fate. We have escaped from the storm, but it cannnot be ruled out that we shall return to it."

Papandreou underlined that he was not interested in the political cost and that his personal wager is to clash, with the aim of change, with those forces that are keeping the country behind.
Referring in particular to the challenge in the local government elections, Papandreou said that there are two very important issues: "the first is that never in the past have the citizens being called on to elect local rulers with such power and for this reason we want capable and wise candidates to emerge."
"The second is that the country is in a state of emergency and for this reason responsibility and seriousness is required."

The first target, he said, is the salvation and reshaping of the country and this message must reach those who are undermining the country's course and to make it clear that the course for salvation cannot be checked.
Papandreou ruled out the possibility of new economic, that will deal a blow at salaries and pensions and stressed that whatever new measures will concern the curbing of extravagance and cracking down on tax evasion.
He added that 2010 was the year of averting bankruptcy and 2011 will be the year of the completion of the big structural changes. As regards the next two years, 2012 will be the year in which growth will acquire a index positive and 2013 the year of exiting from the memorandum.


(ana.gr)
 
ND refers to 'political blackmail'


ΑΝΑ-ΜPΑ/In a statement issued after Papandreou's appearance, a ND spokesman issued a sharp rebuttal, referring to an attempt to "pass his (PM) panic onto voters..."
ND spokesman Panos Panagiotopoulos called on the prime minister to abandon what he called "fear-mongering" and to change his policies.


"We're working for stability, security and the growth of our country. We're interested, above all, in getting Greece through this crisis without harm. The prime minister is obliged to work for this and not to blackmail voters. However, Mr. Papandreou should not be mistaken, ND is ready for any possibility," the spokesman said, in reference to now widespread speculation over a possible early election.


In closing, Panagiotopoulos referred to the upcoming municipal and regional elections on Nov. 7 and the second round on Nov. 14, noting that "tonight even the last undecided voters, in seeing Mr. Papandreou, have finally determined what message they will send."


(ana.gr)
 
Ieri El Erian di Pimco, ha rilanciato la possibilità della Grecia di uscire dalla situazione di crisi attraverso una ristrutturazione del debito concordando con le tesi di Roubini.

Da qui nasce il detto un pimco pallino qualsiasi. :D

Piuttosto che le analisi di questi inetti preferisco come attendibilità aldo biscardi o il mago otelma.
Rubinetto è un gufo che almeno argomenta le sue analisi ma ribatte sempre sul mezzo bicchiere vuoto come un disco rotto.

E' chiaro che per la legge dei grandi numeri prima o poi ci azzeccherà ma questo fa di lui solo un fenomeno mediatico.
Le sorti della grecia non dipendono dal paese stesso ma dalle condizioni macro esterne e dall'assetto politico che l'UE vorrà prendere.

Fase laterale sui bond come anticipai una decina di giorni fa...
 
Delays in property tax processing


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Budget revenues for 2010 are set to lag by an extra 900 million euros, Finance Ministry officials suggest

By Prokopis Hatzinikolaou - Kathimerini


The 2010 budget runs the risk of suffering losses of over 900 million euros due to the failure by the Finance Ministry to complete in time the calculation of property tax for this and last year and the settlement of outstanding taxes for companies required for the decade 2000-2009. Although the ministry has entered a race against time time to send the tax slips for the current year, sources suggest that the payment of property tax for 2009 and 2010 will be postponed to 2011.
Deputy Finance Minister Dimitris Kouselas did not rule out any aberrations in this year’s budget concerning both revenues and expenses. He stated yesterday in Thessaloniki that “the targets and the checks will, in the end, be right on or very close to the revised figures for an increase of 52 billion euros in revenues.”

Ministry officials have suggested that the General Secretariat for Information Systems (GSIS) will not be able to incorporate onto its electronic system all the changes in real-estate data recorded. As far as the single property tax (ETAK) for 2009 is concerned, the changes to about 1 million statements have not yet been made, resulting in a delay in the mailing of tax-due notices and their payment.
This development directly affects the property tax (FAP) for this year as well, with most taxpayers who are due to be charged with levies not receiving the notices this year. This will cause a revenue lag of 600 million euros for 2010, increasing the problems for the budget.


The 2009 ETAK should have been paid as of last year but due to the general election in October 2009 and the change in the way the tax is calculated, the process was considerably delayed. There were also problems and errors noted in statements, forcing taxpayers to correct them by September 30 by submitting new statements or requesting a new calculation.
The settlement of outstanding corporate tax has also been delayed, as the notices for the tax due have yet to be sent. Ministry sources have noted that there may be 300 million euros less in 2010 revenues due to this delay, compared to a target of 700 million euros for this year.
As a result, the shortfall in Greek budget revenues, which stood at 1.8 billion euros in the first nine months of the year, will come to 2.7 billion if the above delays are taken into account.


(Kathimerini.gr)


***
Tutto il mondo è paese ...
 
Da qui nasce il detto un pimco pallino qualsiasi. :D

Piuttosto che le analisi di questi inetti preferisco come attendibilità aldo biscardi o il mago otelma.
Rubinetto è un gufo che almeno argomenta le sue analisi ma ribatte sempre sul mezzo bicchiere vuoto come un disco rotto.

E' chiaro che per la legge dei grandi numeri prima o poi ci azzeccherà ma questo fa di lui solo un fenomeno mediatico.
Le sorti della grecia non dipendono dal paese stesso ma dalle condizioni macro esterne e dall'assetto politico che l'UE vorrà prendere.

Fase laterale sui bond come anticipai una decina di giorni fa...

:lol::lol::lol:.
 
Proposal for hike in Athens public transport fares



Validating a ticket for the bus or any other means of public transport may well cost passengers 20 percent more as of January, if the Infrastructure Ministry heeds the recommendations for an increase in fares, within the context of the Athens Urban Transport Organization’s (OASA) restructuring.

The five public transport companies under the OASA umbrella (concerning buses, trolleys, trams, the metro and the Kifissia-Piraeus electric railway, or ISAP) call for the main 90-minute ticket to cost 1.20 euros from the 1 euro fare today, with a rise in annual and monthly travel cards as well.

The government has yet to decide on the issue but is planning the merger of the five companies into two, one covering buses and trolleys and the other with the rest.

The ministry is also seeking optimum ways for improving the services offered to the public and for dealing with nonpaying passengers.


(Kathimerini.gr)
 
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