Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1 (5 lettori)

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tommy271

Forumer storico
Midterm economic program eyes taxes, pensions



Measures aimed at raising 6.4 billion euros debated by Cabinet as rifts appear between ministers


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The government’s midterm fiscal program, which was discussed on Monday during a tense cabinet meeting and is to be debated further on Tuesday between Prime Minister George Papandreou and his political rivals, aims to raise 6.4 billion euros through the imposition of additional direct and indirect taxes, it emerged yesterday. Of these, 4.8 billion euros’ worth have been approved by the Cabinet, while the remainder are still under discussion.
Among the measures to be implemented, assuming they are voted through Parliament later this week, is the transfer of several goods and services from the medium 13 percent value-added tax (VAT) bracket to the higher 23 percent bracket as well as the abolition of tax breaks, the imposition of taxes on natural gas and on soft drinks and an increase in road tax.
Other reforms foresee the introduction of a levy on high pensions exceeding 1,700 euros per month.
Also private firms will also be obliged to pay an additional 1 percent in social security contributions with the aim of boosting unemployment benefits.
Many measures remained subject to approval on Monday at the end of a cabinet meeting in which internal rifts that have been festering within PASOK came to the surface.
According to sources, the most vehement criticism was voiced by Defense Minister Evangelos Venizelos, who reportedly accused Finance Minister Giorgos Papaconstantinou of “arrogance” in his stance opposite the rest of the Cabinet.
Venizelos allegedly accused Papaconstantinou, who has spearheaded the drafting of the government’s midterm program, of concealing details from the rest of the Cabinet and failing to provide answers on an ambitious privatization drive.
On emerging from the cabinet meeting yesterday, Venizelos sought to play down the reported dispute, telling reporters that he had been referring to “officials and agencies of the ministry” when he had spoken of arrogant behavior.






ekathimerini.com , Monday May 23, 2011 (23:28)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Privatization plan finally passed




Cabinet approves sell-off agenda, which starts with sale of stakes in OTE telecom, TT and ports
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Greece approved on Monday the first wave of privatizations aimed at helping making its debt sustainable by deciding to “immediately proceed” with the sale of stakes in several state-controlled companies, including OTE telecom and Hellenic Postbank (TT).
A statement issued by the Finance Ministry said the Cabinet agreed on the plan which aims to raise 50 billion euros by 2015 by also reducing holdings in Piraeus and Thessaloniki ports as well as the Thessaloniki water company (EYATH) “in order to front-load its ambitious program.”
“To accelerate this process, the creation of a sovereign wealth fund composed of privatization and real estate assets was also decided upon,” the ministry added.
Greece plans to sell a 10 percent stake in OTE to Deutsche Telekom and will consider selling an additional 6 percent of the phone company. A 17 percent stake in power company PPC will also go under the hammer either through the stock market or by spinning off PPC assets to a strategic investor.
Additionally, a 34 percent stake in TT will be put up for sale with an additional 10 percent in the lender possibly being listed on the Athens bourse or going to a strategic investor.
Greece has been under increasing pressure from financial markets and its creditors, the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund, to pick up the pace of the sell-off program as a condition to receiving the fifth tranche of EU-IMF aid worth 12 billion euros.
After last week’s Eurogroup meeting in Brussels, several EU leaders made it clear that any possibility of Greece being provided with additional aid to the 110-billion-euro agreement signed last year will require faster execution of the sell-off program.
Meanwhile, data from the Finance Ministry released on Monday showed that the general government deficit in the first four months of the year was slightly larger than expected as revenues dipped under the weight of the recession.
The general government deficit, which does not include budget data from local councils and state enterprises, reached 7.2 billion euros, versus an expected 6.9 billion euros.
Revenues in the January-April period dipped 9.1 percent year-on-year to 14.4 billion euros, some 1.2 billion short of the target, due to a deeper-than-expected recession in the last quarter of 2010 and last year’s one-off revenue boost to road tax which was not repeated.
For the period, ordinary budget expenditures were up 3.6 percent at 21.02 billion euros, compared with a four-month target of 20.84 billion.






ekathimerini.com , Monday May 23, 2011 (20:42)
 
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tommy271

Forumer storico
Greek default would hurt banks, other EZ peripherals






ATHENS | Tue May 24, 2011 2:11am EDT

ATHENS May 24 (Reuters) - A Greek debt default would hurt the country's credit rating as well as its banks and would likely affect other peripheral euro zone countries, Moody's said in a statement assessing the impact of a possible default.
"The longer the current state of uncertainty affecting Greece persists, the greater the temptation on the part of both the Greek and the euro area authorities to try to undertake some form of debt restructuring," Moody's said in a statement.
"Moody's believes that a default is likely to have adverse credit rating implications for Greece, possibly some other stressed European sovereigns, and the Greek banks, regardless of the efforts made to achieve an 'orderly' outcome," it added.
 

Nobody's

Γένοιο οἷος εἷ
SPIEGEL: Mr. Prime Minister, you are a Christian Democrat and a Catholic, which is why we want to talk to you about the Ten Commandments.

Juncker: I already have an idea of what you are getting at.

SPIEGEL: Are you familiar with the Eighth Commandment?

Juncker: Of course. Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbour.

SPIEGEL: Apparently you don't take it very seriously. More than two weeks ago, you denied a report by SPIEGEL ONLINE about a secret meeting of several European Union finance ministers to discuss the situation in Greece, even though the official limousines were already pulling up in Luxembourg.

Juncker: The most important commandment is not to inflict harm on others. Although it isn't stated quite that way in the Ten Commandments, it follows from them. The finance ministers of several Euro Group nations had agreed to meet on Friday with the president of the European Central Bank (ECB), Jean-Claude Trichet. Because the financial markets in Europe were still open and trading was still underway on Wall Street, we had to deny the existence of the meeting. Otherwise the course of the euro against the dollar, which had already fallen as a result of your report, would have plunged disastrously.

SPIEGEL: With this false denial, you not only harmed your own credibility, but that of European financial policy as well.

Juncker: And it didn't exactly enhance the credibility of SPIEGEL ONLINE to disseminate the false report that we were meeting in Luxembourg to discuss Greece's withdrawal from the monetary union.

SPIEGEL: Forgive us for saying so, but SPIEGEL ONLINE had obtained information to that effect from government sources, as well as a working document prepared specifically for this meeting for the German finance minister.

Juncker: It is not unusual for finance ministers to have documents with them that contain all of the issues being discussed in public. And the question of Greece's withdrawal from the monetary union is certainly being discussed in public. But that's a far cry from saying that the issue is on the agenda of a meeting. As a result, I had to be all the more careful to ensure that no unnecessary turbulence would occur in the markets.

SPIEGEL: Are you saying that, as a finance minister in the age of global capital markets, you cannot tell people the truth?

Juncker: I do not have a ready answer to your question. My main concern is to protect people from detriment. That's why I feel practically compelled to make sure that no dangerous rumors begin to circulate. I'm certainly not going to go to confession because of a false denial. God understands more about the financial markets than many who write about them.

SPIEGEL: Former German President Horst Köhler described the financial markets as a "monster." Has this monster changed the way in which politicians can communicate?

Juncker: Without a doubt. When I do not confirm a course of events even though I ought to, I know exactly why I am doing so. In light of the nervousness of the financial markets, it is difficult for us to keep the public adequately and correctly informed all the time. This is regrettable, but unfortunately it's also unavoidable.

SPIEGEL: When secret meetings are held and the truth isn't always being told, people gain the impression that there must be something wrong with this Europe.

Juncker: People understand perfectly well that politicians have to discuss sensitive issues behind closed doors. I had 10 seconds to decide how to react to the report in SPIEGEL ONLINE. Let us say, hypothetically, that I had said: "Okay, we are having a meeting, but I'm not going to tell you what we intend to talk about." That would have triggered a tsunami in the financial markets. Instead, I chose to produce a small wave of outrage over a white lie.
 

Nobody's

Γένοιο οἷος εἷ
SPIEGEL: Nevertheless, we'd like to try aiming for the truth: How bad is the situation for Greece really?

Juncker: Greece has not adequately implemented the consolidation program to which it had agreed. Revenues are 9 percent below the target, the reform of the tax system is not proceeding as agreed and the planned privatization efforts haven't even been initiated. We were very direct in trying to explain these failings to our Greek friends at the last meeting of the European Union finance ministers.

SPIEGEL: What does Athens have to change?

Juncker: There are quite a few things Greece can do to clean up its budget. The government bureaucracy is bloated and needs to be reduced in size. Besides, the country has significant assets that the government owns.

SPIEGEL: Experts estimate the value of these public assets at about €300 billion ($426 billion).

Juncker: I can't confirm that number. However, I do assume that with privatizations, the Greek government will be able to generate far more revenue over the years than the €50 billion it actually proposed.

SPIEGEL: But the Greek government will hardly achieve that of its own accord. Don't you have to apply more pressure to Athens?

Juncker: In the future, the European Union will monitor the privatization program as tightly as if we were implementing it ourselves. For example, I would welcome it if our Greek friends were to establish a privatization agency independent of the government, based on the model of Germany's Treuhandanstalt privatization agency (which managed the privatization of East German enterprises after reunification), one that would also be staffed with foreign experts. In addition, the European community of nations expects the two major political groups in the country to settle their petty differences when it comes to this critical political issue. The government and the opposition should jointly declare their commitment to the reform agreements with the EU.

SPIEGEL: The country's debt burden is so large that even tough austerity programs and loans are not enough to pull it out of the crisis. Why don't you finally admit that Greece is broke?

Juncker: Greece is not broke. That is what the experienced experts with the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank tell us. I am firmly convinced that, in a joint effort, we can lead Greece out of the crisis.

SPIEGEL: The total debt amounts to almost 160 percent of Greece's economic output. With such a debt burden, how is the country ever supposed to make any headway?

Juncker: The United States and Japan also have high debt levels, and yet no one would claim that those countries are bankrupt.

SPIEGEL: But Japan and the United States have their own currencies, which they can devalue, if necessary.

Juncker: That option is not open to Greece -- I'll acknowledge that. Nevertheless, it doesn't mean that the government is powerless. On the contrary, Greece can bolster its competitiveness, and it can pursue a reasonable economic policy and generate more growth.

SPIEGEL: Hope springs eternal.

Juncker: No, I am just considering the alternatives. If Greece were to declare a national bankruptcy tomorrow, the country would have no access to the international financial market for years to come, and its most important creditors, the banks in Germany and Europe, would have an enormous problem -- with incalculable consequences for the financial market.

SPIEGEL: But you exaggerate. The European lenders are in a better position than two years ago, and now many countries have established their own bailout instruments to protect against bank crashes.

Juncker: I would be cautious in that regard. We are still at the epicenter of a global crisis. We are dealing with largely irrational markets, nervous investors and rating agencies whose conclusions don't always make complete sense. I'll stick to my argument: In the case of a national bankruptcy with a subsequent debt restructuring, we would be letting a genie out of the bottle without knowing in which direction it would be flying.
 

Nobody's

Γένοιο οἷος εἷ
SPIEGEL: The banks, which are you so quick to criticize, are the ones that stand to benefit. They can rake in high profits for their Greece investments and be sure that German or Dutch taxpayers will carry the risks in the end. How do you intend to convey this to people?

Juncker: An economic system in which the profits are privatized and the risks socialized goes against my basic convictions. However, we must be careful that we do not blow up the global financial system by insisting on regulatory principles. That is why I advise exercising as much restraint as possible when it comes to the notion, which is certainly justified, of asking private lenders to participate in the costs of the crisis.

SPIEGEL: That's why you have argued for a "soft restructuring." What exactly do you mean by that?

Juncker: First Greece will have to fulfill its consolidation program, as promised. Once that has happened, we can think about extending the terms of public and private loans and reducing interest rates. That is what I mean by a "soft restructuring." It would be the very last step in a very long process.

SPIEGEL: European Central Bank President Trichet doesn't even want to consider that. Can you understand why he is strictly against any form of debt restructuring?

Juncker: Trichet is very cautious when it comes to debt restructuring, because he is afraid, and rightfully so, that the crisis could then spread to other countries. That is why a soft restructuring can only be an option in specific cases and only under certain conditions.

SPIEGEL: Could you be more specific, please?

Juncker: It has to be ensured that the rating agencies will not treat a soft restructuring as a default. Otherwise the banks would have to write off billions in claims, with incalculable consequences for the capital market.

SPIEGEL: With all due respect to your restraint on the question of restructuring, what happens if we're sitting here again next year and conclude that Greece is still not on a stabilization course?

Juncker: If the donkey were a cat it could climb a tree. But it is not a cat. Nevertheless, this is a question that worries many people. My answer to it is almost a little theological: I do not believe that this question will ever be asked.
 

forzaroma

Forumer attivo
Alcuni analisti prevedono, aramai con certezza il default della Grecia. Infatti oramai non si discute più del se ma solo del quando la Grecia fallirà. Costoro non si accorgono di commettere un errore madornale. Infatti i fatti di questi giorni, di Spagna e Italia ad esempio, stanno dimostrando come i paesi dell'UEM siano parte di un sistema e che le sorti economiche di uno siano dipendenti da quelle degli altri.
Ne deriva che la soluzione della crisi Greca va vista nel contesto europeo e non solo dal punto di vista della sostenibilità del debito greco. Quindi credo che alcuni analisti, pronosticando sventure di ogni genere per lo Stato greco, ignorano la salvaguardia della tenuta di tutto il sistema della moneta unico (euro). Ripeto alla noia, chi ha necessariamente il punto di vista sistemico è la BCE per cui è tenacemente contraria a qualunque forma di ristrutturazione del debito.

Ottima analisi, chioserei scrivendo che come da copione i c.d. esperti/guru/analisti sono pagati da chi ha interesse a creare situazioni di questo tipo (confusione)...bombe ad orologeria pronte ad esplodere periodicamente. Questa è la finanza del XXI° secolo: bruciare denaro (altrui) per poi investire ed apparire anche come il salvatore della patria.Mah!!!!
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Nobody, il link che rimanda all'intervista completa di Juncker rilasciata allo Spiegel è stato postato nelle pagine indietro.
Mlto interessante da leggere.
 

Nobody's

Γένοιο οἷος εἷ
SPIEGEL: Many people are not as firm in their convictions as you are. They fear that billions in tax revenues will soon be sent to other countries, which is why there is growing resistance across Europe against further aid programs and the planned European Stability Mechanism (ESM, which is intended to go into effect in mid-2013 as a permanent bailout fund for the common currency if it heads into troubled waters).

Juncker: So far, no European taxpayer has had to pay a cent for the rescue of debt-ridden euro countries. On the contrary, Greece is currently paying a substantial amount of interest to the donor countries, whose tax revenues have not been needed yet.

SPIEGEL: But it could happen. German essayist Kurt Tucholsky once said that the man on the street cannot understand the truth, but he can often sense it very well.

Juncker: It is true that people usually have a healthy gut feeling, and that also applies to the risks of the bailout packages. I just thing it is wrong to completely indulge one's gut feeling.

SPIEGEL: There are growing demands within the parliamentary groups of Germany's ruling parties to consult the parliament before a euro country receives assistance from the ESM. Could you accept this?

Juncker: There are few central bankers who are troubled by the notion that we need unanimity on central issues in Europe. But even in times of crisis, we cannot undermine democracy. I completely understand that parliamentarians want to be part of the decision-making process in cases that affect the parliament's budgetary authority.

SPIEGEL: Europe isn't just in a financial crisis. Governments in many places, spurred on by populists, are dialing back European integration. Italy, France and Denmark are challenging the freedom to travel. How do you explain this return to small state regionalism?

Juncker: As a Luxembourger, I do not like to hear that word. After all, we are confirmed regionalists. But it is true that the achievements of European integration are being questioned for short-term political reasons. People have been asked to accept quite a few changes in the last 20 years, from globalization to the reorganization of Europe. If we do not structure the European project in such a way that people can accept it, we run the risk that it will fail.

SPIEGEL: Skepticism about Europe pays off at the polls, as the example of the "True Finns" shows.

Juncker: We should not confuse politics with opinion polls. I have noted with concern that there is a growing sense, even within Europe's major parties, of having to yield to these moods. I warn against imitating populists. In politics, you have to be willing to accept criticism from time to time. If you want to have a discussion with people, sometimes you have to stand in their path and say: "Stop. It does not work this way." Those who simply run after voters can never see them from the front.
 
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