EURO GOVT-Periphery pounded as growth worries hit risky assets
Tue Aug 2, 2011 4:57am EDT
* Italian, Spanish yields rise to 14-year highs
* U.S. growth worries hit risky assets globally
* Bunds hit highest since last October, no end to rally in sight
By
William James
LONDON, Aug 2 (Reuters) - Peripheral bond yields soared and German Bunds rallied on Tuesday as a grim U.S. economic outlook added to the concerns of investors as the spread of the euro zone's debt crisis showing no signs of slowing.
Bunds rallied to their highest since last October and equities suffered with a last-gasp deal to avert U.S. default and raise the country's borrowing limit bringing no lasting relief to financial
markets.
Yields on lower-rated euro zone debt rose to new highs as concerns about the knock-on effect of weak growth in the world's largest
economy and the lingering threat of a rating downgrade took over from worries about a default on U.S. Treasuries.
"The fear of the market is that the world is going into recession again...and in the
euro zone the peripheral markets are the ones that will suffer most," said Alessandro Giansanti, strategist at ING in Amsterdam
A hit to global growth would hurt the euro zone's weaker economies hard, hampering their efforts to grow out from under increasingly unsustainable debt burdens, analysts said.
Yields on 10-year Italian and Spanish debt rose sharply, surpassing recent peaks to reach their highest since 1997, while the risk premium over German debt on both countries'
bonds hit the highest since the launch of the euro.
"We think some of the recent selloff (in Spain and
Italy) is not justified in terms of fundamentals but sentiment is so negative at the moment, investors are increasing short positions," said Nick Stamenkovic, strategist at RIA Capital Markets. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Euro zone crisis in graphics
r.reuters.com/hyb65p ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Traders turned against riskier assets on Monday after weak U.S. manufacturing data which fanned worries about the country's economic health, particularly in the face of fresh spending cuts agreed as part of the new debt ceiling agreement.
Bund
futures FGBLc1 rallied past the previous day's highs to 131.84, and the yield on 10-year German bonds sank to 2.41 percent -- the lowest since last November.
"In this environment, Bunds are a buy on dips. Don't look at the yields, just go for the quality," a trader said.
Two-year German yields were 1.6 basis points lower on the day at 1.07 percent, closing in on a drop below 1 percent for the first time since January.
PRESSURE ON PERIPHERY
The selloff in Italian debt pushed the country's 10-year yield further past the 6 percent mark, above which concerns about the cost of refinancing Italy's huge debt start to spiral. The yield was last at 6.18 percent, up 18 bps on the day.
"Six percent was seen as a line in the sand for Italian yields and now that that's gone people don't want any risk apart from
Germany," a second trader said.
The cost of insuring Italian and Spanish government debt against default also climbed -- less than two weeks after policymakers sought to stop the spread of the euro zone debt crisis by enhancing the region's rescue fund.
Short-term relief after the eagerly-anticipated deal, which also took steps to rescue
Greece, has given way to concerns about how the plans will be implemented.
With little immediate clarity expected on that front, uncertainty remained high and supply out of Spain -- seen as one of the most fragile states -- should keep peripheral euro zone debt under pressure in the medium term.