Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond case automobilistiche e accessorio auto (2 lettori)

ferdo

Utente Senior
Belgrado - Dal prossimo anno, a partire dall'autunno, avrà inizio la consegna della Fiat Punto nel territorio della Republika Srpska a condizioni speciali. Il contratto di fornitura è stato firmato oggi a Belgrado dal Vice Presidente del governo della Repubblica di Serbia e della Republika Srpska (RS), Mladjan Dinkic e Jasna Brkic, nel quadro dell'accordo di cooperazione economica e di incentivo dell'interscambio bilaterale. In particolare, il documento prevede la vendita di 2.000 autovetture Fiat Punto nei prossimi 18 mesi, prodotte nello stabilimento della Fiat Srbija di Kragujevac, e di trattori, che saranno esportati in regime di libero scambio nella RS godendo di sovvenzioni statali. L'accordo prevede, inoltre, che i cittadini della Serbia potranno acquistare mobili dalla RS con sovvenzioni da parte dello Stato, ed utilizzare pacchetti turistici agevolati per visitare la RS.
Alla ratifica del contratto erano presenti anche primi ministri di Serbia e RS, Mirko Cvetkovic e Milorad Dodik, così come il Vice-Presidente del gruppo Fiat, Alfredo Altavilla. "L'accordo ha una grande importanza commerciale, mentre per quanto riguarda l'aspetto politico, riconosciamo nella Bosnia-Erzegovina quanto è stato concordato dai popoli che la costituiscono", ha detto Cvetkovic. Dodik, da parte sua, ha sottolineato che tale accordo ha suscitato un grande interesse da parte della Republika Srspka, esprimendo così la speranza che possa essere esteso ad altri settori dell'economia, in maniera da apportare un significativo apporto all'economia dei due Paesi. A tal proposito, ha precisato che tutta la Bosnia-Erzegovina beneficerà dei vantaggi dell'accordo.

qualche mese fa si diceva che lo stabilimento di Kragujevac avrebbe fabbricato la nuova Topolino con certi volumi attesi e che era da rifare con milioni di investimento - ora faranno la Punto con una produzione ridicola per uno stabilimento (vetture che neanche possono esportare perch non a standard occidentali e con impianti privi di automazione)
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Michelin lancia una tender offer per ricomprarsi il bond ibrido a sconto sul prezzo di mercato... si era già ricomprata 150 mln euro open market, ora offre 85/100 a fronte di un prezzo che, al lancio dell'offerta, era di 79/100. Valore del bond outstanding pari a poco più di 350 mln euro.

L'offerta scade il 23 giugno prossimo... ;)

UPDATE 1-Michelin opens buyback on subordinated bonds -lead

Mon Jun 15, 2009 5:46am EDT

(adds more detail)
LONDON, June 15 (Reuters) - French tyre manufacturer Michelin (MICP.PA) offered to buy back all of its outstanding 350.4 million euros ($487 million) subordinated notes maturing in 2033, the bank managing the offer said on Monday.

The company is offering to pay bondholders 85 percent of the nominal value of the bonds, which are currently valued at about 79 cents said Societe Generale, the sole dealer manager on the buyback.

Michelin has already bought back 150 million euros of the hybrid bonds, which have a deferrable coupon, in the open market and now wants to buy the remainder, SocGen said. The deadline for the offer is June 23.

Michelin, which is rated Baa2 by Moody's Investors Service and BBB by Standard & Poor's, sold a 750 million euro bond in mid-April. ($1=.7191 Euro) (Reporting by Natalie Harrison, editing by Will Waterman)
 
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Imark

Forumer storico
Altro tentativo di Porsche di ricevere un prestito statale, rifiutato in quanto i problemi di Porsche non sono frutto dalla crisi economica, ma piuttosto della dabbenaggine di Piech...

Le banche non voglio trovarsi esposte al rischio di incorrere in gravi perdite quando - esercitate le opzioni su un ulteriore 20% di VW - il valore del titolo dovesse crollare, costringendo Porsche a sostanziosi writedowns.

Una situazione che continua ad essere a rischio. Non stupisce che Volkswagen cerchi di conservarsi entità separata, sebbene controllata da Porsche. Nel mentre si attende l'esito dei colloqui con il Quatar, mentre sembrerebbe meno verosimile l'intervento nella vicenda di Daimler nelle vesti di cavaliere bianco di Porsche, dato che di problemi da risolvere ha già i propri.

Porsche Forced to Overhaul German Loan Application (Update3)

By Chris Reiter and Andreas Cremer


June 22 (Bloomberg) -- Porsche SE, struggling to refinance 9 billion euros ($12.5 billion) in debt, will make a second approach for state funding after the German government asked the carmaker to prove its woes aren’t the result of mismanagement.

State-owned development bank KfW Group rejected the 1.75 billion-euro loan request because Porsche failed to show the economic crisis led to funding constraints, two people familiar with the negotiations said today. Porsche also talked with Daimler AG, which makes Mercedes-Benz cars, about an investment, according to two other people close to the discussions.

Porsche’s debt tripled after the manufacturer raised its holding in Volkswagen AG to 50.8 percent at the start of this year. The carmaker now lacks the funds to exercise options for an additional 20 percent of Volkswagen stock, forcing Porsche to enter talks with Qatar about selling a stake to the Gulf state.

“Porsche can hardly get into a negotiation with a strong hand,” said Gary Jenkins, head of credit research at Evolution Securities Ltd. in London. “The whole world knows they need cash.”

The bank wants Porsche to be more specific about how the loan will be used and how it plans to repay it, the people said. Talks with politicians and KfW continue, and no decisions have been reached, Porsche spokesman Albrecht Bamler said.

Steering Committee

The maker of the 911 sports car applied for the loan after failing to reach an agreement with commercial banks on funds needed to run its operations. The final decision on the loan rests with a government steering committee. It’s unclear when the committee will meet, Steffen Moritz, a spokesman for the Economy Ministry, said today.

“There are clear question marks whether the financial emergency Porsche claims for itself is a result of the financial crisis,” Steffen Kampeter, budget spokesman for Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union, said on June 19 in an interview with Deutschlandfunk radio.

Qatar Prime Minister Hamad Bin Jasim Bin Jaber al-Thani said June 16 that a decision on an investment in Porsche may be resolved in two or three weeks. Porsche may sell a 25 percent holding to Qatar for as much as 2.5 billion euros, two people familiar with the situation said on June 15. Porsche said on June 9 that it’s talking exclusively with Qatar.

Daimler Troubles

Daimler, the world’s second-largest maker of luxury cars, has also been strained by the crisis in the auto industry. It raised 1.95 billion euros in March selling new shares to Abu Dhabi’s Aabar Investments PJSC. The 9.1 percent stake was sold 55 percent below the stock’s value in June 2008, when Daimler announced plans to buy back its own shares.

Daimler, also based in Stuttgart, plans to cut 4 billion euros in spending this year as it reacts to the worst auto- industry crisis in decades. Deliveries of Mercedes-Benz cars have fallen 22 percent in the first five months of 2009, which Chief Executive Officer Dieter Zetsche has said will be a “Darwin year” for the industry.

Besides Porsche, Daimler has also held cooperation talks with Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, its larger competitor, for more than a year.

BMW Chief Financial Officer Friedrich Eichiner said today that any negotiations between Daimler and Porsche wouldn’t be likely to disrupt BMW’s talks with Daimler, which concern joint purchasing of components.

Munich-based BMW isn’t in contact with Porsche about a potential investment, Eichiner said in an interview at a BMW event in Berlin.
In the face of mounting debts, Porsche has abandoned its project to acquire 75 percent of Volkswagen. Porsche, controlled by the Porsche and Piech families, said on May 6 that it would instead begin talks with VW on creating an integrated European carmaker. That structure would put Porsche alongside Volkswagen brands including Audi, Skoda and Bentley.

“A KfW loan would be vital for Porsche,” said Willi Diez, head of the Nuertingen, Germany-based Institute for Automobile Industry, a state-funded think tank. “They’ll do what they can to pull it in.”
 
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Imark

Forumer storico
Proprio Daimler ha subito un downgrade da parte di S&P, che la tiene in outlook negativo. A monte dell'azione di rating, la circostanza per cui per S&P anche in caso di ripresa a fine 2009 e nel 2010 dei mercati in cui è presente Daimler, il suo profilo di rischio finanziario resterebbe inadeguato ad un rating più alto dell'attuale.

Oggi S&P ritiene che Daimler possa finire per bruciare cassa a livello operativo nella propria attività industriale nel 2009 oppure terminare con un FOCF solo leggermente positivo. Ci si attende anche una forte contrazione dell'utile operativo.

Il rating attuale si basa sull'assunto per cui a tale debolezza della metrica finanziaria (che resterà inferiore ai livelli attesi per il BBB+ per tutto il 2009) faccia seguito un recupero nel 2010, e che cmq in prospettiva la società continui ad aderire alle politiche conservative in termine di contenimento del dividendo e sospensione dei buyback per l'anno in corso e per il 2010.

Residua tuttavia la possibilità di un ulteriore peggioramento rispetto alle attese dell'andamento nel 2009 e di un recupero inadeguato nel 2010, circostanza legate ad una serie di fattori fra i quali la gestione del working capital, l'efficacia nel piano di riduzione dei costi, l'eventuale incremento dei costi di funding della divisione finanziaria, l'effettivo recupero nel 2010 dei mercati (trucks e premium cars) in cui è presente Daimler.

Un piccolo OT riguarda il concetto di Working Capital, per il quale mi è stato chiesto di dare qualche spiegazione semplice. Ho trovato molto utile nel farlo rinviare ad un link sulla spiegazione sintetica offerta da Wikipedia.

Pubblico il link dovesse tornare utile a qualcuno dei forumisti... ;)

http://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capitale_circolante_netto

Daimler AG Downgraded To 'BBB+' On Reduced Performance Expectations; Outlook Negative

The economic downturn and decline in global auto and truck unit volumes have weakened German automotive manufacturer Daimler AG's performance beyond our previous assumptions.

We are lowering our long-term corporate credit rating on the company to 'BBB+' from 'A-' and affirming the 'A-2' short-term rating.The negative outlook reflects the possibility that Daimler's performance in 2009 will be weaker than previously expected.

FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) June 18, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it had lowered its long-term corporate credit rating on German automotive manufacturer Daimler AG to 'BBB+' from 'A-'. The 'A-2' short-term rating was affirmed. The outlook is negative.

"The downgrade reflects a negative revision of our financial forecast for Daimler, in light of the weak conditions and prospects in the global automotive and truck markets, and weak recent company performance," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Werner Staeblein.

"Even if the economic environment were to improve in late 2009 and 2010, we do not expect Daimler to improve its financial risk profile to an extent that would be commensurate with the previous rating," Mr. Staeblein said. "According to our revised base-case projection, the company's financial debt protection measures are likely to deteriorate significantly more than previously expected," he added.

In the first quarter of 2009, Daimler reported weak free operating cash flow (FOCF) in its industrial operations despite a considerable release of working capital. While we have factored in a weakening of the group's profitability and cash generation in 2009, earnings and cash flow development in the first months of the year was below our base case assumption. We now expect Daimler to show only very modest, if not negative, FOCF in its industrial operations in 2009.

A recently completed rights issue of €1.95 billion has minimally improved the financial risk profile as does the fact that potential legal and economic obligations from Chrysler have been removed. We continue to expect Daimler's operating profit to contract considerably in 2009.

Significantly lower volumes in the car division, despite the successful launch of the new E-class, lower order intake in the truck division and very weak demand for vans should continue to create significant margin pressure.

Daimler is implementing restructuring measures to align production with lower demand levels. We think that these actions could generate some savings, but will likely not counterbalance the drop-off in unit volume sales.

We anticipate that the group's credit measures will remain weak for the 'BBB+' rating in 2009, while improved demand should allow a rebound to more adequate levels in 2010.

This, however, is subject to a number of market uncertainties and execution risks. We will follow the company's operating performance throughout 2009 very closely to determine whether the deterioration that we expect in Daimler's financial risk profile in 2009 can be reversed in 2010.

In October 2008, Daimler suspended a share buyback program and we understand that no further share repurchases are envisaged in 2009 and 2010.

We believe that Daimler's commitment to maintaining its financial strength is reflected by its announcement in February 2009 that it would reduce the cash dividend for 2008 considerably.

The negative outlook reflects our view that there is a considerable risk that Daimler's performance in 2009 will be weaker than previously expected, and might not recover in 2010 to a level adequate for the rating.

This risk and uncertainty is linked to factors such as the execution of working capital and cost reduction, increase of credit costs in the captive finance unit, and an expected market recovery in 2010
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Attenzione anche alla situazione delle francesi, con Renault che - come già si ebbe modo di dire qualche mese fa - pare essere quella che meno prontamente ha reagito al determinarsi della situazione attuale...

E' arrivato il downgrade di S&P, che porta Renault a livello BB/stable, e potrebbe non essere finita lì, in quanto già oggi il fattore di business risk dell'emittente è inferiore a quello del rating corrente, per cui, se la situazione del mercato automobilistico dovesse deteriorarsi, qui si potrebbe ancora scendere.

Di più, il rating attuale incorpora già quale fattore positivo l'intervento dello Stato francese quale finanziatore ove fosse necessario rafforzare il profilo di liquidità di Renault.

La incapacità di tenere sotto controllo il cash burning delle attività industriali o piuttosto la crescita dell'indebitamento potrebbero invece innescare ulteriori revisioni al ribasso dell'outlook o dello stesso rating.

French Carmaker Renault Downgraded To 'BB/B' On Bleak Auto Demand In 2010; Outlook Stable

-- We expect auto demand in Europe to remain low in 2010, in line with 2009.
-- In 2008, the European market accounted for more than 60% of Renault's unit sales.
-- We are lowering our ratings on French automaker Renault S.A. to 'BB/B' from 'BBB-/A-3'.
-- The stable outlook reflects our view that, after the weak 2009-2010 period, Renault should be able to strengthen its credit profile.

MILAN (Standard & Poor's) June 19, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it has lowered its long- and short-term corporate credit and debt ratings on Renault S.A. to the speculative-grade level of 'BB/B', from 'BBB-/A-3'.

The outlook is stable. At the same time, Standard & Poor's assigned a recovery rating of '3' to the notes already issued under the company's existing €7 billion senior unsecured medium-term note program, indicating Standard & Poor's expectation of meaningful (50%-70%) recovery in the event of a payment default; the debt rating on these notes was also lowered to 'BB' from 'BBB-'. In a related action, Standard & Poor's lowered its long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings on Renault's fully owned financing subsidiary RCI Banque to 'BBB-' and 'A-3', respectively, from 'BBB' and 'A-2'. The outlook is stable.

"Our downgrade of Renault reflects our view that auto demand is likely to remain very low in Europe in 2010, due to the weak economic environment and the payback effect of the incentive schemes that several European countries have adopted to date in 2009," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Barbara Castellano. "We believe these factors will continue to penalize Renault's profitability."

Renault's financial profile was already hit by the large increase in debt in 2008, and credit measures were weak compared with what we generally consider to be commensurate with a 'BBB-' rating.

Now, however, in light of our views on the future path of European auto demand, we believe that the company's financial metrics are likely to deteriorate further and will probably not return in the medium term to levels we consider consistent with the previous rating.

We foresee a Standard & Poor's adjusted ratio of funds from operations (FFO) to debt that is barely 10% in 2009 and 2010, whereas we deem more than 20% over the cycle to be commensurate with the current rating category. We understand that Renault will strive to protect its cash flow and to avoid any further increase in its financial debt.

"Consequently, once auto demand in Europe and the rest of the world returns to levels consistent with the historical trends, we expect that Renault should be in a position to take advantage of this situation and restore a stronger financial profile," said Ms. Castellano.

Standard & Poor's has factored into the current ratings the support of the French state (which owns 15% of Renault's capital), should it be needed, to strengthen the group's liquidity.

"In our view, this potential support contributes to the stable outlook, but does not lead to any notches of enhancement in the ratings," said Ms. Castellano. We could downgrade Renault or revise the outlook to negative if, in contrast to the company's targets, the industrial activities burn what we would consider to be a significant amount of cash this year and financial debt grows.

Both occurrences would delay the improvement in financial ratios. We view an upgrade or outlook revision to positive as highly unlikely in the current scenario
 

METHOS

Forumer storico
Peugeot Says It May Have 2 Billion-Euro Annual Loss (Update3)

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By Evan Roth
data


June 23 (Bloomberg) -- PSA Peugeot Citroen, Europe’s second-largest carmaker, said it may have an operating loss of as much as 2 billion euros ($2.8 billion) this year.
The extent of the loss will depend on the assistance the French government is able to offer the auto-industry and on the extent of support Peugeot provides to its own suppliers, the Paris-based company said in a statement today. The loss will range from 1 billion euros to 2 billion euros, the company said.
“A number of uncertainties remain,” it said. “Whether or not government support programs will be pursued in 2010. If not, fourth-quarter production will be scaled back.”
European carmakers have suffered the worst sales slump in 15 years as the global recession deters people from making big- ticket purchases. Peugeot has received a 3 billion-euro loan from the French government and its sales have been bolstered by payments encouraging people to scrap old cars and buy new ones.
Peugeot fell as much as 89 cents, or 4.6 percent, to 18.41 euros and was trading at 18.65 euros as of 9:11 a.m. in Paris. That pares the stock’s gains this year to 56 percent, still the best performance on the nine-member Bloomberg Europe Autos Index, and values the carmaker at 4.42 billion euros.
The French company said today it will sell about 500 million euros in convertible bonds and may increase that to 575 million euros. Proceeds will be used for “general financing needs” and future development projects, it said.
Chief Executive Officer Philippe Varin, who took the top job on June 1, reshuffled the company’s top management last week, ousting Isabel Marey-Semper as chief financial officer and putting the flagging Peugeot brand under the control of Jean-Marc Gales, who also runs Citroen.
Volkswagen AG is Europe’s biggest automaker.
To contact the reporter on this story: Evan Roth in Paris at [email protected].
 

yellow

Forumer attivo
In arrivo Obbligazione Convertibile PSA Peugeot
( ma ancora mancano molti particolari )

Fonte Il Sole24Ore :

PSA Peugeot Citroen prevede di chiudere l'esercizio 2009 con un perdita operativa tra uno e due miliardi di euro, penalizzata dalla crisi che ha travolto il settore auto in tutto il mondo.

Il costruttore francese sottolinea che i clienti comprano auto più economiche e in minor numero, mentre le spese per la promozione necessaria a mantenere la quota di mercato dei marchi Peugeot e Citroen restano elevate.


La casa automobilistica ha anche deciso di lanciare una emissione di bond di circa 500 milioni di euro a scadenza 2016,
per «finanziare i suoi progetti di sviluppo futuro» e «rafforzare la sua struttura finanziaria».

In particolare l'emissione, che potrà essere portata a 575 milioni,
consentirà al costruttore francese di proseguire lo sviluppo dei «prodotti strategici» tra cui il futuro monovolume 5008 che deve essere commercializzato nel secondo semestre del 2009.

Il valore nominale delle obbligazioni
comporterà un premio compreso tra il 33 e il 38% rispetto alla quotazione del gruppo alla borsa parigina.

La famiglia Peugeot, che controlla il 22,3% del gruppo,
si è impegnata a sottoscrivere l'emissione per 50-57,5 milioni, cioè per la metà circa della sua partecipazione.

Il gruppo ha indicato con un comunicato stamani di attendersi perdite operative tra uno e due miliardi
«tenuto conto della situazione attuale dei mercati e delle incertezze»
e di «una gestione prudente dei finanziamenti».

PSA Peugeot Citroen, che nel 2008 è andata in rosso per 343 milioni, aveva già indicato di attendersi per il 2009 una perdita operativa senza però cifrarla.
 

albicocco

Forumer storico
Il bond Fiat in emissione avrà cedola 10%.
Ma i bond nostrani su Mot e Tlx come mai rendono così poco?
Chi tarocca i rendimenti ? Tenuto conto che sono piu' brevi dovrebbero comunque avere quotazioni che offrano un rendimento del 7 o 8%.
 

troppidebiti

Forumer storico
Il bond Fiat in emissione avrà cedola 10%.
Ma i bond nostrani su Mot e Tlx come mai rendono così poco?
Chi tarocca i rendimenti ? Tenuto conto che sono piu' brevi dovrebbero comunque avere quotazioni che offrano un rendimento del 7 o 8%.

al retail puoi rifilare qualunque robaccia non fiaterà e terrà duro fino alla scadenza ..quelli di fiat si sparano una bella cartuccia...occhio ragazzi non vorrei vedere in questo forum un tomo "Fiat canaglia"


Fiat ed enel non mi convincono proprio! occhio;)
 

albicocco

Forumer storico
Quando Fiat stava per fallire l'altra volta intervennero le banche.
Farebbero il bis? E lo stato?
Sarko non è già intervenuto? Merkel?
Berlus, tra festini e ....., lascerebbe andare tutto in malora?
E Obama che stravede per Fiat?
Per quel che conta il rating dopo l'operazione USA è peggiorato ?
 

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