Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond case automobilistiche e accessorio auto (1 Viewer)

Imark

Forumer storico
Peugeot va a perdere l'IG anche per S&P, che la ha ha messa in osservazione per un downgrade sull'assunto per cui il 2010 sarà per il mercato automobilistico europeo sullo stesso livello del 2009, ossia decisamente negativo.

Il profilo di merito creditizio della casa francese è atteso in ulteriore deterioramento nel 2009 e senza prospettive di recupero nel 2010.

Peugeot S.A. 'BBB-/A-3' And Banque PSA 'BBB/A-2' Ratings On CreditWatch Negative On Continued Weak Auto Demand In Europe

-- We expect auto demand in Europe to remain low in 2010, in line with 2009.
-- In 2008, the European market accounted for about 70% of Peugeot's unit sales.
-- We are placing our 'BBB-/A-3' ratings on French automaker Peugeot S.A., and our 'BBB/A-2' ratings on PSA's fully owned captive finance subsidiary Banque PSA Finance, on CreditWatch with negative implications.
-- The CreditWatch status reflects our concern that Peugeot's financial profile relative to our current rating will not start to recover in 2010 and, if current market expectations come to pass, it might even deteriorate further with respect to 2009.

MILAN (Standard & Poor's) June 25, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it placed its 'BBB-/A-3' long- and short-term corporate credit ratings on French automotive manufacturer Peugeot S.A. (PSA) on CreditWatch with negative implications.

At the same time, Standard & Poor's placed its 'BBB' long-term and 'A-2' short-term counterparty credit ratings on PSA's fully owned captive finance subsidiary, Banque PSA Finance (BPF), on CreditWatch with negative implications.

"The CreditWatch placement reflects the risk we perceive that PSA's financial profile relative to our current rating could deteriorate further in 2009, and that it might not recover in 2010," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Barbara Castellano.

It also reflects our view that auto demand is likely to remain very low in Europe in 2010, due to the weak economic environment and the payback effect of the incentive schemes that several European countries have adopted to date in 2009.

"We aim to resolve the CreditWatch status on both entities after having had the opportunity to assess the effect on PSA's financial profile of revised market expectations for auto demand in Europe in 2009 and 2010," said Ms. Castellano.

We also aim to learn more about how the company strategy will be affected by the deep changes in management composition that have recently taken place.

A downgrade of Peugeot would not automatically entail a parallel downgrade of BPF. To resolve the CreditWatch for BPF, we will assess to what extent the bank might tangibly benefit from effective French government support in case of stress. If systemic support is sufficient to stabilize the bank's creditworthiness at its current level, we could envisage widening the rating differential between BPF and PSA beyond the current one notch.

This would reflect our expectation of external support, given current market conditions and the bank's systemic importance
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Chiunque abbia effettuato o progetti di effettuare investimenti in bond di produttori automotive europei troverà utilità in questo report di Fitch allegato: dalle problematiche legate al working capital ai livelli di leverage, dalle posizioni di liquidità detenute agli asset eventualmente disponibili, un riepilogo interessante e completo sullo stato dell'arte del settore in quella che pare essere ancora una prima fase di una situazione compartimentale fortemente critica ed in predicato di protrarsi per ancora 18 mesi o forse più a lungo, secondo l'agenzia.

Il titolo... European Auto Manufacturers: Slower, Lower, Weaker

La presentazione ...

Fitch: European Automakers Continue to Face Industry Challenges

22 Jun 2009 4:13 AM (EDT)

Fitch Ratings-London-22 June 2009: Fitch Ratings says in a special report published today that the outlook for Europe's automotive industry continues to remain difficult over the next 18 months, as it experiences one of its deepest ever downturns. However, not all companies will be affected to the same extent, as reflected by the agency's ratings of the sector.

"The main differentiating factors between the lowest- and highest-rated groups include the extent of product and geographical diversification, recent and expected market share developments and product positioning, strength of financial profiles entering the recession, and Fitch's expectations of the relative "exit" profiles of manufacturers from the current downturn," says Emmanuel Bulle, Senior Director in Fitch's European Corporates group.

"These expectations include increases in leverage and the capacity to take advantage of a return to trend levels of economic growth, and a company's ability to implement further cost-savings and restructuring measures, and to curb investments and capex."

Fitch's recent rating actions reflect expectations for weak macroeconomic growth and a sharp industry contraction for the remainder of 2009 and 2010. Lower consumer spending and confidence are likely to pressure new vehicle sales and the sector's product mix, as consumers increasingly opt to purchase cheaper vehicles which are less profitable for manufacturers. Fitch is also growing increasingly concerned about the high risk of a pay-back effect on new vehicle sales when various incentive schemes, which are currently being offered in several countries stop and/or when demand for incentivised purchases declines.

Fitch believes that weak demand and lower sales will exacerbate the general overcapacity of Europe's auto industry, and lead to forced restructurings and strategic decisions. However, rationalisation and restructuring will not be immediate, and may take a few years.

The agency also believes it will be costly and weigh further on companies' earnings and cash flows, as charges will not be only related to accounting but also have a cash impact. Financial support, potential cash injections into distressed suppliers or more favourable payment terms are also likely.

Manufacturers' financial structures have already been severely impacted and Fitch expects further volatility of, and stress on, financial profiles (as captured in its recent prospective rating actions on the sector), notably profitability, cash generation and leverage. The role, and potential support, of governments and European institutions remains uncertain.

Several governments have already shown their willingness to intervene and provide implicit or explicit support, through guarantees, loans, or scrapping incentives. However, the impact of such support should not be overestimated as it may be conditional, nor will it be equal for all groups, and will not last indefinitely. Against this backdrop, the auto industry still benefits from strengths and opportunities, including long-term growth prospects.

Despite the saturation of a number of developed markets, worldwide growth in vehicle sales should be supported by emerging markets demand, continuous demographic expansion, and the lack of substitution products. The significant and pivotal importance of the auto industry in several countries and regions from a strategic, economic, political and social perspective provides further support to the auto sector as a whole.

On 24 March 2009, a Fitch portfolio review led to Daimler AG's ratings being affirmed at 'BBB+'/'F2', whilst its Outlook was revised to Negative from Stable; Fiat S.p.A.'s and Peugeot S.A.'s (PSA) ratings being downgraded to 'BB+'/'B' from 'BBB-'/'F3' respectively; and Renault SA's rating being downgraded to 'BB' from 'BBB-'. The Outlooks on Fiat, PSA and Renault are Negative. In addition, Volkswagen Group's ('BBB+'/'F2') ratings remain on Rating Watch Negative.

 

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troppidebiti

Forumer storico
''Il cash flow? E' migliorato da dicembre''. Cosi' l'amministratore delegato di Fiat Sergio Marchionne. ''La Fiat continua ad acquistare quote di mercato contro i concorrenti, si sta posizionando abbastanza bene e ha avuto buoni risultati sia in Italia che in Europa nel mese di giugno''. Inoltre Marchionne ha confermato che l'obiettivo della quota di mercato del 9% ''e' stata superata''.












:rolleyes:
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Beh, però va detto che Fiat qualche bright spot ce l'ha ... quelli di Renault mi sembrano messi peggio di tutti... faranno bene a darsi una mossa, e velocemente... :lol:
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Ora è Porsche a dire di no ad un'offerta di VW per acquistarne il 49%... ma le truppe cammellate dell'emiro del Quatar, ci sono oppure no ? Boh... ;)

Porsche rejects VW offer

Porsche rejects VW offer to take 49 percent stake in sports car maker

  • On Monday June 29, 2009, 9:49 am EDT
STUTTGART, Germany (AP) -- Porsche has rejected Volkswagen AG's bid to take a 49 percent stake in the sports carmaker, a company spokesman said Monday.

Porsche Automobil Holding SE spokesman Albrecht Bamler said the offer by VW "is not a viable option."

According to Bamler, Porsche board chairman Wolfgang Porsche received the offer in a letter by courier last week. But the company's CEO Wendelin Wiedeking and management board were not informed.

"Without the management board, nothing goes here," Bamler said.
Porsche holds a roughly 51 percent stake in Volkswagen, but ran up hefty debts in accumulating that holding and is now seeking a merger with the larger company. Exactly how that is to happen remains unclear.

German weekly Der Spiegel reported the VW offer was worth euro3-4 billion, which would have helped Porsche pay off it debts, racked up in its attempt to take over VW.

Bamler said, however, that for VW to take a stake in Porsche, the Wolfsburg-based automaker would have to take out credit worth euro10.75 billion ($15.15 billion).

Porsche, based in Stuttgart, confirmed earlier this month it has been holding talks with a Qatar state investment fund, the Qatar Investment Authority, on a possible investment.

Volkswagen shares dropped 10.6 percent on the news to euro237.91 in afternoon trading in Frankfurt
 

yellow

Forumer attivo
Come facilmente prevedibile anche l'eccellenza prosegue
nella discesa
( a questo punto la domanda più razionale è
" quanti e chi si salveranno ?
Considerando che è praticamente conclamato una riduzione per i prox anni del mercato automotive di almeno
un 30% - da 90 MLN circa a 60 MLN circa di auto ) :

01.07.09 15:53 - Toyota: Fitch taglia rating su debito ad A+

TOKYO (MF-DJ)--Fitch ha tagliato il rating sul debito di lungo periodo di Toyota Motor da AA ad A+,
confermando :(l'outlook negativo.

L'agenzia ha precisato che i fondamentali dell'intera industria automobilistica sono destinati a restare deboli nel medio periodo e per questo la societa' giapponese difficilmente riuscira' a registrare in futuro le performance positive messe a segno negli ultimi anni.

In particolare, secondo Fitch, Toyota non ha saputo reagire con la dovuta tempestivita' alla crisi
 

METHOS

Forumer storico
Come facilmente prevedibile anche l'eccellenza prosegue
nella discesa
( a questo punto la domanda più razionale è
" quanti e chi si salveranno ?
Considerando che è praticamente conclamato una riduzione per i prox anni del mercato automotive di almeno
un 30% - da 90 MLN circa a 60 MLN circa di auto ) :

01.07.09 15:53 - Toyota: Fitch taglia rating su debito ad A+

TOKYO (MF-DJ)--Fitch ha tagliato il rating sul debito di lungo periodo di Toyota Motor da AA ad A+,
confermando :(l'outlook negativo.

L'agenzia ha precisato che i fondamentali dell'intera industria automobilistica sono destinati a restare deboli nel medio periodo e per questo la societa' giapponese difficilmente riuscira' a registrare in futuro le performance positive messe a segno negli ultimi anni.

In particolare, secondo Fitch, Toyota non ha saputo reagire con la dovuta tempestivita' alla crisi

Cade un altro mito...

Un volta mi sembrava che al mondo fossero solo 5 le corporate con la tripla a, g.e., toyota e altre 3 che non mi ricordo.
Chissà se ne rimarrà almeno una
 

yellow

Forumer attivo
Cade un altro mito...

Un volta mi sembrava che al mondo fossero solo 5 le corporate con la tripla a, g.e., toyota e altre 3 che non mi ricordo.
Chissà se ne rimarrà almeno una


:titanic: Aggiungici pure questa :

01.07.09 18:04 - Porsche: piu' che dimezzate vendite Usa a giugno
ATLANTA (MF-DJ)--Sono scese le vendite auto di Porsche negli Stati Uniti nel mese di giugno.
La casa automobilistica di Stoccarda ha venduto :specchio:902 veicoli,
a fronte dei 2.650 dello stesso periodo dello scorso anno. Nella prima meta' dell'anno,
Porsche ha venduto :titanic::wall:9.659 auto, a fronte delle 15.086 del primo semestre 2008.
 

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