Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond case automobilistiche e accessorio auto (4 lettori)

Imark

Forumer storico
Calano invece alcuni rating di Volkswagen Bank sulla scorta di un deterioramento degli asset e della performance attesa in termini di profittevolezza, entrambi suscettibili di protrarsi per il prossimo biennio.

Segnalo che trova conferma una circostanza già emersa in passato, per cui lo status di banca ed il supporto sistemico accordato dagli stati al sistema bancario (oltre al merito di credito superiore rispetto a quello della Casa automobilistica) secondo S&P concorre a consentire la conservazione da parte di VW Bank di un rating un po' più elevato di quello della casa automobilistica, sebbene questa abbia il pieno controllo della banca.

Tale circostanza tuttavia non si estende alla finanziaria VW Financial Services, il cui status di società captive ma di soggetto non bancario esclude che anche ad essa si estendano aspettative di supporto pubblico.

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Volkswagen Bank Ratings Lowered To 'A-/A-2' On Deteriorating Asset Quality; VWFS Ratings Affirmed; Outlooks Negative[/FONT]

-- Both VW Bank and VW Financial Services face pressure on margins and their asset quality is deteriorating in the current recessionary environment.
-- We are lowering our ratings on VW Bank to 'A-/A-2'.
-- The outlook is negative, reflecting the potential for a further pressure on its stand-alone credit profile.
-- We are affirming the 'A-' long-term rating on VW Financial Services and the outlook is negative, reflecting its unregulated captive finance company status to the VW group.


FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) Aug. 31, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today it revised to 'A-/A-2' from 'A/A-1' its long-term and short-term counterparty credit ratings on Germany-based Volkswagen Bank GmbH (VW Bank), a leading domestic retail and car finance company and one of Germany's largest direct banks. The ratings were removed from CreditWatch where they were placed on May 8, 2009, following a similar rating action on German automaker Volkswagen AG (VW; A-/Negative/A-2). The outlook is negative.

At the same time, we affirmed the 'A-' long-term counterparty credit rating on Germany-based Volkswagen Financial Services AG (VWFS), which is a core and captive subsidiary of German automaker VW and is VW Bank's sole owner. This rating was also removed from CreditWatch negative. The 'A-2' short-term rating on VWFS was affirmed. The outlook is negative.

"The downgrade on VW Bank reflects the deterioration in the bank's stand-alone credit profile in the current economic environment, particularly due to margin pressure and asset quality deterioration," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Dirk Heise.

For the first half of 2009, VW Bank posted declining pretax profits of 1.25% from 1.7% at year-end 2008, relative to risk-weighted assets. For full-year 2009, we expect VW Bank's pretax profits to deteriorate further, owing to higher credit costs in the current recession, increased funding costs that are partly passed on to customers, and much lower contributions from is 50% ownership in LeasePlan Corporation N.V. (A-/Watch Neg/A-2), albeit from high levels.

Although we believe it will face a further rise in credit losses over the next two years, we expect VW Bank to remain profitable. The affirmation of the ratings on VWFS reflects its unregulated captive finance company status to the VW group, which warrants that the ratings on VWFS continue to mirror those on VW.

The negative outlook on VW Bank reflects potential for further pressure on its stand-alone credit profile. "A sharper-than-expected deterioration in credit losses, for instance related to lending to car dealers, resulting in operating losses would lead to a lower stand-alone credit profile," said Mr. Heise.

Conversely, the outlook may be revised to stable irrespective of the negative outlook on its ultimate parent VW if the bank demonstrates resilient performance and asset quality during the downturn and maintains its strong retail deposit funding base.

In case of a downgrade of VW, the rating on VW Bank may be slightly higher than that on its parent, reflecting its banking status, the supportive policy of German authorities, and the bank's own credit strengths, provided intragroup financing does not become material.


The negative outlook on VWFS continues to reflect the outlook on its parent, VW, because the ratings on VWFS are equalized with those on its parent.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Salve a tutti cosa ne pensate dell'emittente VALEO? Vorrei acquistar un 10k del 2013 3,750% isin fr0010206334.

Il comparto è problematico (accessorio auto), l'emittente si sta difendendo abbastanza bene... trovi notizie indietro nel 3D (un report di Fitch di 2-3 mesi fa, un aggiornamento in occasione dell'ultima trimestrale). Ci sarà comunque almeno un altro anno abbondante in cui dovranno stringere i denti... se tutto va senza troppi scossoni e con l'incognita riguardante l'entità delle agevolazioni all'auto in Europa nel 2010: dovessero essere ridotte drasticamente, si soffrirebbe anche di più...

Più conservativa, nel comparto, é Robert Bosch... ma anche i rendimenti sono inferiori.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Qualcuno tempo addietro mi aveva chiesto di questo emittente, che non seguo...

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]German Workshop Operator A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger 'CCC+' Affirmed, Ratings Then Withdrawn At The Company's Request[/FONT]

spacer.gif
FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) Sept. 11, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today it affirmed its 'CCC+' long-term corporate credit rating on Germany-based retailer and integrated workshop operator A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger (ATU). The rating was subsequently withdrawn at the company's request. The outlook was negative before the rating withdrawal. At the same time, the 'CCC-' issue rating on the €150 million floating-rate senior subordinated notes due 2014 issued by A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger Investment GmbH & Co. KG was affirmed then withdrawn.

Before the withdrawal, these notes carried a recovery rating of '6', indicating our expectation of negligible (0%-10%) recovery in the event of payment default.

The recovery rating was based on our valuation of the business, partly as a going concern and on a partial-liquidation basis. We now see continuously declining operating performance, accelerated by tough competition and expected brand dilution, as a key trigger for our default scenario in early 2010.

Under our simulated scenario, we assume that the most profitable branches will be reorganized as going concerns, but that nonprofitable parts will be liquidated at the point of default.

We estimate the stressed enterprise value to be in the range of €200 million to €250 million, based on the proportion of assets sold off on a fully going-concern basis versus assets that are liquidated at the time of default.

The corporate credit rating reflected our assessment of ATU's highly leveraged capital structure, weak liquidity, and the highly competitive automotive aftermarket. The ratings benefited, however, from the company's nationwide network coverage and our view of ATU's considerable purchasing power, which, along with operating cost savings, should help the company improve its operating and financial performance.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Ancora debolezza per il comparto auto in Europa per l'intero 2010, in considerazione dell'esaurimento della spinta degli incentivi alla rottamazione varati in molti paesi (la Germania ha di recente chiuso il proprio programma di incentivi, altri paesi potrebbero non rinnovarli o ridurli in dimensione).

I rating delle aziende del settore resteranno sottoposti a pressioni negative...

Moody's: European car scrapping schemes boost volumes temporarily, but won't lift ratings

Frankfurt, September 10, 2009 -- Vehicle scrapping programmes introduced across Europe with a view to offering incentives for new car purchases have typically succeeded in driving up demand. However, this volume boost is likely to prove short-lived and has overwhelmingly benefited purchases of smaller cars, Moody's Investors Service says in a new Special Comment. Moody's therefore does not expect such schemes to prompt upgrades of the ratings of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) or auto suppliers, which are likely to remain under pressure for the time being.

Moody's notes that Germany's scrapping scheme has recently closed. In addition, while other similar programmes are still in process across Europe, most will also be phased out in the near future, although some may be extended.

"These incentive programmes have helped contain the revenue decline at OEMs and auto suppliers and have given the automotive industry time to adjust its cost base to a lower level of demand. However, Moody's believes these schemes have increased demand only temporarily and a substantial portion of vehicle sales are likely to have merely been brought forward," explains Rainer Neidnig, an Assistant Vice President/Analyst in Moody's Corporate Finance Group and author of the report, entitled "European Car Scrapping Schemes Support Volumes Temporarily, But Won't Improve Ratings".

In addition, as most of the schemes have driven up demand for smaller (and thus lower-priced) vehicles, industry revenues are likely to lag behind volumes in 2009. "The mix-effect will also have a negative impact on profit margins as large cars are often more profitable for OEMs than smaller vehicles and have a higher portion of optional equipment with high margins for suppliers," Mr Neidnig adds.

Moody's expects to witness a significant decline in demand as scrapping schemes come to an end, resulting in significantly lower volumes in 2010. Such developments could potentially challenge the operational efficiency of individual OEMs or suppliers as production will need to be adjusted quickly to large swings in demand. However, Moody's does not expect ratings to be materially affected by the phase-out of scrapping schemes across Europe as current ratings already incorporate such challenges.

Although new car demand will remain a major rating consideration, key rating drivers for European automotive companies going forward will be their ability to (i) swiftly adjust their cost base to lower underlying demand and (ii) protect cash flow throughout the downturn without compromising on the long-term trend towards cleaner, more fuel-efficient cars and growth opportunities in emerging markets
 

nik.sala

Money Never Sleeps
Qualcuno tempo addietro mi aveva chiesto di questo emittente, che non seguo...

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]German Workshop Operator A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger 'CCC+' Affirmed, Ratings Then Withdrawn At The Company's Request[/FONT]

spacer.gif
FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) Sept. 11, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today it affirmed its 'CCC+' long-term corporate credit rating on Germany-based retailer and integrated workshop operator A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger (ATU). The rating was subsequently withdrawn at the company's request. The outlook was negative before the rating withdrawal. At the same time, the 'CCC-' issue rating on the €150 million floating-rate senior subordinated notes due 2014 issued by A.T.U Auto-Teile-Unger Investment GmbH & Co. KG was affirmed then withdrawn.

Before the withdrawal, these notes carried a recovery rating of '6', indicating our expectation of negligible (0%-10%) recovery in the event of payment default.

The recovery rating was based on our valuation of the business, partly as a going concern and on a partial-liquidation basis. We now see continuously declining operating performance, accelerated by tough competition and expected brand dilution, as a key trigger for our default scenario in early 2010.

Under our simulated scenario, we assume that the most profitable branches will be reorganized as going concerns, but that nonprofitable parts will be liquidated at the point of default.

We estimate the stressed enterprise value to be in the range of €200 million to €250 million, based on the proportion of assets sold off on a fully going-concern basis versus assets that are liquidated at the time of default.

The corporate credit rating reflected our assessment of ATU's highly leveraged capital structure, weak liquidity, and the highly competitive automotive aftermarket. The ratings benefited, however, from the company's nationwide network coverage and our view of ATU's considerable purchasing power, which, along with operating cost savings, should help the company improve its operating and financial performance.

io ce l'ho questo bond, i problemi del cocmparto li conosciamo, però pian piano sta salendo...
 

Imark

Forumer storico
io ce l'ho questo bond, i problemi del cocmparto li conosciamo, però pian piano sta salendo...

10 giorni fa 28,5 - 29, 5 sull'ICMA, venerdì a Stoccarda 42,26 - 43,25, last 42,25, 300k scambiati... questo in verità ha serissimi problemi suoi, a prescindere dal comparto... :lol: cmq, tenuto conto che va a ristrutturare, se uno fa holdout e la ristrutturazione passa uguale, può darsi che se la cava...
 

nik.sala

Money Never Sleeps
10 giorni fa 28,5 - 29, 5 sull'ICMA, venerdì a Stoccarda 42,26 - 43,25, last 42,25, 300k scambiati... questo in verità ha serissimi problemi suoi, a prescindere dal comparto... :lol: cmq, tenuto conto che va a ristrutturare, se uno fa holdout e la ristrutturazione passa uguale, può darsi che se la cava...

l'hai vista, l'ultima trimestrale ???
 

dagoweb

Forumer attivo
Francoforte, 14:44


FIAT: MARCHIONNE, INCENTIVI NEL 2010 O SARA' UN DISASTRO

L'amministratore delegato della Fiat, Sergio Marchionne ha chiesto il rinnovo degli incentivi per il settore auto nel 2010, altrimenti "avremo un impatto disastroso".

(16 settembre 2009)
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Alto