Obbligazioni societarie Monitor Bond Industria Aeronautica Worldwide e Linee Aeree Europee

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Visto che siamo su una discussione di "Linee Aeree Europee", riporto una notizia nella quale mi sono imbattuto. Sebbene non riguardi Boing o Airbus ed alte strategie, potrebbe interessare (forse) qualcuno.
Marfin, proprietario della compagnia di bandiera Greca, sarebbe in trattativa per l'acquisizione della compagnia aerea Serba, Jat.
Obiettivo dell'acquisizione è la costituzione di una forte compagnia presente a livello regionale.
 
I dati sul traffico di British Airways segnano uno scivolamento rispetto a quelli del novembre 2008.

British Airways November Traffic Down

By REUTERS
Published: December 3, 2009

LONDON (Reuters) - British Airways <BAY.L> carried 4.3 percent fewer passengers in November year-on-year, dashing hopes air traffic demand is recovering from the deep slump caused by the global recession.

The airline, which last month announced a preliminary agreement for a $7 billion (4.2 billion pounds) merger with Spain's Iberia <IBLA.MC> said on Thursday that its premium, or business class, passengers continued to tumble, falling 1.7 percent on the 2008 figure.

Non-premium traffic fell 4.8 percent.

Its load factor -- a measure of how well it fills planes -- rose 1.5 percentage points to 75.9 percent but the airline said longhaul premium was showing signs of improvement with volumes above the levels of last year and yields improving.

Shares in BA, which have risen 12 percent in the last three months, were 2.4 percent up at 207.5 pence by 1420 GMT, valuing the business at around 2.3 billion pounds ($3.84 billion).
 
Intanto tedeschi 106,30 - francesi 105,05 per entrambi, di media... spread sull'ask sempre lì ... ;)

Ho inserito il pilota automatico...quota crociera - mi dedico ad altro e sto allerta in caso serva il mio intervento...:lol: ;)

106,4 i tedeschi, 105,2 i francesi, di media per entrambi... spread sugli ask sempre nella fascia 100 - 150 bp ... non particolarmente intense nè le oscillazioni intracopartimentali del tipo flight to quality (che dovrebbero favorire i tedeschi) né quelle del tipo inverso, a vantaggio degli emittenti più speculativi (che dovrebbero favorire i francesi)...

Fine giornata all'insegna dello storno: tedeschi 106 (di media), francesi a quota 104,80 (sempre dato mediano) spread fermo, movimento sincrono verso il basso...
 
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Come vanno le cose per Bombardier ?

Le news recenti riguardano i tagli annunciati per il 2010 alla capacità produttiva dei propri commercial airplanes, con corredo di riduzione di posti di lavoro. Le attese degli analisti sono per un ulteriore calo nel 2011 in questo segmento della produzione di Bombardier.

NOVEMBER 26, 2009, 10:33 A.M. ET
UPDATE: Bombardier To Cut CRJ Production, Jobs As Orders Dry UP

(Adds stock-price activity, background detail, analyst commentary throughout. Reworks throughout.)
By Monica Gutschi

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

In a widely expected move, Bombardier Inc. (BBD.B.T) said Thursday it would lower its production of regional jets next year and cut another 715 jobs, mainly in its Montreal-area facilities.

The job cuts are in addition to the 4,360 layoffs announced this fiscal year in the aerospace divison worldwide.

"It's not a big surprise," said David Newman, analyst at National Bank Financial, who had already factored a 20% reduction in Bombardier's production rates for regional jets this year, given the dearth of orders. "The nature of the market now would dictate that they have to make a prudent move."

Company officials had warned in the second-quarter earnings call that, without more orders for regional jets, they would have to cut production rates. At the time, they said there were several sales campaigns in the works. But Bombardier announced only one successful campaign in the third quarter: a letter of intent to purchase 22 CRJ700s from AMR Corp. (AMR).

Demand for Bombardier's smaller CRJ200 and CRJ700 regional jets has withered in recent years as airlines have opted for aircraft seating 75 or more passengers. Indeed, its only firm order for regional jets came early in the fiscal year, when Spain's Air Nostrum purchased 15 CRJ1000 NextGen aircraft, which seat around 100 passengers.

Benoit Poirier at Desjardins Securities said he had also assumed Bombardier would cut its regional-jet output in fiscal 2011, which begins Feb. 1. He forecasts a 7% drop in fiscal 2010 deliveries to 52 regional jets and another 13% drop in 2011 to 45 jets, even including the first deliveries of the CRJ1000s.

Bombardier said severance costs related to the latest job cuts are estimated at about $10 million.

While the company didn't specify by how much it will cut production, Newman said he expects production to fall to about 40 planes a year. As of July 31, the company had only 116 regional aircraft in its backlog, of which 49 were represented by the CRJ1000 which has its first delivery scheduled for early next year.


"There are not enough projected CRJ aircraft sales to maintain the current production plans," Guy C. Hachey, president and chief operating officer of Bombardier Aerospace, said. "Although we are in discussions with several airlines, we had to finalize our aircraft delivery schedule for the next fiscal year," he added.

Bombardier said it continues to invest in the CRJ1000 NextGen, its Learjet 85 business aircraft and its CSeries mainline aircraft programs.
In Toronto Thursday, Bombardier shares are down 16 Canadian cents to C$4.62 in an overall down market.

The plane and train maker is scheduled to release third-quarter earnings next week. Analysts say they are far more concerned about the possibility of further business-jet layoffs following the 25% production cut announced earlier this year. While the business-jet market appears to have stabilized, they say the lack of new orders is worrisome.
 
Discrete notizie invece sul fronte dei business jets, che costituiscono il segmento più profittevole dell'attività di produzione di aeroplani condotta da Bombardier. La recente trimestrale è stata la prima "backlog positive" da un anno a questa parte per il produttore, nel senso che il numero degli ordini è cresciuto in misura maggiore rispetto alle cancellazioni, così portando ad un irrobustimento degli ordini complessivi almeno per questo segmento della produzione.

In contrazione anche il magazzino, con 14 business jets completati ma non ritirati dalla committenza contro i 16 del trimestre precedente.

La situazione resta ancora abbastanza critica in linea di massima, atteso anche il più volte sottolineato carattere "late cyclical" della produzione aeronautica, l'ultima a risentire delle fasi di calo del ciclo economico, ma anche l'ultima a riprendesi in occasione della sua ripartenza. In pillole, in calce all'articolo, alcuni dati su EBIT margin, FOCF e valore complessivo del backlog nel trimestre Q3/2009-2010.

DECEMBER 3, 2009, 12:37 P.M. ET
UPDATE: Bombardier 3Q Confirms End Of Business-Jet Downturn

By Monica Gutschi
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

For the first time in a year, Bombardier Inc. (BBD.B.T) has received more orders than cancellations for its business jets, the latest and clearest sign that the market for corporate aircraft has stabilized even if growth is still a long ways off.

The Montreal-area aircraft maker said Thursday it received 26 orders for business jets in the third quarter, offset by 24 cancellations. That compares to the second quarter, where it had 38 more cancellations than orders, and the first quarter, where it had 61 cancellations compared to 20 orders.

The news of a small net order for two business jets in the third quarter in fact puts the book-to-bill ratio for corporate aircraft at 0.1, higher than that for commercial aircraft, which stood at nil. The company reported only one order for a regional aircraft in the quarter.

"We are starting to see some signs of recovery," in the business-jet market, Chief Executive Pierre Beaudoin said on a conference call, pointing to greater use of fractional-jet shares as an example.

Benoit Poirier at Desjardins Securities pointed to the positive net orders as a sign the business-jet market "is slowly emerging from the bottom."

As with other business-jet manufacturers, Bombardier has been hit with hundreds of cancellations for its business jets in the past year as companies slashed expenses due to a weak global economy. The drop in demand also created a glut of used planes, pushing prices sharply lower.

Earlier this year it announced it would cut production rates of business jets by 25%, leading to more than 4,000 layoffs.

Bombardier now sees the environment improving, even if demand isn't yet growing.

Guy Hachey, president of the company's aerospace unit, said Thursday that, while he is "encouraged by the activity" the company sees in the business market, sales and usage remain well below that in the 2007-2008 heydays.

Indeed, Bombardier still has 14 unsold finished business jets in inventory, down from 16 at the end of the second quarter. More ominously, most are smaller Lear and Challenger models, whose sales have plummeted far more than the large wide-body Globals.

And while BMO Capital Markets noted the number of pre-owned aircraft Bombardier has sitting on its facilities fell by four during the quarter, to 25, it doesn't include those moved to an off-balance sheet facility. "The overall outlook remains negative," BMO says.

Overall, the aerospace division performed in-line with, or slightly better than, the modest expectations. It delivered 61 aircraft compared with 80 for the same period a year earlier.

Its EBIT margin of 5.0% deteriorated 270 basis points in the quarter, but was better than expected due to foreign-exchange gains. Free cash flow rose to $61 million from $9 million. Backlog fell to $17.3 billion from $22.7 billion.
 
In compenso, sempre per completare il quadro rispetto a Bombardier, è andata decisamente bene la divisione del trasporto ferroviario, con una crescita del fatturato dell'11% y-o-y, tale da compensare il calo della produzione aeronautica...

Il fatturato complessivo nel Q3/2009 risulta in crescita dell'1%, mentre l'utile netto cala del 26%, per effetto della contrazione delle consegne di business jets, come menzionato nei post precedenti...

Bombardier Net Falls 26% on Lower Business-Jet Demand (Update3) - Bloomberg.com
 
United Airlines' Savvy Shopping Spree

Airline passengers are all too familiar with the ruses used to protect carriers' profit margins, such as charging baggage fees and scrimping on the snacks.

One that's often forgotten is buying new planes, perhaps because it happens so rarely. United Airlines' announcement on Tuesday that it was purchasing new aircraft was its first in more than a decade.
United's move says much about the state of the airline industry. Like many of its competitors, United's triple-C-rated parent, UAL Corp., must prioritize liquidity. The current industry trough is a good time to order new aircraft. UAL no doubt will have secured big discounts from Boeing and Airbus, having ordered 25 new aircraft, with an option on another 50 from each. And with the planes due for delivery from 2016, UAL only has to lay out $60 million in cash—a fraction of the ultimate cost—over the next three years.

Besides how it is buying the planes, there is the issue of what UAL is buying. Boeing's 787 Dreamliner and Airbus' A350 XWB burn much less fuel than the older 747s and 767s they're replacing. After 2008's brush with triple-figure oil, efficiency is critical.

What's more, the new aircraft should fly further, but will have 19% fewer seats than the planes they're replacing. That sends a powerful message that the main lesson of this recession—namely, that fleets need to be sized properly for demand to maintain pricing power—is being embedded in the asset base.

Smaller aircraft with greater range are easier to fill on new routes. That should hold even for point-to-point services connecting smaller markets directly, without the need to aggregate passengers at traditional transfer hubs on the way. Such flexibility should open new pockets of demand, which is critical when profitability rests ultimately on spreading costs across as many filled seats as possible. The convenience of more direct flights should, in theory, bring on board more passengers willing to pay a premium. They might even forgive the paucity of snacks.
 

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