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BOEING: I RISULTATI DEL PRIMO TRIMESTRE 2010

22 Apr 2010 - Categoria: Industria - Commenti (0)
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Nel primo trimestre 2010 Boeing ha registrato un fatturato di 15,2 miliardi di dollari con un margine operativo del 7,7%. Lo annuncia il gruppo americano, che dichiara un portafoglio ordini di 315 mld con un flusso di nuovi ordini pari a quello delle consegne. Le previsioni per l’intero anno sono di un fatturato di 64-66 mld, che sconta le riduzioni del rateo di produzione del 777 e quella dei programmi di ammodernamento e difesa missilistica dell’US Army. I ricavi per azione saranno tra 3,50-3,80 dollari, in calo di 20 centesimi per l’impatto della riforma sanitaria americana. La società si aspetta comunque un fatturato 2011 in crescita, soprattutto grazie alle previsioni di consegna di 787 e 747-8.
Il fatturato di Boeing Commercial Aircraft è stato di 7,5 mld, con un calo di consegne dell’11% a causa delle mancate consegne dei Boeing 747 ed i problemi legati ai sedili giapponesi. Gli ordini sono stati 83, al netto di 17 cancellazioni, contro 28 ordini e ancor più cancellazioni nello stesso trimestre 2009. Le consegne 2010 sono previste tra 460-465 aerei.
(G. Alegi - www.dedalonews.com
 
Per ora, le perdite generate alle compagnie dagli stop ai voli dovuti all'eruzione vulcanica islandese non sono di per sé sole foriere di conseguenze sui rating.

Dipenderà tuttavia da quanto a lungo si protrarranno... siamo sui 15-20 mln £ al giorno per British Airways e a quota 35 mln euro per Air France KLM. Le compagnie aeree stanno cercando di ottenere sostegno dagli stati nazionali nell'occorrenza di chiusure ai voli dello spazio areo.

Moody's says ratings of European airlines unaffected by volcano impact at this time, but may be reassessed if impact is protracted


London, 20 April 2010 -- Moody's has today indicated that at this time its ratings for European airlines and related structured transactions are not affected by the flight cancellations and airport closures resulting from volcano ashes emanating from the volcano in Iceland. However, this assessment could change if conditions do not improve in the coming weeks.

While the commercial impact is widespread, we believe that the ultimate financial impact will depend largely on the duration of airport closures and flight cancellations. On the weekend immediately after the volcanic eruption, the degree of closures and cancellations across Europe was deemed more widespread and costly than immediately after the September 2001 attacks. IATA has estimated the daily loss in revenues globally to be c.USD200 million, and adds that European airlines are expected to remain the laggard in 2010 in terms of a recovery in airline profitability versus other continents, while referring to labour unrest in Europe as a factor.

On an individual level, however, we believe that for the most part the rated European airlines retain sufficient buffers to weather this disruption. Nevertheless, we also believe that the financial impact will likely delay the expected recovery in metrics that is often factored into our current ratings. British Airways (B1 stable outlook) has estimated the daily loss in revenues to amount to c.GBP15-20 million, while noting that it retains in excess of GBP2 billion in cash and credit lines available. Air France-KLM has reported a daily loss of EUR35 million as a result of the disruptions; and while not specifying numeric losses, Lufthansa (Ba1 stable outlook) and Iberia have also been affected by substantial flight cancellations. SAS (Caa1 CFR, under review for possible downgrade) has estimated a daily loss of SEK50-90 million in earnings, which includes alternative travel arrangements for its passengers, while its liquidity status will depend on the successful implementation of its planned rights issue.

We would not expect that airlines' insurance policies would cover a force majeure event such as this one. At the same time, we understand that European airlines are seeking financial compensation for the closure of airspace from the EU and national governments, which would likely represent the first sizeable state assistance to the industry since the September 2001 attacks.

Moody's currently rates three airlines in Europe: British Airways; Lufthansa; and SAS; and two airline structured transactions: FRANs 2003 Plc; and Iberbond 2004 Public Limited Company.
 
Stabile l'outlook dei comparti dell'aeronautica e della difesa per Moody's, sorretti, specie il primo, dalla consistenza dei backlog...

Moody's: Global Aerospace and Defense Sector Outlook Stable

New York, May 06, 2010 -- The stable outlook for the global aerospace and defense sector reflects a six-year-plus order backlog for airframe manufacturers as well as expectations for record U.S. defense spending in the near-term, Moody's Investors Service said in a new report.

"During the financial crisis, the substantial backlog of the large commercial airplane makers, Boeing and Airbus, provided flexibility to keep production fairly stable," said Robert Jankowitz, Moody's Senior Vice President.

With the big backlog, the airframers overbooked production slots and were able to accommodate deferral requests, which kept production steady and prevented the negative financial impact of slowing and then increasing the assembly lines in response to current demand shifts. The industry avoided the sharp production cuts characteristic of past down cycles, the report says.

Although orders for new airplanes are likely to be meager for a while, the airframers are beginning to boost production modestly as airline passenger and cargo demand improve. "This is mostly restoring the modest production cuts that were announced last year," said Jankowitz, adding that competitive pressures are on the horizon from Chinese and Russian manufacturers.

While results for this year are likely be weaker than they were for most business jet makers in 2009, orders and deliveries could begin to recover in mid-2011, due to improving fleet utilization and business income, said Moody's.

Strong U.S. defense outlays, which are about half the world's total, will support solid conditions for defense contractors for several years. However, potential changes in procurement practices and shifts in defense priorities could pose challenges for individual companies.

"Efforts to contain defense costs will loom large during the next few years, given that U.S. defense spending sits at record highs and the federal budget is under pressure from high deficits and the fallout of the credit crisis," said Jankowitz.
Other trends may lead to shifts in the dynamics of the defense industry, leading to consolidation activity and intensified cross-border competition. International contractors may pursue more business in the U.S. market, given its size and the slower defense spending in their home markets, while U.S. contractors could also be seeking more growth in international markets as the domestic base slows down.
 
I conti trimestrali di EADS...

EADS profit drops 39% on currency hedges, A380 costs


LONDON (MarketWatch) -- European Aeronautic Defense & Space Co. on Friday reported a 39% profit drop in the first quarter, as a hit from deteriorating currency-hedging rates more than offset savings from its Power8 restructuring program, slightly more plane deliveries and a better mix of sales.

EADS earned 103 million euros ($131 million), or 13 European cents a share, down from €170 million euros, or 21 cents a share. Revenue rose 6% to €8.95 billion. The results did beat expectations, as analysts polled by FactSet had expected earnings of €33 million on revenue of €8.79 billion.
Shares of EADS advanced 3.7% on the Euronext Paris, helped by an upgrade at Deutsche Bank to buy from hold as the broker looked past the "weak" first quarter results.

The Airbus division saw its profit nearly evaporate this quarter, with earnings before interest, tax, impairments, goodwill and exceptional items falling to €7 million from €89 million, as the plane maker continues to suffer from the costs of its A380 superjumbo program.

The aerospace industry has had a rough two years. Orders for new aircraft peaked in 2007, leaving top suppliers with bulging order books and component shortages, but demand for new jets collapsed as the economic downturn drove sharp cutbacks in air travel.

Still, Airbus commercial deliveries edged up to 122 from 116 in the first quarter, compared to 108 deliveries at rival Boeing. None of its customers cancelled orders, a sign that airlines are starting to emerge from the financial crisis as the Airbus order book improved by 60.
EADS more broadly saw its order intake rise 54% to €14.4 billion.
"I am cautiously optimistic that our industry is slowly on its way back up," said CEO Louis Gallois in a statement. "Economic indicators signal a recovery trend of the global economy. This has a clear positive impact on air traffic."

Over the full year the European maker hopes to deliver about the same number of aircraft as in 2009, when it handed over 498 planes.
Still, there are a number of issues clouding the outlook for EADS, even though on Friday the company reiterated its forecast for earnings before interest, taxes and one-time items to reach about €1 billion in 2010.


"We need to progress with the A380, to finalize the contract amendment with the customer nations on A400M, while moving forward on the technical side and to step up the development of the A350," Gallois said.
The A350 XWB is the company's response to Boeing's 787. Although the design and characteristics of the jet have been frozen, it remains a paper airplane at this stage.

Ominously, Airbus Chief Executive Thomas Enders last month said in an interview with German weekly magazine Focus that he couldn't rule out deliveries of the A350 being delayed.

The current schedule calls for first flight to take place in 2012 and deliveries to start in 2013.
Uncertainty around the A350 program, however, isn't the company's only issue.

It needs, in the next few months, to put forward a new bid for a massive contract to build a new fleet of aerial refueling tankers for the U.S. military.

EADS and its U.S. partner Northrop Grumman initially won the contract in 2008, only to see the decision overturned a few months later after Boeing complained that the evaluations had been unfair and the brief unclear. EADS is now back in the bidding process, again stating on Friday that it intends to bid for the tankers.

EADS posted a net loss of €763 million in 2009 as it took provisions because of delays and cost overruns with its A400M military transport aircraft. It also took a hit from exchange rates.

One positive sign for EADS is the drop in the euro as a result of the sovereign debt crisis. EADS sells planes in dollars while most of its costs are in euros.

"EADS should benefit in the mid- and long-term if the dollar trend is confirmed," Gallois said.
Deutsche Bank said Friday's upgrade was largely on pricing in an environment with the euro at $1.25 instead of $1.40.
 
Infatti sto al "finestrino" a vedere se tra qualche tempo sarà il caso di fare un'altro giretto su AF-KLM...dopo essere sceso molto soddisfatto dal primo volo Air France un paio di mesi fa...:D :up:

Ho volato con soddisfazione su entrambi... imbarco a Berlino, poi cambio a Parigi... è un pezzo però che ero rimasto con i piedi per terra... :D ;)
 
Ho volato con soddisfazione su entrambi... imbarco a Berlino, poi cambio a Parigi... è un pezzo però che ero rimasto con i piedi per terra... :D ;)

Io lo scalo a Berlino l'avevo saltato...ma non è detto che non possa ridiventare una meta interessante anche quella (magari)...anche se dopo un volo francese di 5 mesi circa, tutto sommato senza grosse turbolenze, ora si sta molto meglio a terra...non ci sono dubbi ;)
 

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