Tassi di cambio (valute) Monitor euro - sterlina inglese (EUR-GBP)
- Creatore Discussione ricpast
- Data di Inizio
wartburg_12
forumer storico
cosa comprare ?
Salve, io avrò nei proximi giorni la vendita di obb. in £, ci guadagno bene nel valore dei titoli ma ci rimetto nel valore del pound
, ergo re-investirei in obb. in £ ... c'è qualcuno qui che ha qualche consiglio in merito ?
Io ho visto qualcosa (cedole anche dell'8.75%, prezzi anche fino a 105, sigh, scadenze dal 2011 al 2015, s&p rate ininfluente (quasi) ).
Però mi chiedevo se avete qualche 'cavallo favorito' ...
.
Ok, that's all, sorry se NON è questo il territorio per questa domanda !
Salve, io avrò nei proximi giorni la vendita di obb. in £, ci guadagno bene nel valore dei titoli ma ci rimetto nel valore del pound
, ergo re-investirei in obb. in £ ... c'è qualcuno qui che ha qualche consiglio in merito ?Io ho visto qualcosa (cedole anche dell'8.75%, prezzi anche fino a 105, sigh, scadenze dal 2011 al 2015, s&p rate ininfluente (quasi) ).
Però mi chiedevo se avete qualche 'cavallo favorito' ...
.Ok, that's all, sorry se NON è questo il territorio per questa domanda !
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Salve, io avrò nei proximi giorni la vendita di obb. in £, ci guadagno bene nel valore dei titoli ma ci rimetto nel valore del pound
Io ho visto qualcosa (cedole anche dell'8.75%, prezzi anche fino a 105, sigh, scadenze dal 2011 al 2015, s&p rate ininfluente (quasi) ).
Però mi chiedevo se avete qualche 'cavallo favorito' ...
Ok, that's all, sorry se NON è questo il territorio per questa domanda !
alcune da tradinglab
Allegati
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
ciao giuppo, la prima cosa da stabilire è se sono semplici uncirculated bullion o versioni proof ( le più preziose ) , la seconda lo stato di conservazione.
Una buona valutazione la puoi trovare sulle aste online di ebay uk , sul compra subito di solito fanno un pò di cresta . Il nome originale di queste monete è sovereign.
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
lorenzo63
Age quod Agis
Just when you thought it was safe to get back in the U.K. water…
Sterling has soared more than 15% against the dollar over the last few weeks on signs of returning economic confidence. But that rally stopped in its tracks Thursday when Standard & Poor's threatened to downgrade the U.K.'s coveted Triple A rating, putting the country on negative outlook for the first time ever. It was a reminder that the risks to both sterling and the U.K. gilt market remain immense.
S&P's move may have come as a surprise to the market, but the reasons behind it were not. The U.K. public finances are in a dire state, made worse by the government's budget in April that combined scarcely credible borrowing forecasts with a blank refusal to spell out how the deficit might be bought under control.
The U.K. Treasury forecasts in the budget conveniently showed debt peaking at 79% of GDP, just under the 80% level that would usually trigger a downgrade – adding to the suspicion that the forecasts were politically influenced. But S&P doesn't believe the Treasury's figures.
It expects UK borrowing to hit 100% of GDP and remain there for many years, based upon a taxpayer final bill for bailing out the banking system that is roughly twice the Treasury's low-ball estimates.
Sure, it's possible to paint a bullish picture for the U.K. It has a relatively open and flexible economy that is showing some signs of responding to unprecedented stimulus. House prices and retail sales both show signs of stabilizing.
It also has an accommodative central bank that has been merrily buying up gilts as fast than the Treasury can issue them, and a general election due by next June that, on current polls, will install a Conservative government with a mandate to restore the public finances. Indeed, S&P has specifically linked its rating to the fiscal policies of the next government.
But plenty could go wrong this side of the election. The recovery may be slower than expected, blowing a hole in the government's borrowing forecasts. Or the Bank of England may call time on quantitative easing, leaving the government to finance its debt without the support of a huge buyer.
Either might lead to failed gilt auctions and much higher yields. No one knows where the breaking point might be. The Treasury was last year warned by its own broker that it might struggle to sell more than 100 billion pounds ($159 billion) of gilts. In the end, the market absorbed 140 billion pounds, albeit against a backdrop of extreme risk aversion.
Much depends on the attitude of foreign investors, who have for years been absorbing a growing share of gilt issuance. But they are also the investors most likely to be influenced by a rating decision. S&P's action is a warning shot to the U.K. political class, already in turmoil as a result of an expenses scandal, that it can no longer duck an urgent debate over how to repair the U.K.'s broken finances. But it should also be a warning shot to other countries -- the U.S. included -- that they cannot expect to continue running up vast deficits and not suffer the consequences
Sterling has soared more than 15% against the dollar over the last few weeks on signs of returning economic confidence. But that rally stopped in its tracks Thursday when Standard & Poor's threatened to downgrade the U.K.'s coveted Triple A rating, putting the country on negative outlook for the first time ever. It was a reminder that the risks to both sterling and the U.K. gilt market remain immense.
S&P's move may have come as a surprise to the market, but the reasons behind it were not. The U.K. public finances are in a dire state, made worse by the government's budget in April that combined scarcely credible borrowing forecasts with a blank refusal to spell out how the deficit might be bought under control.
The U.K. Treasury forecasts in the budget conveniently showed debt peaking at 79% of GDP, just under the 80% level that would usually trigger a downgrade – adding to the suspicion that the forecasts were politically influenced. But S&P doesn't believe the Treasury's figures.
It expects UK borrowing to hit 100% of GDP and remain there for many years, based upon a taxpayer final bill for bailing out the banking system that is roughly twice the Treasury's low-ball estimates.
Sure, it's possible to paint a bullish picture for the U.K. It has a relatively open and flexible economy that is showing some signs of responding to unprecedented stimulus. House prices and retail sales both show signs of stabilizing.
It also has an accommodative central bank that has been merrily buying up gilts as fast than the Treasury can issue them, and a general election due by next June that, on current polls, will install a Conservative government with a mandate to restore the public finances. Indeed, S&P has specifically linked its rating to the fiscal policies of the next government.
But plenty could go wrong this side of the election. The recovery may be slower than expected, blowing a hole in the government's borrowing forecasts. Or the Bank of England may call time on quantitative easing, leaving the government to finance its debt without the support of a huge buyer.
Either might lead to failed gilt auctions and much higher yields. No one knows where the breaking point might be. The Treasury was last year warned by its own broker that it might struggle to sell more than 100 billion pounds ($159 billion) of gilts. In the end, the market absorbed 140 billion pounds, albeit against a backdrop of extreme risk aversion.
Much depends on the attitude of foreign investors, who have for years been absorbing a growing share of gilt issuance. But they are also the investors most likely to be influenced by a rating decision. S&P's action is a warning shot to the U.K. political class, already in turmoil as a result of an expenses scandal, that it can no longer duck an urgent debate over how to repair the U.K.'s broken finances. But it should also be a warning shot to other countries -- the U.S. included -- that they cannot expect to continue running up vast deficits and not suffer the consequences
giangi12
Nuovo forumer
Sul cross euro/gbp diamo un occhio invece al giornaliero.
La sterlina appare tonica negli ultimi giorni e l'euro non pare avere la forza di fargli sfondare i 0,9090..
La figura che si vede è una specie di bandiera che, se bucata in alto porterebbe velocemente alla parità tra le due valute.
Vedendo però cosa sta succedendo anche oggi (euro debole debole) preferisco immaginare un buco all'ingiù...
Se infatti il cross bucasse 0,869 per l'euro potrebbero essere dolori
sono bearish come view tecnica di fatto sull'euro anche nei confronti della sterlina (oltre che del dollaro)
Ma allora non sarebbe conveniente investire oggi qualcosa in GBP? in un'ottica di breve-medio sarebbe più conveniente sia l'acquisto (con una vendita successiva) sia le eventuali cedole (che col cambio da GBP a Euro dovrebbero essere più ricche)?
Grazie per la risposta.
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Ti dico solo che l'analisi tecnica (ancora più di altre analisi) sulle valute devi prenderla con le molle
Molto con le molle.
Fatti un'idea tutta tua e prendi le mie parole magari solo come spunto di riflessione.
Fare previsioni sulle valute è davvero arduo e spesso fallace.
sempre.
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
ti prego, ridimmelo.
mi eccito tanto quando parli francese.
ma certament mon chere
cmq prova di forza oggi del pounds , alla fine S&poveri , come dice nell'articolo postato da lorenzo, ha solo emesso l'inutile ammonimento che sarà meglio che vincano i tory l'anno prox, cosa al momento scontata.
