ETC Natural Gas (53 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
NEO_99
Forumer storico
per ora sembra abbastanza difficile....
foo fighter
Forumer storico
ciao a tutti !
foo fighter
Forumer storico
sono d'accordo, siamo ormai sul 61,8% di ritracciamento, e non accenna per ora a fermarsi, la vedo dura anche io a salire ancora molto, sarà già tanto fare nuovi massimi
NEO_99
Forumer storico
Ciao Foo
Natural gas futures fell sharply to hit a three-week low during U.S. morning trade on Monday, as forecasts showing mild weather for mid-February weighed on demand expectations for the heating fuel.
Natural gas prices have closely tracked weather forecasts in recent weeks, as traders try to gauge the impact of shifting forecasts on winter heating demand.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.305 per million British thermal units during U.S. morning trade, down 4.1% on the day.
It earlier fell by as much as 4.3% to trade at a session low of USD3.292 per million British thermal units, the weakest level since January 11.
The front-month February contract is due to expire at the end of Tuesday’s trading session. Contract expiration often leads to volatile sessions as market participants look to close out positions or reposition their portfolios.
Meanwhile, the more actively traded contract for March delivery lost 4.2% to trade at USD3.317 per million British thermal units.
Updated weather forecast models released earlier pointed to mostly mild temperatures for mid-February, with forecasts calling for a break in the recent bout of frigid weather that has hit the U.S. Midwest and Northeast in the past two weeks.
The Commodity Weather Group predicted above-normal temperatures in the eastern half of the U.S. from February 7 through February 11.
Bearish speculators are betting on the mild weather reducing winter demand for the heating fuel after forecasts originally called for colder-than-average weather during the period.
Natural gas prices have closely tracked weather forecasts in recent weeks, as traders try to gauge the impact of shifting forecasts on winter heating demand.
The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption. Nearly 50% of all U.S. households use gas for heating.
Still-high inventory-levels also weighed on prices. Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.996 trillion cubic feet as of last week, 5% below last year’s level, but 12% above the five-year average for this time of year.
Early withdrawal estimates for this Thursday’s storage data range from 196 billion cubic feet to 210 billion cubic feet. Inventories fell by 149 billion cubic feet in the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change for the week is a decline of 178 billion cubic feet.
If withdrawals for the rest of winter season match the five-year average pace, inventories will end the heating season at 2.048 trillion cubic feet, nearly 18% above normal, but 17% below last year's end-winter record of 2.48 trillion cubic feet.
Natural gas futures fell sharply to hit a three-week low during U.S. morning trade on Monday, as forecasts showing mild weather for mid-February weighed on demand expectations for the heating fuel.
Natural gas prices have closely tracked weather forecasts in recent weeks, as traders try to gauge the impact of shifting forecasts on winter heating demand.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in February traded at USD3.305 per million British thermal units during U.S. morning trade, down 4.1% on the day.
It earlier fell by as much as 4.3% to trade at a session low of USD3.292 per million British thermal units, the weakest level since January 11.
The front-month February contract is due to expire at the end of Tuesday’s trading session. Contract expiration often leads to volatile sessions as market participants look to close out positions or reposition their portfolios.
Meanwhile, the more actively traded contract for March delivery lost 4.2% to trade at USD3.317 per million British thermal units.
Updated weather forecast models released earlier pointed to mostly mild temperatures for mid-February, with forecasts calling for a break in the recent bout of frigid weather that has hit the U.S. Midwest and Northeast in the past two weeks.
The Commodity Weather Group predicted above-normal temperatures in the eastern half of the U.S. from February 7 through February 11.
Bearish speculators are betting on the mild weather reducing winter demand for the heating fuel after forecasts originally called for colder-than-average weather during the period.
Natural gas prices have closely tracked weather forecasts in recent weeks, as traders try to gauge the impact of shifting forecasts on winter heating demand.
The heating season from November through March is the peak demand period for U.S. gas consumption. Nearly 50% of all U.S. households use gas for heating.
Still-high inventory-levels also weighed on prices. Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.996 trillion cubic feet as of last week, 5% below last year’s level, but 12% above the five-year average for this time of year.
Early withdrawal estimates for this Thursday’s storage data range from 196 billion cubic feet to 210 billion cubic feet. Inventories fell by 149 billion cubic feet in the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change for the week is a decline of 178 billion cubic feet.
If withdrawals for the rest of winter season match the five-year average pace, inventories will end the heating season at 2.048 trillion cubic feet, nearly 18% above normal, but 17% below last year's end-winter record of 2.48 trillion cubic feet.
foo fighter
Forumer storico
ad ogni modo bisogna stare attenti perchè c'è da chiudere l'annuale, potrebbero anche farlo con un trimestrale molto ribassista. Magari per via del tempo atmosferico, è comunque un fatto che sono ben impostati al ribasso per ora. io ho solo il dubbio su cosa sia partito il 10 o il 2 gennaio che sia. E per quanto riguarda l'invesro che cosa stia partendo dal 21 gennaio, un T+1 (per certo) o anche altro? E c'è in ballo fino al T+3. Io mi sarei aspettato una lingua e se è vero, a breve (entro giovedì) deve invertire. Però non so, non ho segnali long neppure in vista per ora
mavtop
Forumer storico
se non ricordo male sull'inverso del gas dovrebbe partire il 4o T+3 quindi apparte una prima fase al rialzo (ribasso sul sottostante) potrebbe starci anche una parte in discesa (salita sul sottostante), il problema e' da quale valore parte la salita ?
Se per esempio scende per un T+1 soltanto allora possiamo ancora ritestare nuovi massimi, ma se invece scende per un T+2 la vedo dura.
domani se ho tempo posto un analisi, non lo faccio da un po' semplicemente perche' c'e' quella di Elico e bene o male la analizziamo nello stesso modo (parlo del metodo ovviamente).
Se per esempio scende per un T+1 soltanto allora possiamo ancora ritestare nuovi massimi, ma se invece scende per un T+2 la vedo dura.
domani se ho tempo posto un analisi, non lo faccio da un po' semplicemente perche' c'e' quella di Elico e bene o male la analizziamo nello stesso modo (parlo del metodo ovviamente).
