Donzauker
Forumer attivo
'sera a tutti.
Previsioni di Ben.
Sembrano abbastanza bearish:
Storage for EIA report date 5/9/13
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 5/3 and reported by EIA on 5/9.
observation:
total temperatures warmed significantly from the week prior with HDDs dropping by 54 according to NOAA.
degree demand for the week was 24% lower than normal and 35% lower than the same week last year.
the move towards mild temperatures reduced residential and commercial heat demand by 50 bcf from the previous week.
industrial use was also lower by around 3bcf due to the change in weather.
demand from power generation increased slightly as higher CDDs in the South along with lingering nuclear outages helped support higher gas fired loads.
total domestic supply remained high despite slight weather related production slowdown in the Rockies along with some pipe and processing maintenance in the Gulf region.
imports fell by nearly 2bcf on the week as demand and regional spot prices fell in the East.
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 62 (12cdd 50hdd)
previous week: 108 (4dd 104hdd)
same week last yr: 84 (17cdd 67hdd)
avg: 77 (12cdd 65hdd)
next wk fcst 56 (14cdd 42hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: 30
5-yr avg: 69
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my current estimate is 90 bcf
Previsioni di Ben.
Sembrano abbastanza bearish:
Storage for EIA report date 5/9/13
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 5/3 and reported by EIA on 5/9.
observation:
total temperatures warmed significantly from the week prior with HDDs dropping by 54 according to NOAA.
degree demand for the week was 24% lower than normal and 35% lower than the same week last year.
the move towards mild temperatures reduced residential and commercial heat demand by 50 bcf from the previous week.
industrial use was also lower by around 3bcf due to the change in weather.
demand from power generation increased slightly as higher CDDs in the South along with lingering nuclear outages helped support higher gas fired loads.
total domestic supply remained high despite slight weather related production slowdown in the Rockies along with some pipe and processing maintenance in the Gulf region.
imports fell by nearly 2bcf on the week as demand and regional spot prices fell in the East.
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 62 (12cdd 50hdd)
previous week: 108 (4dd 104hdd)
same week last yr: 84 (17cdd 67hdd)
avg: 77 (12cdd 65hdd)
next wk fcst 56 (14cdd 42hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: 30
5-yr avg: 69
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my current estimate is 90 bcf
