'giorno..
posto le previsioni di Ben.
A me sembrano piuttosto bearish... cosa ne pensate?
Storage for EIA report date 2/21/13
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 2/15 and reported by EIA on 2/21.
observation:
last week was warmer than normal and the same week last year.
mild tempeartures resulted in a 5bcf/d drop in demand from the week prior.
nuclear outages helped place additional loads on gas fired units last week, improving the weather adjusted power burn figures by .5bcf/d.
however, power burn figures on a per degree basis remain much more bearish than last year when prices were below PBR coal rates.
domestic supply continues improving, putting total output back near all time highs.
imports from LNG and Canada remain extremely weak as domestic supply continues to displace imports.
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 191 (2cdd 189hdd)
previous week: 216(1cdd 215hdd)
same week last yr: 210 (0cdd 210hdd)
avg: 206 (1cdd 205hdd)
next wk fcst: 200 (1cdd 199hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: -155
5-yr avg: -140
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:
http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my estimate is -121 bcf