Odeon
New Issue Assessment: avoid at the price talk of 9%-9.25% for the GBP fixed tranche and Euribor +500-525 bps for the EUR FRNs
Odeon is currently in the market for a the equivalent of GBP 475 mn 7Y bonds to refinance existing debt. The Roadshow is expected to end today. In our view, this issue is leveraged to perfection, with a lease adjusted leverage of 8.25x EBITDAR (according to Lucror methodology) due to a high level of rents supporting off-balance sheet debt. This is in the context of tight cash flows in a sector with poor visibility on revenues and high operating leverage. Further, the indenture has numerous issues in our view, starting with an ability to sell the business within 6 months without triggering a change of control, the absence of maintenance covenants on the RCF and poor security given the leasehold estate. The introduction of an FRN layer as reported might attract fresh investors, yet will not address the many underlying issues. We give a “Very High Risk” assessment on the LARA sale. Please refer to our New Issue Assessment published yesterday for more details.
New Issue Assessment: avoid at the price talk of 9%-9.25% for the GBP fixed tranche and Euribor +500-525 bps for the EUR FRNs
Odeon is currently in the market for a the equivalent of GBP 475 mn 7Y bonds to refinance existing debt. The Roadshow is expected to end today. In our view, this issue is leveraged to perfection, with a lease adjusted leverage of 8.25x EBITDAR (according to Lucror methodology) due to a high level of rents supporting off-balance sheet debt. This is in the context of tight cash flows in a sector with poor visibility on revenues and high operating leverage. Further, the indenture has numerous issues in our view, starting with an ability to sell the business within 6 months without triggering a change of control, the absence of maintenance covenants on the RCF and poor security given the leasehold estate. The introduction of an FRN layer as reported might attract fresh investors, yet will not address the many underlying issues. We give a “Very High Risk” assessment on the LARA sale. Please refer to our New Issue Assessment published yesterday for more details.