Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE T-Bond-10y-Bund : la maledizione di f4f (vm18)

ciao fo :D


US Treasuries on defensive as rate concerns mount
Wed Sep 6, 2006 1

By Lucia Mutikani

NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt prices hovered at lower levels on Wednesday as investors fretted that the Federal Reserve may resume its interest rate-raising campaign after robust data on labor costs and services sector growth.

The surprise surge in unit labor costs, a gauge of inflation and profit pressures, and strong growth in the service sector brought Fed's battle with inflation back into focus. Inflation erodes the value of bonds over time.

The Fed paused in its two-year-long interest rate-raising cycle last month.

Second-quarter unit labor costs were revised to a 4.9 percent rise, well above economists' median forecast for a rise of 3.8 percent. The Institute of Supply Management's services sector index rose to 57 in August, above economists' median forecast for an increase to 55. The index rose 54.8 in July.

"I think this is a report that improves near-term economic prospects while suggesting that the Fed may not be finished at reining in inflation risks. ... It warns us that more Fed rate hikes can't be dismissed," said John Lonski, chief economist at Moody's Investors Service in New York.
 
Reuters
Fed Beige Book says U.S. economy continues growth
Wednesday September 6, 2:03 pm ET


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. economy grew overall from mid-July to late August, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, but five of the 12 Fed districts reported slowing growth as residential construction slackened and energy costs rose.


The Fed, in its Beige Book summary of economic conditions, said the Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Kansas City and Dallas districts reported declines in the rate of growth, but the remaining seven districts reported little change in their pace of activity since the last report, released on July 26.

The Fed said there were widespread price increases for energy, metals and other commodities, but these did not appear to be triggering more general consumer inflation.

"Widespread increases in the prices of energy and certain other commodities persisted since the last report, though most of these increases do not appear to have passed through to finished consumer goods," the Fed said.

The report was prepared by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York based on data collected on or before August 28.
 
Run the Park ha scritto:
Uokkei dal tono originale mi sembrava fossi d'accordo e invece eri in disaccordo :D

Inizialmente i mercati si sono stabilizzati ed il dollaro si è indebolito.
Poi il dollaro ha continuato l'indebolimento ma i mercati non hanno reagito.
:rolleyes:

In teoria potrebberlo farlo tra stasera e domani ma occorre osservare con attenzione perchè la reazione intermarket attuale potrebbe essere solo un rimbalzo di breve per tonificare le inversioni.
Da considerare che il beige book presenta poche pressioni inflazionistiche (da li il recupero dei bond ma non il carry) ma anche diverse aree di rallentamento economico (mancata reazione dell'azionario)

Se i trend si ricostruiscono i carry torneranno se no i movimenti avranno solo natura macro.
 
riassunto della giornata....

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gipa69 ha scritto:
e' arrivato al momento poco sopra.... :) 37587

gooood morning bbbanda

a 37500 dovremmo essere ancora a +300euro
a 37000 c'è il gain


il bello del papertrading l'è rischiare
lassamo apert il gastontrade, finchè non si vede inversione
spartiacque il 37800 ... credo... iersera non ho studiato il mercato ....
 

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