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ThePost.ie
State wants 25% of BoI to remain private
29 May 2011 By Jon Ihle Markets Correspondent
The government is aiming to keep at least 25 per cent of Bank of Ireland shares in private hands following its recapitalisation this year, according to senior sources briefed on the matter.
The Department of Finance is developing a plan to raise the €5.2 billion the bank needs that will most likely give the state a majority stake, but leave at least a quarter of the institution to existing shareholders, current bondholders and any strategic investors which emerge, the sources said.
The team of officials working on the Plan want to keep enough liquidity in the stock to be able to offer subordinated bondholders an extra incentive to swap their debt for equity instead of opting for cash when liability management exercises are announced next week.
The department believes investors who choose a debt-for equity swap might subscribe to a subsequent rights issue if there is a big enough free float in the stock.
Higher liquidity also gives the state more scope for lucrative exit strategies, including sales of large stakes to strategic investors, if Bank of Ireland returns to profitability.
The bank submitted its recapitalisation plan to the Central Bank last Friday after consultations with the Department of Finance and the National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA).
The board and management are hoping to keep the state’s shareholding, now at 36 per cent, from becoming a majority stake, but most analysts believe quasi-nationalisation is inevitable.
If the bank cannot raise enough money in the markets to maintain independence, it is understood its next objective is to maintain a large free float.
Bank of Ireland has €2.8 billion in outstanding bonds subject to buybacks or debt-for equity swaps.
The state stands to save billions in recapitalisation funds if most bondholders take equity.
But this risks diluting the state’s existing stake while handing potential upside to new investors, which the state wants to avoid.