Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE BUND, TBOND and the middle of the guado (VM 69)
- Creatore Discussione masgui
- Data di Inizio
shabib
Forumer storico
ciao CARO e stimatissimi STRAFICHI :
questa me la ero persa
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a5_XmLUK1JRc
good W.E.
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
ciao CARO e stimatissimi STRAFICHI :
questa me la ero persa
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a5_XmLUK1JRc
good W.E.
ricambio.. mio bucaniere...
f4f
翠鸟科
ciao CARO e stimatissimi STRAFICHI :
questa me la ero persa
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a5_XmLUK1JRc
good W.E.
Jack: Summoning the Brethren Court then, is it?
Barbossa: It's our only hope, lad.
Jack: That's a sad commentary in and of itself.
Barbossa: The world used to be a bigger place.
Jack Sparrow: The world's still the same. There's just... less in it.
buon uikkèn
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Qualcuno segue ancora i mercati qua? 
Direi che sull'orario abbiamo un bel triplo massimo con oscillatori in divergenza e quest'ultimo un caccia stop pazzesco....
fanno fatica a portarlo giù perchè ad ogni ribasso intervengono con carry- armati, fanteria investitrice e quant'altro per mantenerlo su mentre non appena va su si comincia a parlare di top imminente ed al primo accenno di storno tutti a shortare o a coprirsi.. la risoluzione della faccenda a breve e quanto detto in questi giorni attualissimo.
Fernando'S
Forumer storico
presente sono
aggiornai
http://www.investireoggi.it/forum/e...q-vt40323.html?p=1036893&posted=1#post1036893
aggiornai
http://www.investireoggi.it/forum/e...q-vt40323.html?p=1036893&posted=1#post1036893
Fernando'S
Forumer storico
ricambio.. mio bucaniere...
mi chiedevo...
il cava-liere cavalca il cavallo
..il trombe-ttiere suona la tromba
....il buca-niere che fà ?
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
INTEL'S NEWS NOT ENOUGH TO FIGHT ALTITUDE SICKNESS
By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/28/2009 1:22:31 PM Eastern Time
This morning started off strong following the revised expectations from Intel Corporation (INTC) but following the consumer confidence numbers, the market started to slide. The news bit this morning could have been the last nail in the coffin for the shorts, but consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in four months on worries over high unemployment and dismal personal finances, though the mood managed to improve from earlier this month. We came into this session with a positive feeling after yesterday's strong rebound (we expect a pullback to come, but we are going to try to make our clients money as long as the ride continues), and felt that a strong sentiment reading could bring a lot of people back from the Hampton's a little earlier. The latest University of Michigan reading (a revision to the previously issued August figure) of consumer sentiment slipped to 65.7 this month, down from 66.0 in July.
The market staged a triple digit turnaround yesterday, and during the premarket it looked like we were going to continue the 8 day winning streak (longest winning streak since April 2007), but the market has since been very choppy. Volume is higher than it was yesterday, but it still is a lazy summer day (albeit raining in New York). Advancers and decliners are relatively flat on the day.
The tech sector is adding some strength to the market (more about this later in the report), but something that may be flying under the radar is the speed at which leverage is returning to the market. Banks are increasing lending to buyers of high-yield company loans and mortgage bonds at what may be the fastest pace since the credit-market debacle began in 2007. Federal Reserve data shows that the 18 primary dealers required to bid at Treasury auctions held $27.6 billion of securities as collateral for financings lasting more than one day as of Aug. 12, up 75% from May 6. The increase suggests that money is being used for some of the riskier type of loans such as home loans, corporate and asset-backed securities, agency debt and mortgage bonds guaranteed by Washington-based Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae. Maybe this is the precursor to what we have been waiting to see from the financial sector; the increase of available credit to help spur economic growth. It is still difficult for small businesses to get loans, and it is still difficult for consumers to get loans, but hopefully this is a clue that some sense of normalcy is returning the markets and the consumer credit will soon thaw.
The Dollar's Dive
David Urani, Research Analyst, Wall Street Strategies
Don't look now but the dollar is still stuck in a downtrend. There are a lot of traders saying that investors are moving out of the dollar, which was previously serving as a safe haven. However, government spending has to be a driving force. The Congressional Budget Office recently lowered its 10-year deficit forecast to $7 trillion from $9 trillion, while the White House raised its forecast to $9 trillion from $7 trillion; what an unconvincing and concerning flip-flop between the two offices. Naturally, the falling dollar is driving an increase in gold and silver prices and other commodities. It's no wonder that there is increasing chatter of curbing the role of oil speculators. It seems like there's a market consensus that inflation is on the way, so naturally U.S. officials have gotten a head start preparing the scapegoat. If we are going to artificially hold prices down so be it but it seems a tad cowardly to blame the speculators. It is also interesting to note that the treasury auction earlier this week continued to see strong demand from overseas despite all the rumblings about unrealistic debt levels and moving away from the dollar.
Techs Attempt to Keep the Market Afloat
Carlos Guillen, Research Analyst, Wall Street Strategies
Overall all tech shares are performing well in today's trading session. The chip sector, as measured by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), increased well over 2% from Thursday's closing price. Some of the companies that are driving the index into the green are STMicroelectronics (STM), Marvell Technology (MRVL) and, yes, Intel (INTC).
Shares of INTC rose more 4% and broke through the $20 level driven by its better than expected outlook for the September quarter. Earlier this morning, Intel's management raised its revenue guidance to $9 billion plus or minus $200 million ($8.8 billion to $9.2 billion), up from its prior guidance of $8.5 billion plus or minus $400 million. The midpoint of the new guidance landed above the Street's consensus estimate of $8.55 billion (our estimate called for $8.9 billion of revenue; we are currently working through the press release to see if an updated revenue figure is warranted), and represents sequential growth of approximately 11%. Management also expects to be at the upper end of its previously guided gross margin range of 53% plus or minus a couple of points. Overall, we believe Intel's news is a positive for the tech sector as it is signaling that consumer demand it still alive and kicking.
Also contributing to the tech sector strength is news from Marvell Technology as it reported financial results that blew past the Street's consensus estimates. The company posted earnings per share of $0.18 on revenue of $641 million, while the Street was expecting earnings per share of $0.14 on revenue of $620 million. Moreover, Marvell expects September quarter revenue between $680 million and $730 million, well above the Street's estimate of $647 million, and the chipmaker forecasts earnings per share between $0.18 and $0.26, above the Street's $017 estimate. These results were very encouraging as they are signaling that the economy is improving.
Yesterday after the close of trading, Dell also reported strong results for the June quarter that beat on both the top and bottom lines, delivering revenue of $12.8 billion and earnings per share of $0.28, higher than the Street's estimates calling for revenue of $12.6 billion and earnings per share of $0.23. Dell's stronger than expected results are evidence of its effective cost management and stabilizing demand in IT. At the same time, the results continue to signal that consumer spending in tech products is slowly rising.
By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
8/28/2009 1:22:31 PM Eastern Time
This morning started off strong following the revised expectations from Intel Corporation (INTC) but following the consumer confidence numbers, the market started to slide. The news bit this morning could have been the last nail in the coffin for the shorts, but consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in four months on worries over high unemployment and dismal personal finances, though the mood managed to improve from earlier this month. We came into this session with a positive feeling after yesterday's strong rebound (we expect a pullback to come, but we are going to try to make our clients money as long as the ride continues), and felt that a strong sentiment reading could bring a lot of people back from the Hampton's a little earlier. The latest University of Michigan reading (a revision to the previously issued August figure) of consumer sentiment slipped to 65.7 this month, down from 66.0 in July.
The market staged a triple digit turnaround yesterday, and during the premarket it looked like we were going to continue the 8 day winning streak (longest winning streak since April 2007), but the market has since been very choppy. Volume is higher than it was yesterday, but it still is a lazy summer day (albeit raining in New York). Advancers and decliners are relatively flat on the day.
The tech sector is adding some strength to the market (more about this later in the report), but something that may be flying under the radar is the speed at which leverage is returning to the market. Banks are increasing lending to buyers of high-yield company loans and mortgage bonds at what may be the fastest pace since the credit-market debacle began in 2007. Federal Reserve data shows that the 18 primary dealers required to bid at Treasury auctions held $27.6 billion of securities as collateral for financings lasting more than one day as of Aug. 12, up 75% from May 6. The increase suggests that money is being used for some of the riskier type of loans such as home loans, corporate and asset-backed securities, agency debt and mortgage bonds guaranteed by Washington-based Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae. Maybe this is the precursor to what we have been waiting to see from the financial sector; the increase of available credit to help spur economic growth. It is still difficult for small businesses to get loans, and it is still difficult for consumers to get loans, but hopefully this is a clue that some sense of normalcy is returning the markets and the consumer credit will soon thaw.
The Dollar's Dive
David Urani, Research Analyst, Wall Street Strategies
Don't look now but the dollar is still stuck in a downtrend. There are a lot of traders saying that investors are moving out of the dollar, which was previously serving as a safe haven. However, government spending has to be a driving force. The Congressional Budget Office recently lowered its 10-year deficit forecast to $7 trillion from $9 trillion, while the White House raised its forecast to $9 trillion from $7 trillion; what an unconvincing and concerning flip-flop between the two offices. Naturally, the falling dollar is driving an increase in gold and silver prices and other commodities. It's no wonder that there is increasing chatter of curbing the role of oil speculators. It seems like there's a market consensus that inflation is on the way, so naturally U.S. officials have gotten a head start preparing the scapegoat. If we are going to artificially hold prices down so be it but it seems a tad cowardly to blame the speculators. It is also interesting to note that the treasury auction earlier this week continued to see strong demand from overseas despite all the rumblings about unrealistic debt levels and moving away from the dollar.
Techs Attempt to Keep the Market Afloat
Carlos Guillen, Research Analyst, Wall Street Strategies
Overall all tech shares are performing well in today's trading session. The chip sector, as measured by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), increased well over 2% from Thursday's closing price. Some of the companies that are driving the index into the green are STMicroelectronics (STM), Marvell Technology (MRVL) and, yes, Intel (INTC).
Shares of INTC rose more 4% and broke through the $20 level driven by its better than expected outlook for the September quarter. Earlier this morning, Intel's management raised its revenue guidance to $9 billion plus or minus $200 million ($8.8 billion to $9.2 billion), up from its prior guidance of $8.5 billion plus or minus $400 million. The midpoint of the new guidance landed above the Street's consensus estimate of $8.55 billion (our estimate called for $8.9 billion of revenue; we are currently working through the press release to see if an updated revenue figure is warranted), and represents sequential growth of approximately 11%. Management also expects to be at the upper end of its previously guided gross margin range of 53% plus or minus a couple of points. Overall, we believe Intel's news is a positive for the tech sector as it is signaling that consumer demand it still alive and kicking.
Also contributing to the tech sector strength is news from Marvell Technology as it reported financial results that blew past the Street's consensus estimates. The company posted earnings per share of $0.18 on revenue of $641 million, while the Street was expecting earnings per share of $0.14 on revenue of $620 million. Moreover, Marvell expects September quarter revenue between $680 million and $730 million, well above the Street's estimate of $647 million, and the chipmaker forecasts earnings per share between $0.18 and $0.26, above the Street's $017 estimate. These results were very encouraging as they are signaling that the economy is improving.
Yesterday after the close of trading, Dell also reported strong results for the June quarter that beat on both the top and bottom lines, delivering revenue of $12.8 billion and earnings per share of $0.28, higher than the Street's estimates calling for revenue of $12.6 billion and earnings per share of $0.23. Dell's stronger than expected results are evidence of its effective cost management and stabilizing demand in IT. At the same time, the results continue to signal that consumer spending in tech products is slowly rising.
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