Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE BUND, TBOND and the middle of the guado (VM 69)

gli short americani del 11 gennaio ( confermati poi nel vecchio continente )
sono ancora in essere :up:
 

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dicevo degli short aperti e confortati dal minimo del vix del 11 gennaio, dalle candele bianche seguenti e soprattutto dall'indicatore, ben cerchiato in rosso, sul livello di vendita .

...checcè ne dica l'amico Fritz :)

okkio che manca la candela di oggi ( mi arriva domattina )
ricordo, ai non pratici, che il livello di long, nell'indicatore, è quello superiore
 

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azzzz.... questa è brutta :( :wall:


Durable Goods "Mistake" Or FRAUD? - The Market Ticker
On January 5th the durables report for November was 'released'.
It showed a 0.2% increase. I didn't write on it at the time, as it didn't appear to be particularly consequential. The report, of course, came in the middle of the first-week January market rally.
But now, in the dark of night, the number has been revised - to a decrease of 0.7%. The reason is a claimed "statistical error."
This, by the way, should have been obvious from the retail sales report, which I did write on.

Here's the ugly - the Census' link to the report is now listed as missing (that is, intentionally removed!) and what's worse the link they refer you to, the "Historical M3 Releases" does not have the corrected November data - it only has releases through October on it.
That is, November's report has disappeared.

No, the "historical" tab doesn't have it either. Attempting to retrieve it off the link in Google's search returns a "not currently available, see historical" message - but it's not there.

You would think that such an "error" would result in an immediate press release by Census identifying the cause of the error and a corrected report, along with CNBS and the rest of "ToutTV" talking about how this "mistake" happened and alerting investors to the fact that they had made decisions based on "mistaken" information and in fact durables had suffered a second sequential decline.

YOU WOULD BE WRONG.

Are we now down to rank fraud in "data releases" from our government, revised in the dark of night without public notice or press release, with the agencies claiming "statistical error"?

Folks, honest errors are immediately admitted to when discovered and disseminated to all of the people who the government or agency knows relies on these figures for economic decisions.

But when "errors" are less than honest the person or agency committing them attempts to hide the evidence instead of admitting to and publicly exposing their mistake.

You decide.
 
Sto leggendo il report di Richard Bove sulla situazione politica e sulleconeguenze sul settore bancario e c'è da ridere (o piangere..) paragona la democrazia USA a quella Venezuelana e attacca sia i democratici che i repubblicani...
 
Party First, Nation Last
[FONT=Calibri,Calibri][FONT=Calibri,Calibri]The opposition party objects to everything the ruling party is attempting to achieve. These objections are best seen in the withdrawal of the opposition party from the governing process. This party has only provided a vague set of policies to restore the nation to health.
This party is now seeking to remove the Chairman of the Federal Reserve the only man in the country left in Washington who has any credibility in the financial markets. Press reports suggest that there is more than a 50% chance that the head of the Federal
[/FONT]
[/FONT][FONT=Calibri,Calibri][FONT=Calibri,Calibri]Reserve will not be renominated. By eliminating this man the opposition party presumably believes that his policies can be wiped away and the monetary ease of the past 15 months can be reversed.
There seems to be a fear on the part of the opposition party that the policies of the ruling party will succeed in returning the nation to prosperity. This is to be fought by all means. If the country is healthy again the opposition party would be prevented from regaining power. Thus, prosperity must be prevented so the party can be preserved.
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[/FONT]Shareholder Reaction
[FONT=Calibri,Calibri][FONT=Calibri,Calibri]Shareholders are voting by removing their money from the system. There is a clear vote of no confidence in both the ruling and opposition parties. The fear is that as these parties fight for political power, slashing at every icon of the current system, they have forgotten their obligations to the nation and the nation is about to suffer as a result.
The reaction to step aside until this battle is over is the correct one. However, it is clear that a new financial system is being crafted for the nation. Investors must determine how to position themselves to benefit from the new system. The problem, of course, is that the actions being taken by the government and its opposition may set back for years the period before one can benefit.
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