Obbligazioni societarie GM, Ford, Chrysler: il 3D dell'automotive USA (3 lettori)

slowdown

Forumer storico
137. S&P upgrades GMAC, Residential Capital to 'CCC/C'
5:28 PM ET, Feb 04, 2009 - By Sue ChangSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said late Wednesday it raised the counterparty credit rating on GMAC LLC and its subsidiary Residential Capital LLC to CCC/C from selective default. The upgrade comes after GMAC received $5 billion in Troubled Asset Relief Program funds from the U.S. Treasury which helped to relieve the liquidity pressure it had been under.
 

yellow

Forumer attivo
Danni collaterali e rischi crac :

06.02.09 13:45 - Auto: anche la componentistica Usa verso crisi liquidita':titanic:

DETROIT (MF-DJ)--Dopo le Big Three di Detroit,
potrebbe essere la volta delle societa' di componenti per auto a bussare alla porta del Governo in richiesta di aiuto.

L'associazione Motor & Equipment Manufacturers, che rappresenta 400 societa' del settore,
ha infatti sottolineato come senza l'aiuto del Governo la maggior parte dei gruppi di componentistica entrera' in crisi di liquidita' entro il primo marzo.

Tale crisi e' la conseguenza dei massicci tagli alla produzuione messi a segno dalle societa' automobilistiche tra dicembre e gennaio.

Nel mese di marzo, infatti, secondo le previsioni dell'associazione, i pagamenti da parte delle Big Three dovrebbero scendere del 70%, comportando una vera e propria crisi di liquidita' per le societa' di componenti per auto.

Senza aiuti da parte del Governo americano le societa' del settore non avranno a partire da marzo piu' liquidita' sufficiente per acquistare le materie primne e produrre parti per auto.
 

paologorgo

Chapter 11
Well, you knew this was coming, didn’t you? The WSJ reports late today that the auto companies are behind schedule in putting together their plans for financial survival. Naturally, it’s not their fault. It seems the lack of a car czar is to blame. According to the Journal, critical negotiations with their debt holders on a debt for equity swap and talks with the unions are nowhere near any sort of conclusion. Let me rephrase that last statement. Chrysler hasn’t even started talking to its bondholders and GM (GM) just submitted a term sheet to them. As for the unions, the article says that “little progress has been reached with the UAW on cutting labor costs.” It goes on to say that the most contentious point between the unions and the companies is a lack of clarity on how to define competitiveness.
Jesus Christ! Are we back to what the “meaning of is is?” We’re talking about numbers here, guys. You figure out how many cars you can sell, what it’s going to cost you to make them, what your other costs are and come up with a figures that let you get to that point. But once that simple exercise became an exercise in politics via their bailout, the prospects for a rational solution flew out the window.
Here’s how this plays out. Obama doesn’t want these guys coming back on February 12th with their plan while he’s trying to justify the fiscal stimulus plan and TARP ll, so the lack of a czar lets him kick the can down the road. Congress and the auto industry stakeholders enablers go to bat for their interests as the whole thing starts to be reworked. Forget viability, rescue will become the watchword. All sorts of spin is going to be forthcoming about setting these companies up to provide energy independence and restructuring them for a “green” world. American jobs will be invoked as a rationale for non-economic decisions and before you can say appropriation the Congress will be at work on a new spending program. After all, when you’ve just spent close to a trillion dollars this solution is going to be pocket change.
There was a slim chance a couple of months ago that a free market solution might have been invoked. A Chapter 11 filing would have worked with the government providing the necessary financing. It was probably always a chimera and the executives and union leaders knew so. That option no longer exists. The issue is now political and political it will stay.


http://seekingalpha.com/article/119...r-or-is-that-just-an-excuse?source=wl_sidebar
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Intanto in settimana altra raffica di rating actions negative su componentistica auto e allestitori a stelle e strisce ....
 

paologorgo

Chapter 11
WASHINGTON, Feb 6 (Reuters) - The Obama administration is talking with U.S. auto industry about more help, but no decisions are expected until General Motors Corp (GM.N) and Chrysler LLC submit turnaround plans to the government later this month, a White House official said on Friday.
The Obama administration also confirmed the government's hiring of two law firms to assist Treasury Department officials on auto restructuring matters, but did not divulge plans for naming a truste or "czar" to overse the process.
"The administration is engaged at the highest levels -- including the Treasury secretary and the National Economic Council director -- on the issues affecting suppliers, dealers and the industry as a whole," the official said, referring to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Lawrence Summers, head of the National Economic Council.
"No decisions will be made on restructuring or anything else until we receive and review the restructuring reports due on (Feb. 17)," the official said of the deadline for GM and Chrysler to show progress on meeting cost savings and other targets associated with their $17.4 billion December bailout.
"If the companies have determined some of the targets are not possible to meet in a timely fashion, they have the opportunity to explain their circumstances in their presentation," the official said.
GM and Chrysler have until March 31 to demonstrate to the government that they can be commercially viable. GM and Chrysler told policymakers in December that they faced possible near-term collapse without the aid.
U.S. automotive suppliers said on Thursday they were trying to secure government funding to avoid a deeper industry crisis including possible bankruptcies. Suppliers have presented three options to U.S. officials that, combined, would total aid of some $25 billion.
The official said the Treasury and White House were "in communication with suppliers and the auto companies."
GM and Chrysler bailout funds originated from Treasury's corporate rescue program mainly aimed at failing banks. Another $7.5 billion in capital was directed to financing companies GMAC and Chrysler Financial to stimulate lending to consumers to finance vehicle sales.
Reuters reported on Thursday the government had retained two law firms with bankruptcy experience and the investment bank Rothschild to advise officials on restrucuturing.
New York law firm Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP will consider possibilities including the prospect of a bankruptcy funded by the government, a person with direct knowledge of the work said.
Cadwalader is joined by Chicago-based law firm Sonnenschein, Nath & Rosenthal and Rothschild in working with U.S. officials as they prepare to review the GM and Chrysler turnaround plans, the person said.
The legal appointments, confirmed by an administration official, appeared to revive the possibility the government could consider a federally funded debtor-in-possession financing for Chrysler or GM in a bankruptcy process.
Some outside experts urged the Bush administration in December to pursue that option, which was opposed by automakers, suppliers, dealers and the United Auto Workers.

"Most everyone agrees that the best solution is for them to restructure out of court," Sen. Bob Corker, a Tennessee Republican and a pointman on Capitol Hill on auto restructuring, said in an interview with Reuters.
But Corker doubted whether Chrysler, because of its heavy secured debt, could obtain suitable concessions from creditors. GM, on the other hand, has a debt scenario that was more favorable for court restructuring, Corker believes.
"Maybe that's the only way to go forward. Maybe that increases pressure on bond holders for restructuring GM," Corker said of Treasury's decision to retain bankruptcy experts.
Corker, whose state includes auto assembly operations of foreign makers and some production by domestic companies, believes Chrysler's best chance is to merge.
Some industry officials are concerned the administration has not moved fast enough to name a trustee or czar to oversee auto industry restructuring, influencing efforts at GM and Chrysler to negotiate labor concessions and reach other targets required to be completed by March 31.
Lobbyists and congressional officials had hoped for an appointment by this week, but industry sources said the administration wants to settle on a team, rather than a single individual, to address financial, labor and other issues.
There are also discussions with lawmakers, who want input.
"I think it's important we have the right people. I know they're working actively," said Rep. Sander Levin, a Michigan Democrat. (Additional reporting by Jeff Mason, Jui Chakravorty Das and David Bailey; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama, Richard Chang) ([email protected]; +1 202 898 8395; Reuters Messaging: [email protected])

http://www.reuters.com/article/mark...207?rpc=44&pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0
 

paologorgo

Chapter 11
It looks like Chrysler’s efforts to cook its books, by stuffing the channel, is taking on new urgency. In an AP report, Chrysler VP, Jim Press, is quoted, threatening dealers to buy more unneeded cars: "You have two choices," Press told the group, according to the trade publication Automotive News. "You can either help us or burn us all down." The full article can be read here.
Of course, moving automobiles, for which there is little demand, from Chrysler’s balance sheet, to the dealer balance sheets, does little to inspire confidence that a viable business plan will be forthcoming. And since the dealers are likely financing these cars with TARP money, via Chrysler Financial or participating banks, it is all the more discouraging.
One wonders, though, whether U.S. Treasury officials will fuss over such details. Soon it will be reviewing Chrysler’s business plan to determine whether it is viable, and thus qualifies for additional TARP support. So far, I am not convinced that Chrysler can be a viable automaker. And it’s not just the dubious dealer sales which are giving me doubts. The sudden deal with Fiat (FIATY.PK), where it has traded Chrysler shares for small-engine technology plans, should also be viewed skeptically. Given the long lead-time to transform itself into America’s small car maker, and the lack of risk (to Chrysler or Fiat), it looks more like a tale crafted to unlock more TARP funds: Once upon a time, a stodgy and failing American automaker exchanged paper shares for paper technology plans, and abracadabra...America’s small car maker appeared!
Such a tale would be more convincing, if somebody other than the U.S. Treasury were seeking to fund it! If Cerberus isn’t willing to make further investment in Chrysler, and it can’t even convince Fiat to include a bit of cash for the ownership position…what kind of signal is that sending?


http://seekingalpha.com/article/119225-is-chrysler-viable
 

c0ltran3

Forumer attivo
General Motors Said to Plan Negotiations With Bondholders, UAW

By Serena Saitto, Zachary R. Mider and Jeff Green
Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp. executives, advisers, bondholders and union officials plan to meet this week in Detroit to negotiate the government-ordered debt restructuring of the automaker, two people close to the talks said.
The discussions, which are said to include all global debt holders, follow previous informal talks as part of the Detroit automaker’s plan to reduce $27.5 billion in unsecured debt to about $9.2 billion by swapping for equity, the people said. They asked not to be named because the meetings, scheduled for tomorrow and Feb. 10, are private.
GM is under pressure to show progress in negotiations with bondholders and the United Auto Workers ahead of a Feb. 17 status report to the U.S. Treasury as part of an agreement to keep $13.4 billion in loans the automaker needs to stay out of bankruptcy. GM has pledged to reduce dealers and brands.
“As we continue our restructuring and work toward meeting the terms of the term loans, GM is providing certain necessary information to key stakeholders’ advisers so they can appropriately evaluate the decisions they will have to make,” GM spokeswoman Renee Rashid-Merem said.
“Given the confidential nature of those discussions, we won’t discuss any specifics.”
UAW spokesman Roger Kerson didn’t immediately return a phone call seeking comment.
‘Serious Blow’
Pacific Investments Management Co., manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, resigned from the bondholder committee last month, Bill Gross, Pimco’s co-chief investment officer, said Jan. 20. The defection of Pimco was a “serious blow” to GM’s exchange offer, KDP Investment Advisors Inc. said at the time.
The 10-member bondholder committee includes San Mateo, California based Franklin Resources Inc. and Fidelity Investments of Boston, a person with knowledge of the situation said last month.
If GM can’t convince the bondholders and UAW to agree to new terms, the government could force GM to return the loans or convert them into funding for a government-backed bankruptcy. GM has said a bankruptcy may lead to liquidation because it would further erode sales, which fell 49 percent in its home market in January.
GM also is required to reduce UAW labor costs to close to parity with foreign automakers with operations in the U.S., such as Toyota Motor Corp. and in a separate equity swap, reduce obligations to a union-retiree health-care fund by 50 percent to $10.2 billion.
UAW President Ron Gettelfinger has said he is willing to make concessions if other stakeholders, including bondholders and GM executives also make concessions.
Job Cuts
GM is also readying a plan this month to cut thousands of salaried jobs, people familiar with those plans said. Those cuts may help with efforts to get additional union concessions, the people said. The job losses may be similar in magnitude to more than 5,000 eliminated last year, the people said.
GM is offering retirement incentives to most of its 62,000 UAW members that include $20,000 cash and a $25,000 voucher for a new car for workers willing to retire or quit. About 22,000 of the GM workers are eligible to retire.
GM would like to get more than 10,000 union workers to leave and is expecting at least half that many to accept, one person said. Workers have until March 24 to decide.
The survival strategy also includes a plan for GM to sell, drop or de-emphasize half of its brands and to cull 1,700 U.S. dealers from its 6,400 total.
Chrysler Plan
By Feb. 17 GM, along with Chrysler LLC, which borrowed $4 billion, must outline its plan for long-term viability, competitiveness and energy efficiency. The plan must demonstration how the automakers will repay the loans, restructure their business and ensure a positive value for the automakers in the future.
The plan must show monthly detail through 2010 and annual projected financial results through 2014.
By March 31, GM must have union approval for any contract changes as well as an agreement to cut the costs of the union retiree health-care fund. The automaker must also have begun the debt exchange offer with bondholders.
To contact the reporters on this story: Zachary R. Mider in New York at [email protected]; Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan at [email protected]
 

frankiemachine

Mr. Tentenna
GM, Chrysler May Be Put Into Bankruptcy to Protect U.S. Loans
By Mike Ramsey and Tiffany Kary


Feb. 9 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC may have to be forced into bankruptcy by the U.S. government to assure repayment of $17.4 billion in federal bailout loans, a course of action the automakers claim would destroy them.

U.S. taxpayers currently take a backseat to prior creditors, including Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., according to loan agreements posted on the U.S. Treasury’s Web site. The government has hired a law firm to help establish its place at the front of the line for repayment, two people involved in the work said last week.

If federal officials fail to get a consensual agreement to change their place in line for repayment, they have the option to force the companies into bankruptcy as a condition of more bailout aid. The government would finance the bankruptcy with a so-called “debtor in possession” or DIP loan, a lender status that gives the U.S. priority over other creditors, said Don Workman, a partner at Baker & Hostetler LLP.

“They are negotiating to see if they can reach an agreement,” said Workman, a bankruptcy lawyer based in Washington. “If not, they are saying ‘We are pretty darn sure that a bankruptcy judge will allow us’” to be first in line for repayment.

Both automakers have dismissed calls to reorganize under bankruptcy protection, saying a Chapter 11 restructuring would scare away buyers and lead to liquidation. GM and Chrysler are working toward a Feb. 17 deadline to show progress on a plan put in place as part of the U.S. loans received in December from the Troubled Asset Relief Program. They must reduce labor costs and show how they will repay the money by next month.

Out of Court

GM and Chrysler are already trying to restructure out of court, cutting labor costs, reducing debt levels and eliminating dealers. GM is in talks to pare $27.5 billion in unsecured debt to about $9.2 billion in a swap for equity.

The company said it plans to shut dealers and reduce obligations to a union retiree health fund by half to $10.2 billion in a separate equity swap. Chrysler Chief Executive Officer Robert Nardelli has said his company will also try to cut debt levels.

January sales from automakers plunged 55 percent at Chrysler, 49 percent at GM and 40 percent at Ford Motor Co.

Ford, the second-largest U.S. carmaker, has declined government bailout funds so far.

The government has the option of working out an intercreditor agreement outside of bankruptcy that would give it rights to some collateral ahead of other creditors. Such agreements, often made when money is lent to a company that already has liens on most of its assets, are usually negotiated when the loan is made.

U.S. Law Firm

Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP is advising the government on how to make sure it gets paid back first, including by way of intercreditor agreements, the people involved with the talks said. Hired last month, the law firm is working for the government with Sonnenschein, Nath & Rosenthal, a Chicago-based firm with capital-markets experience, and Rothschild Inc., an investment bank, the people said.

The issues are “extremely complex,” said Bruce Clark, a credit analyst at Moody’s Investors Service.

The existing loan agreements appear to give the banks a superior position to the government, Clark said.

“However, at the end of the day, the ultimate position of the government could end up being determined by whatever concessions various creditors make, and the determination of a bankruptcy court if it ever gets there,” he said.

When the automakers were lobbying the government for assistance, lawmakers made a point of saying that the government must be assured that if the companies failed, taxpayers wouldn’t lose the investment.

Existing Lenders

Workman said the U.S. couldn’t force its loans to supersede existing secured lenders, so it built in a measure that allowed the debt to be converted to debtor-in-possession financing.

“A carrot and stick approach is spot on,” he said.

As it stands, the government loans fall below existing debt secured by most assets for Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler and Detroit-based GM. Prior lenders have first position on some assets. The government has first position on assets not already pledged.

Chrysler has $7 billion in loans from a group of banks, including New York-based JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup. It also has $2 billion in loans from owners Cerberus Capital Management LP and Daimler AG. Cerberus owns 80.1 percent of Chrysler. Daimler owns the remainder.

GM has $6 billion in loans secured by assets from lenders including JPMorgan and Citigroup. JPMorgan spokesman Brian Marchiony, Goldman Sachs spokesman Michael Duvally and Citigroup spokeswoman Danielle Romero-Absilos declined to comment.

Lori McTavish, a spokeswoman for Chrysler, declined to comment beyond confirming the primacy of the bank loans. GM spokeswoman Renee Rashid-Merem and Treasury spokesman Isaac Baker declined to comment.

Unless the automakers show by March 31 that they will be able to return to profit and repay the money, the government can demand return of the loans.

To contact the reporters on this story: Mike Ramsey in Southfield, Michigan, at [email protected] and; Tiffany Kary in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York at [email protected].

Last Updated: February 9, 2009 00:01 EST
 

Imark

Forumer storico
GM starebbe conducendo trattative per acquistare alcuni impianti da Delphi. Delphi ed i suoi creditori chiederebbero 2 mld $, GM sarebbe disponibile a pagare poco o niente.

Nell'ottica di GM, si tratterebbe di recuperare la polpa di quella produzione di componentistica Delphi che le è assolutamente necessaria (circa il 20% del valore delle vendite attuale di Delphi), lasciando andare al proprio destino il resto.

L'auspicio è che tale accordo incontri l'assenso del governo USA, interessato al salvataggio del maggior numero di posti di lavoro possibile, considerato che Delphi non ha titolo per beneficiare autonomamente di fondi pubblici.

Dal WSJ Online

FEBRUARY 9, 2009 GM in Talks to Take Back Part of Delphi

By JEFFREY MCCRACKEN and JOHN D. STOLL

General Motors Corp. is in talks to take back large portions of Delphi Corp., the parts supplier spun off by the auto maker a decade ago, people involved in the negotiations said. The move is part of a strategy to qualify for additional government loans.

GM also is expected to pursue the closure of more auto-assembly plants beyond the nine shutdowns it has already announced, people familiar with the matter said.

GM has seen sales fall further than expected since it submitted a plan to Congress in December that said it will shrink to as few as 65,000 employees from 96,000 and cut its plants to 38 from 47 in North America in 2012. The deepening woes are putting pressure on GM to absorb the crucial auto-parts plants, even as it pares its car-making operations.
GM executives have been in negotiations over the Delphi plants since December.

Delphi and its lenders have asked for at least $2 billion, according to people briefed on the talks. But GM hopes to pay little or nothing because of previous agreements with Delphi -- and because of the plight the auto-parts maker finds itself in. At the heart of the talks: up to five Delphi plants that produce exclusive parts for GM, including steering systems, radios and air conditioners for models such as the Cadillac CTS and Chevrolet Silverado

The Delphi discussions are part of GM's strategy to line up additional bailout funds from the U.S. government, which has already committed $13.4 billion to the car company. Delphi, based in Troy, Mich., has been under bankruptcy protection for 40 months and has been an enormous cash drain on GM, which long has subsidized its operations under obligations stemming from the creation of the auto-parts maker.

Several major auto suppliers, some as big as Delphi, have said the entire U.S. supply chain needs several billion dollars in immediate aid in order to avoid collapse. But few of them hold the sway Delphi does, and without a relatively strong balance sheet, many of those suppliers may not survive the current downturn in the global auto industry.

As a separate company from GM, Delphi isn't eligible for the government's auto-bailout aid at this point. In assuming control of some of Delphi's operations -- representing up to 20% of Delphi's total sales -- GM would be taking a calculated bet it can creatively pry more support from the government.

As long as GM owes the government money, all its transactions over $100 million are subject to approval by the Treasury Department, which oversees loans to the auto makers. As it reviews a proposal for GM to absorb part of Delphi, the Treasury could borrow from the approach Washington took on the financial-sector meltdown last fall, seeing value in the consolidation of otherwise-failed businesses.

A GM spokeswoman declined to comment on the matter.
"GM has been constructively engaged with us about our restructuring for some time," said a Delphi spokesman. "We are currently trying to deal with these huge production declines."

The plan represents an unraveling of the business model pursued by GM in the 1990s, when it tried to outsource the production of many of its auto parts. Auto-parts maker Delphi was created from former GM components operations across North America and Europe.

"It's fair to ask the question of why the taxpayer could be stuck with the problem of bailing out GM's business model," said a banker who has done extensive work with GM and Delphi but isn't involved in the current negotiations.

The Delphi plans are likely to be part of the viability proposal GM will present to the Treasury by Feb. 17. They will be subject to approval by President Barack Obama's yet-to-be named car czar, who will administer the government's auto-industry bailout.

GM will have to gain support from Delphi's creditors, which blame the auto maker for many of Delphi's problems and already are demanding a large one-time payment from GM for the plants. This negotiation could prove the most difficult, as Delphi creditors stand to lose substantial amounts amid the historic downturn in automobile production.

GM and other U.S. auto makers are making cuts to get smaller, including moves to trim the amount of suppliers they do business with. But Delphi holds significant influence among GM's thousands of parts makers, supplying $1,250 of parts on each vehicle the auto maker builds in North America.

Ford Motor Co.'s relationship with Visteon Corp., spun off from Ford in 2000, is similar to the GM-Delphi tie. In 2005, with Visteon on the brink of bankruptcy, Ford took back several parts plants it saw as essential to vehicle-making operations.

Since the federal bailout nearly two months ago, conditions have worsened. GM's January sales fell 49%, forcing the auto maker to cut production in half.

"GM could say to the federal government we need this much and that amount will incorporate what it needs for these five Delphi plants," said a person familiar with the talks that involve GM, Delphi and Delphi's lenders.
Delphi's current losses would be deeper if GM didn't already subsidize hundreds of millions in Delphi's annual labor expenses and other operations. Since 2005, GM has poured in $11.7 billion to help sustain the company.
The plants under discussion generally employ United Auto Workers, and are at the heart of what binds GM so tightly to Delphi's bankruptcy process. The factories were transferred to a newly formed Delphi in 1999 under the belief that a standalone parts maker could better pursue new business with other auto makers around the world while still having strong ties to GM.

It is not clear how much GM would need to pay for the plants, located in the likes of Lockport, N.Y., Kokomo, Ind., and Saginaw, Mich. GM wants to pay nothing, arguing it would benefit Delphi and its lenders to get rid of them. In some cases, GM already has an option to buy back Delphi plants at a relatively low price.

After Delphi's well over three years in bankruptcy court, even GM has conceded in federal filings that Delphi is unlikely to emerge in the "near term." The primary reason: Delphi hasn't been able to arrange the financing necessary to emerge from bankruptcy proceedings. As the prospect for GM grows more uncertain with the day, banks are increasingly skittish about doing business with a parts firm so closely dependent on the auto maker for revenue. Delphi and its lenders believe it could make a better business case to investors if it had less GM business and more reliance on foreign auto makers such as Volkswagen AG and Renault-Nissan.

Delphi had sales through the first nine months of $14.9 billion, about 20%, or $4.5 billion, with GM. Roughly 21% of those sales, or about $3.1 billion, came from Delphi's U.S. plants that do nearly all of their business with GM.
Delphi doesn't disclose profits by geography, but is believed to at least break even outside North America, with its European and Asian operations. In 2007, it had an overall loss of $3.5 billion on sales of $22.3 billion. Roughly $10.3 billion of those sales came from outside North America
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Alto