Tassi di cambio (valute) Monitor euro - sterlina inglese (EUR-GBP) (1 Viewer)
- Creatore Discussione ricpast
- Data di Inizio
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Lo stesso invece non mi aspetterei nei confronti dell'euro....
Anzi a qs livelli di sicuro prendo profitto nel breve termine delle posizioni lunghe di sterlina iniziate attorno a 0,93.
Di sicuro se scivola sotto 0,88 di spazio per scendere l'euro ne avrebbe a bizzeffe ma non mi aspetto questo.....subito.
Anzi a qs livelli di sicuro prendo profitto nel breve termine delle posizioni lunghe di sterlina iniziate attorno a 0,93.
Di sicuro se scivola sotto 0,88 di spazio per scendere l'euro ne avrebbe a bizzeffe ma non mi aspetto questo.....subito.
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Sul giornaliero l'euro ritorna ad apprezzarsi dopo aver testato l'importante mmexp a 200 periodi (linea tratteggiata nera).
Non ha fatto segnare un minimo più basso del precedente quindi il movimento potrebbe proseguire.
Se dovesse spingersi nel breve termine sopra 0,9136 in chiusura allora riprenderebbe molto vigore l'ipotesi di rivedere il cambio a 0,96.
Ma è ancora presto per ipotizzare questo.
La situazione grafica appare fluida su qs frame e il primo step, se del caso, è monitorare la rottura del canale ribassista ipotizzato nel grafico.
Non ha fatto segnare un minimo più basso del precedente quindi il movimento potrebbe proseguire.
Se dovesse spingersi nel breve termine sopra 0,9136 in chiusura allora riprenderebbe molto vigore l'ipotesi di rivedere il cambio a 0,96.
Ma è ancora presto per ipotizzare questo.
La situazione grafica appare fluida su qs frame e il primo step, se del caso, è monitorare la rottura del canale ribassista ipotizzato nel grafico.
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Sul cross gbp/usd la forza del dollaro si è fatta sentire e potrebbe proseguire almeno fino a 1,56 - 1,57
Ultima modifica:
ricpast
Sono un tipo serio
Situazione che pare dipanarsi sul frame giornaliero del cross Euro/GBP.
Si sta concretizzando in qs giorni un segnale che reputo importante e che, dopo le dovute conferme che attendiamo, dovrebbe determinare un deciso apprezzamento della valuta inglese.
lorenzo63
Age quod Agis
The U.K.'s Persistent Inflation Problem
Infatti...
The U.K.'s economic policy puzzle just got harder. Inflation was expected to rise in December, but not by a full percentage point to 2.9%. That is well above market expectations of 2.6% and the Bank of England's forecast of about 2.7%. It certainly puts the kibosh on any extension of quantitative easing beyond February, no matter what the growth figures show. But whether it forces the central bank to raise interest rates further and faster than expected will depend partly on the credibility of the government's fiscal plans.
The Bank of England will struggle to maintain its line that rising inflation this year is a short-term blip. True, December's rise largely was triggered by one-time factors, including the reversal of the 2.5-percentage-point cut in the value-added tax introduced the previous year. A bounce back in oil prices from post-Lehman Brothers lows also was to blame. But the central bank's prediction that inflation will fall back to the 2% target over the medium term as a result of weak final demand and a large output gap is looking harder to sustain
The Bank of England's forecasts persistently have underestimated inflation, partly because the central bank may have underestimated the impact of sterling's devaluation. It also may overestimate the amount of slack in the economy; those who lost jobs in the recession may lack the skills needed for industries where demand is strong. Not every out-of-work estate agent will be able to retrain as a wind-farm engineer. With credit still constrained, firms also may struggle to find the capital to expand capacity, and so will raise prices instead.
Besides, the U.K. inflation outlook is dictated by global forces as much as domestic pressures. The big deflationary forces of the past two decades, the emergence of Asia and technological advances, largely may have played themselves out. In the future, central banks may have to contend with the inflationary effects of higher commodity prices fueled by a mixture of booming global demand and cheap money.
The markets aren't yet worried; the break-even rate on 10-year inflation-linked bonds has crept up only to about 3.2%, and short-dated gilts are pricing in just one percentage point of rate increases in the next 12 months. But the Bank of England knows rising inflation expectations could threaten its forecast if they feed through into wage claims. The latest tough spending rhetoric from Exchequer Chancellor Alistair Darling could ease pressure on the central bank if followed by credible action. But the chances of an early U.K. rate increase clearly have risen.
Infatti...
The U.K.'s economic policy puzzle just got harder. Inflation was expected to rise in December, but not by a full percentage point to 2.9%. That is well above market expectations of 2.6% and the Bank of England's forecast of about 2.7%. It certainly puts the kibosh on any extension of quantitative easing beyond February, no matter what the growth figures show. But whether it forces the central bank to raise interest rates further and faster than expected will depend partly on the credibility of the government's fiscal plans.
The Bank of England will struggle to maintain its line that rising inflation this year is a short-term blip. True, December's rise largely was triggered by one-time factors, including the reversal of the 2.5-percentage-point cut in the value-added tax introduced the previous year. A bounce back in oil prices from post-Lehman Brothers lows also was to blame. But the central bank's prediction that inflation will fall back to the 2% target over the medium term as a result of weak final demand and a large output gap is looking harder to sustain
The Bank of England's forecasts persistently have underestimated inflation, partly because the central bank may have underestimated the impact of sterling's devaluation. It also may overestimate the amount of slack in the economy; those who lost jobs in the recession may lack the skills needed for industries where demand is strong. Not every out-of-work estate agent will be able to retrain as a wind-farm engineer. With credit still constrained, firms also may struggle to find the capital to expand capacity, and so will raise prices instead.
Besides, the U.K. inflation outlook is dictated by global forces as much as domestic pressures. The big deflationary forces of the past two decades, the emergence of Asia and technological advances, largely may have played themselves out. In the future, central banks may have to contend with the inflationary effects of higher commodity prices fueled by a mixture of booming global demand and cheap money.
The markets aren't yet worried; the break-even rate on 10-year inflation-linked bonds has crept up only to about 3.2%, and short-dated gilts are pricing in just one percentage point of rate increases in the next 12 months. But the Bank of England knows rising inflation expectations could threaten its forecast if they feed through into wage claims. The latest tough spending rhetoric from Exchequer Chancellor Alistair Darling could ease pressure on the central bank if followed by credible action. But the chances of an early U.K. rate increase clearly have risen.