S&P500 - resistenza a 1.850 punti (2 lettori)

SEE FU

SONO UN GATTO MATTO
S&P500.JPG


L'indice americano S&P500 è al test della resistenza a 1.850 punti.
A seconda se la passa oppure no, le borse andranno in chiaro rialzo o ribasso. Dunque il livello dei 1.850 punti va considerato al momento come uno "spartiacque" per le borse mondiali.
Faccio notare le seguenti tre cose:

1) Il grafico si sta stringendo a triangolo (retta nera + segmento blu). Questa forte compressione di volatilità fa presumere che all'uscita di uno dei due lati del triangolo avremo un violento movimento direzionale;

2) L'oscillatore Money Flow è in ipercomprato, e questo farebbe pensare come più probabile l'ipotesi ribassista, ovverosia che la resistenza non viene superata.

3) Ma d'altronde, abbiamo visto sule ultime candele, che quando questa resistenza viene toccata non si verifica nessuna corsa alle vendite. E questo invece fa pensare che la resistenza sarà passata al rialzo.
 

SEE FU

SONO UN GATTO MATTO
Per me l'ha rotta. Adesso bisogna vedere come la prendono le borse europee.
In teoria dovrebbero festeggiare, nella pratica....staremo a vedere.
 
continuo io...

interessante articolo

Treasuries Slide on U.S. Jobs Growth as U.S. Stocks Fluctuate


bloomberg

March 7, 2014 - 17:23 March 7 (Bloomberg) -- Treasuries fell for a fourth day, while oil and the dollar rose as stronger-than-forecast jobs growth fueled optimism in the American economy. U.S. stocks fluctuated on Ukrainian tensions over the future of Crimea.

Treasury yields increased five basis points to 2.79 percent as of 11:57 a.m. in New York. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.2 percent, while the ruble headed for a fourth weekly decline of more than 1 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.1 percent. Copper futures headed for the biggest loss in more than two years, while West Texas Intermediate crude added 1 percent.

The Labor Department said employers added 175,000 jobs in February, topping the median forecast of economists for 149,000 and signaling the economy is starting to bounce back from a weather-induced setback. Russia said Ukraine must pay off almost $2 billion it owes it for natural gas by today and signaled it may cut supplies, ratcheting up the pressure on its cash- strapped neighbor. China’s onshore bond market had its first default.

“The more we can add jobs and get the economy to organically grow through traditional measures is a wonderful thing and equity markets are reacting to this as we expected,” Darrell Cronk, the New York-based regional chief investment officer at Wells Fargo Private Bank, which manages $170 billion, said by phone. “We want this economy to stand on its own two feet. We want this to be a self-sustaining growth engine.”

Equity Markets

Global stocks are poised for a fifth week of gains as concern eased that Russia’s incursion into Ukraine would spark a broader conflict. Ukraine, a key transit nation for east-west energy supplies, is struggling to keep hold of Crimea after pro- Russian forces seized control of the peninsula. The West has urged Russia to pull back, and began yesterday to impose sanctions.

The S&P 500 rallied 1 percent in the previous four days and is headed for a second weekly gain. More than $4 trillion has been added to equity values around the world since the Feb. 4 low to a record $63 trillion.

Data yesterday showed claims for unemployment benefits fell to a three-month low last week, stoking speculation U.S. companies are confident economic growth will rebound after harsh winter weather depressed demand.

Among U.S. shares moving today, Safeway Inc. slid 2.6 percent as investors weighed potential antitrust hurdles to an offer for the company. GT Advanced Technologies Inc. climbed 4.6 percent after Credit Suisse Group AG advised investors to buy the shares.

Rolling Thunder

“There’s definitely concern about the Russia-Ukraine thunderstorm rolling back into the market,” Chad Morganlander, a Florham Park, New Jersey-based fund manager at Stifel Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $150 billion, said in a telephone interview. “That in itself is causing some uncertainty among investors. The economy is continuing to gradually improve. We’ve had very good market performance over the last several weeks in spite of great uncertainty on the geopolitical front.”

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index slipped 1.3 percent. Getinge AB, the maker of sterilization systems, sank 21 percent after giving a first-quarter profit forecast lower than analysts had estimated.

The U.S. sent six F-15 fighter jets to Lithuania and will dispatch 12 additional F-16s to Poland, the two countries’ defense ministries said yesterday. The U.S. Navy sent the guided-missile destroyer USS Truxtun into the Black Sea in what it called a routine visit unrelated to events in Ukraine.

Dollar, Yen

The dollar rose to a six-week high against the yen, increasing 0.4 percent to 103.51 yen. The Chinese yuan posted its biggest weekly gain since October on speculation the central bank has ceased engineering a decline in the currency to discourage one-way appreciation bets.

Russia’s Micex Index has declined 7.3 percent this year. The ruble weakened 0.7 percent to 42.7093 against Bank Rossii’s target basket of dollars and euros, heading for a 1.6 percent decline for the week.

Russian stocks are headed for their worst week since President Vladimir Putin cracked down on protesters following his election in May 2012. Putin’s incursion into Ukraine’s Crimea region, like the imprisonment of demonstrators following his return to the presidency two years ago, is sparking investor concern that Russia’s economic growth will falter as the U.S. and Europe threaten the country with sanctions.

Visa Restrictions

President Barack Obama’s administration restricted visas for Ukrainian and Russian officials whom it said threaten the former Soviet republic’s sovereignty. Lawmakers in Ukraine’s Crimea region called a referendum to return the Black Sea peninsula to Russian control.

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland companies listed in Hong Kong rose 0.4 percent, trimming this week’s decline to 1.8 percent. The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.1 percent as investors weighed reform prospects at a legislative meeting.

Shanghai Chaori Solar Energy Science & Technology Co. won’t make an interest payment in full by the deadline, the company’s vice president Liu Tielong said. The company blamed the failure of an agreement to sell a power station to Greece for its failure to meet interest payments, state-owned Xinhua News Agency reported, citing an unidentified person at Chaori.

The first onshore default comes as China’s benchmark rate for loans between lenders was set for the biggest weekly drop this year after the central bank scaled back cash withdrawals in its money-market operations.

Copper futures for delivery in May slid 4.1 percent to $3.0865 a pound in New York.

India’s S&P BSE Sensex Index climbed 3.8 percent this week, the most since April. The country’s current-account deficit dropped to a four-year low in the fourth quarter, the Reserve Bank of India said March 5.

Indonesia’s rupiah rose to the highest since November and is 1.5 percent stronger this week, making it the best performing Asian currency versus the dollar in the last five days. India’s rupee is on track for a 1.1 percent weekly gain.

--With assistance from Adam Haigh in Sydney, Lilian Karunungan and Kyoungwha Kim in Singapore, Emma O’Brien in Wellington, Inyoung Hwang, Cecile Vannucci, John Deane, Stephen Kirkland, David Goodman and Paul Dobson in London and Nick Gentle in Hong Kong.

To contact the reporter on this story: Michael P. Regan in New York at [email protected] To contact the editors responsible for this story: Lynn Thomasson at [email protected] Michael P. Regan

bloomberg
 
:-o

NEW YORK — Stocks are finishing mixed after an indecisive day of trading as traders worried about escalating tensions in Ukraine.
The Standard & Poor's 500 managed a small gain, enough to set its latest record high. The index closed 1 point higher, a gain of 0.1 percent, at 1,878.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 30 points, or 0.2 percent, to 16,452.
The Nasdaq composite fell 16 points, or 0.4 percent, to 4,336.
The market started the day higher after an encouraging report on the U.S. job market, then drifted between small gains and losses the rest of the day. Biotechnology and health care stocks were among the biggest decliners.
Three stocks fell for every two that rose on the New York Stock Exchange.
 

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