By Charles Daly
Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Realize profits on investment in
Groupama (--/--/BB+) 4.375% T2s; cites little room for further
price gains and “considerable risk” that bond won’t be called
at first date (July 2015), Philippe Picagne, an analyst at
CreditSights, writes in note.
• Price has increased 13 pts since initiated Aug. 2013 recommendation to invest; now trades at same level as co.’s T1 bond
• If co. doesn’t call at first date, investors could face sharp decline in value (price to maturity is 51% of par value)
• Expects a slight improvement in full-year 2013 net income
• NOTE: Mid-YTC differential between CCAMA T2 and T1 bonds has compressed to -13bps vs 1Y high of +630bps in June, Bloomberg data show
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