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FITCH UPGRADES GROUPAMA'S IFS RATING TO 'BBB'; OUTLOOK POSITIVE
Fitch Ratings-Paris/London-11 February 2014: Fitch Ratings has upgraded Groupama
S.A.'s and its core subsidiaries' Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) ratings to
'BBB' from 'BBB-'. Groupama S.A.'s Issuer Default Rating (IDR) has also been
upgraded to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'. The Outlooks on the IDR and IFS ratings have also
been revised to Positive from Stable.
The subordinated debt instruments issued by Groupama S.A. have been upgraded to
'BB' from 'BB-'.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The upgrades reflect the group's return to profit in its 1H13 to EUR187m,
compared with a EUR87m loss in 1H12, mostly due to the absence of exceptional
charges. Profit recovery was also due to a stronger contribution from the French
business, while international insurance operations and banking activities
generated stable positive net income.
The ratings also reflect an improvement in Groupama's combined ratio to 100.9%
(103.2% at 1H12) as well as management's conservative decision to strengthen the
life fund for future appropriation by EUR250m.
In addition, Groupama's solvency was solid at 1H13 (Solvency 1 ratio of 170%)
and financial leverage improved to 32% from 34%. Both metrics are strong
compared with Fitch medians for insurance groups rated in the 'BBB' category.
The change in Outlook to Positive reflects Fitch's expectation that the recovery
in profitability is likely to be sustained for FY13 and into 2014.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Key rating triggers that could result in a rating upgrade include a sustained
improvement in profitability, with annual net income above EUR200m on average
over the cycle, together with no material deterioration in solvency or financial
leverage from current levels.
The ratings actions are as follows:
Groupama S.A.
IFS rating upgraded to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'; Outlook revised to Positive from
Stable
Long-term IDR upgraded to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'; Outlook revised to Positive from
Stable
Dated subordinated debt (ISIN FR0010815464) upgraded to 'BB' from 'BB-'
Undated subordinated debt (ISIN FR0010208751) upgraded to 'BB' from 'BB-'
Undated deeply subordinated debt (ISIN FR0010533414) upgraded to 'BB' from 'BB-'
Groupama GAN Vie
IFS rating upgraded to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'; Outlook revised to Positive from
Stable
GAN Assurances
IFS rating upgraded to 'BBB' from 'BBB-'; Outlook revised to Positive from
Stable
Contact:
Primary Analyst
Marc-Philippe Juilliard
Senior Director
+33 1 44 29 91 37
Fitch France S.A.S.