BUND,T-BOND,T-NOTE, e altre cose strane (vietato a....)
- Creatore Discussione Noooo
- Data di Inizio
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
f4f ha scritto:
cià cè a diman
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
Il T-Bond ha abbandonato per prima il lato basso del box , il 10y sta seguendo più lentamente, target è 112,3438 però se ci arriva aspetto un pò per vedere se brekka
spero.lo.0.15%
Forumer attivo
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
ciao fleu...
ogni tanto quando ti leggo mi fai venire lo schioppone
sara' che io ho i grafici in 32mi e appena ho visto 112.34 non ho realizzato
insomma tu parli di 112.10 circa...ambe'
ciao fleu buona serata
domenico
P.s. : sara' che sono sh sul bund a pmc 91.5 e allora.....
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
spero.lo.0.15% ha scritto:Fleursdumal ha scritto:
ciao fleu...
ogni tanto quando ti leggo mi fai venire lo schioppone
sara' che io ho i grafici in 32mi e appena ho visto 112.34 non ho realizzato
insomma tu parli di 112.10 circa...ambe'
ciao fleu buona serata
domenico
P.s. : sara' che sono sh sul bund a pmc 91.5 e allora.....
sì per far prima a scrivere metto in decimali , ho solo aggiunto un long allo spread dove campeggia sempre lo short di T-Bond
ciao buona serata
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
target raggiunto , vediamo se riesce a fare qualcosa in più, il T-Bond ancora deve raggiungere il margine superiore a 113,5625 ( o 18/32)
stop spostato a 112,2812
stop spostato a 112,2812
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
nessuna parvenza di break o qualcosa di simile, mollato a 112,3125 , indici in recupero non aiutano
si rimane in range
si rimane in range
gastronomo
Forumer storico
Ciao a tutti, arrivo così tardi oggi che vi dò sia la buona notte che il buongiorno ... ma forse Fleur che trada sul nikkei mi legge 
- vedo che continuano con il loro giochino, US fermo e bund che sale 
... forse vogliono far prezzi un pò cari per chi, come le assicurazioni, a fine anno han soldi da investire ... mai visto un mercato del genere ... Dan, su col morale, lo so, parlare è facile, soffrire è una tortura, mantieniti lucido e sereno - statemi bene,se riesco ci sentiamo domani in nottata - buona lettura
DJ Debt Futures Review: Softer But Losses Limited After Strong PPI
By Allen Sykora
BEND, Ore. (Dow Jones)--Interest-rate futures in Chicago had a softer
tone all day after a stronger-than-forecast Producer Price Index startled
traders first thing Tuesday morning.
The losses were limited, however, by ideas that the increase in inflation
may not be as bothersome as appeared at first glance, since energy prices
have been falling over the last month and some of the increase in wholesale
inflation was due to hurricanes that hit the southeastern U.S. early this
fall.
The futures in the long end of the yield curve remain within their
recent trading band. The short end has hit new several-month lows, however,
with market watchers looking for more flattening of the yield curve, in which
the front end falls more rapidly than the back.
Traders will get more inflation data Wednesday, with the Consumer Price
Index on the calendar.
Dec 10-year notes settled down 4.5 ticks at 112-10, Dec Treasury bonds
slipped 3 ticks to 112-15, and Jun Eurodollars fell 3.5 basis points to
96.885.
"We're seeing a little selling pressure throughout the yield curve,"
said John Herrmann, director of economic commentary with Cantor Viewpoint in
New York. "But it was not a super eventful day.
"Headline inflation was very high. It was very much reflected by a big
spike in energy (during October) and crop damage because of the hurricanes.
"But we're already seeing a normalization of energy prices in November.
And we're seeing some stabilization of food prices in November. So net-net,
this was a temporary move."
Dec crude got as high as $55.67 on Oct. 25, but by Monday had pulled back
all the way to $45.25.
Some of the increase in wholesale inflation was also due to factors such
as higher costs of transformers and regulators, construction machinery,
agricultural equipment and mobile homes, much of which could be tied to the
hurricanes, said Herrmann.
"So although core inflation was up 0.3%, you look at the whole inflation
report and say, 'you know, it really wasn't quite that bad.'"
He later added: "The bond-market reaction was bearish, but not overly
bearish. I think that is the correct assessment of this inflation report."
Nevertheless, said Herrmann, he looks for a bear-market curve-flattening
trend to continue as the market increases the probability of future rate
hikes. The economist offered his view that the federal-funds rate, which last
week was hiked to 2.0%, could reach 3.25% by halfway through 2005.
Besides inflationary concerns, the economist suggested rate hikes are
likely to continue on ideas the economy is showing signs of maintaining
growth of around 3.5% in the fourth quarter and during 2005. Furthermore, he
said, when the voting seats on the Federal Open Market Committee shift next
year, the makeup of the panel will be "much more hawkish" than is currently
the case.
In particular, he cited the fact that Minneapolis Fed President Gary
Stern and Philadelphia Fed President Anthony Santomero will be succeeding St.
Louis Fed President William Poole and Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto
as voting members.
"We are adding two outright hawks - Santomero and Stern - and replacing
two doves, who are Pianalto and Pool," said Herrmann.
As for Tuesday's price action, the futures did not show a huge amount of
conviction, said Richard Heyboer, account executive in Chicago with Fox
Investments, a division of Man Financial.
Shortly before the open-outcry open, Dec Treasury bonds were hovering
around resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average of 112-23, said
Heyboer. They peaked at 112-26.
The market slipped after the release of the PPI report, he said. But
after that immediate fall, the market was range-bound for the remainder of
the session.
The Dec bonds remain above the low of 111 even hit on Nov. 5, right after
the release of a stronger-than-forecast report on October non-farm payrolls,
said Heyboer. But they also remain below the Nov. 5 high of 113-21.
"Right now, we're in limbo," said Heyboer. "We seem to be priced at an
equilibrium. Basically, we've done nothing but trade inside of the range from
the 5th. We're just going sideways."
With heavier selling in the short end of the curve lately, the Jun
Eurodollars have shown more technical weakness, however. They bottomed at
97.84, their lowest level since July 30.
Traders will see more inflation data Wednesday when the October Consumer
Price Index report comes out at 0730 CT (1330 GMT). The consensus forecast is
for a rise of 0.4%, or 0.1% when excluding the volatile food and energy
components.
Housing starts are due out at the same time. They are forecast to come
in at an annualized rate of 1.972 million in October, compared to 1.898
million in September.
Still another report on the calendar for Wednesday is industrial
production at 0815 CT (1415 GMT). The consensus forecast calls for a 0.4%
increase. Capacity utilization is expected to have risen to 77.4% in October
from 77.2% in September.
-By Allen Sykora; Dow Jones Newswires; 541-318-8765;
[email protected]
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
... ma forse Fleur che trada sul nikkei mi legge - vedo che continuano con il loro giochino, US fermo e bund che sale ... forse vogliono far prezzi un pò cari per chi, come le assicurazioni, a fine anno han soldi da investire ... mai visto un mercato del genere ... Dan, su col morale, lo so, parlare è facile, soffrire è una tortura, mantieniti lucido e sereno - statemi bene,se riesco ci sentiamo domani in nottata - buona letturaDJ Debt Futures Review: Softer But Losses Limited After Strong PPI
By Allen Sykora
BEND, Ore. (Dow Jones)--Interest-rate futures in Chicago had a softer
tone all day after a stronger-than-forecast Producer Price Index startled
traders first thing Tuesday morning.
The losses were limited, however, by ideas that the increase in inflation
may not be as bothersome as appeared at first glance, since energy prices
have been falling over the last month and some of the increase in wholesale
inflation was due to hurricanes that hit the southeastern U.S. early this
fall.
The futures in the long end of the yield curve remain within their
recent trading band. The short end has hit new several-month lows, however,
with market watchers looking for more flattening of the yield curve, in which
the front end falls more rapidly than the back.
Traders will get more inflation data Wednesday, with the Consumer Price
Index on the calendar.
Dec 10-year notes settled down 4.5 ticks at 112-10, Dec Treasury bonds
slipped 3 ticks to 112-15, and Jun Eurodollars fell 3.5 basis points to
96.885.
"We're seeing a little selling pressure throughout the yield curve,"
said John Herrmann, director of economic commentary with Cantor Viewpoint in
New York. "But it was not a super eventful day.
"Headline inflation was very high. It was very much reflected by a big
spike in energy (during October) and crop damage because of the hurricanes.
"But we're already seeing a normalization of energy prices in November.
And we're seeing some stabilization of food prices in November. So net-net,
this was a temporary move."
Dec crude got as high as $55.67 on Oct. 25, but by Monday had pulled back
all the way to $45.25.
Some of the increase in wholesale inflation was also due to factors such
as higher costs of transformers and regulators, construction machinery,
agricultural equipment and mobile homes, much of which could be tied to the
hurricanes, said Herrmann.
"So although core inflation was up 0.3%, you look at the whole inflation
report and say, 'you know, it really wasn't quite that bad.'"
He later added: "The bond-market reaction was bearish, but not overly
bearish. I think that is the correct assessment of this inflation report."
Nevertheless, said Herrmann, he looks for a bear-market curve-flattening
trend to continue as the market increases the probability of future rate
hikes. The economist offered his view that the federal-funds rate, which last
week was hiked to 2.0%, could reach 3.25% by halfway through 2005.
Besides inflationary concerns, the economist suggested rate hikes are
likely to continue on ideas the economy is showing signs of maintaining
growth of around 3.5% in the fourth quarter and during 2005. Furthermore, he
said, when the voting seats on the Federal Open Market Committee shift next
year, the makeup of the panel will be "much more hawkish" than is currently
the case.
In particular, he cited the fact that Minneapolis Fed President Gary
Stern and Philadelphia Fed President Anthony Santomero will be succeeding St.
Louis Fed President William Poole and Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto
as voting members.
"We are adding two outright hawks - Santomero and Stern - and replacing
two doves, who are Pianalto and Pool," said Herrmann.
As for Tuesday's price action, the futures did not show a huge amount of
conviction, said Richard Heyboer, account executive in Chicago with Fox
Investments, a division of Man Financial.
Shortly before the open-outcry open, Dec Treasury bonds were hovering
around resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average of 112-23, said
Heyboer. They peaked at 112-26.
The market slipped after the release of the PPI report, he said. But
after that immediate fall, the market was range-bound for the remainder of
the session.
The Dec bonds remain above the low of 111 even hit on Nov. 5, right after
the release of a stronger-than-forecast report on October non-farm payrolls,
said Heyboer. But they also remain below the Nov. 5 high of 113-21.
"Right now, we're in limbo," said Heyboer. "We seem to be priced at an
equilibrium. Basically, we've done nothing but trade inside of the range from
the 5th. We're just going sideways."
With heavier selling in the short end of the curve lately, the Jun
Eurodollars have shown more technical weakness, however. They bottomed at
97.84, their lowest level since July 30.
Traders will see more inflation data Wednesday when the October Consumer
Price Index report comes out at 0730 CT (1330 GMT). The consensus forecast is
for a rise of 0.4%, or 0.1% when excluding the volatile food and energy
components.
Housing starts are due out at the same time. They are forecast to come
in at an annualized rate of 1.972 million in October, compared to 1.898
million in September.
Still another report on the calendar for Wednesday is industrial
production at 0815 CT (1415 GMT). The consensus forecast calls for a 0.4%
increase. Capacity utilization is expected to have risen to 77.4% in October
from 77.2% in September.
-By Allen Sykora; Dow Jones Newswires; 541-318-8765;
[email protected]
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
ciubecca
Forumer storico
17-nov mercoledì ITA: Bilancia commerciale Ue Settembre ore 09:30
UE: Inflazione Ottobre ore 11:00
UE: Produzione industriale Settembre ore 11:00
USA: Avvio nuove case Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Inflazione Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Inflazione Ottobre esclusi alimentari ed energia Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Produzione industriale Ottobre ore 15:15
USA: Capacità produttiva Ottobre ore 15:15
guten tag ....
dan non fare lo stupido e vendi put come se piovesse .... fai la mediata gratis ,come la chiama lupin , non ti impegna margini e ti alza il pdc .
UE: Inflazione Ottobre ore 11:00
UE: Produzione industriale Settembre ore 11:00
USA: Avvio nuove case Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Inflazione Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Inflazione Ottobre esclusi alimentari ed energia Ottobre ore 14:30
USA: Produzione industriale Ottobre ore 15:15
USA: Capacità produttiva Ottobre ore 15:15
guten tag ....
dan non fare lo stupido e vendi put come se piovesse .... fai la mediata gratis ,come la chiama lupin , non ti impegna margini e ti alza il pdc .
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