bund, t-bond t-note ecc SOLO LONG FOR EVER

Bonjour a tout les bondaroles

pazzo di un ditruzzo, no quell'ordine era valido solo per la sessione mattutina
ne avevo messo uno condizionato in caso scendesse sotto 8,10 ma quel puerco sta andando solo verso nord, ma ke kasso , ho letto che si prevedono
una decina tra hurricane e tornado vari nel golfo del messico, ti risulta? :eek: :eek:
 
Bargain hunters lift Treasuries, refunding awaited
Wed Aug 3, 2005 08:54 AM ET
NEW YORK, Aug 3 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt prices rose on Wednesday as buyers stepped in after three days of declines which were prompted by a rash of strong economic data that all pointed to further U.S. official interest rate hikes.
"I don't call it bargain hunting. This stuff is not cheap. I call it bottom picking," said one trader, who said he expected prices to chop around in a fairly tight range due to position-squaring ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls data.

More immediately, the market is looking ahead to the Treasury Department's refunding announcement at 9 a.m. (1300 GMT). New debt issuance was expected to be $44 billion, down from the $51 billion seen last quarter, as increased tax receipts reduce the need for government borrowing.

Benchmark 10-year notes (US10YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) were 5/32 higher to yield 4.32 percent, after ending the day Tuesday at 4.34 percent, 1 basis point under a technical barrier at 4.35 percent.

The two-year note (US2YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 1/32 for a yield 4.04 percent, compared with 4.05 percent on Tuesday.

The five-year note (US5YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 3/32 to yield 4.14 percent, down from 4.17 percent on Tuesday.

The 30-year bond (US30YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) was up 4/32 to yield 4.54 percent.

In addition to its quarterly refunding announcement, which will cover three-, five- and 10-year maturities, the Treasury will also announce its plans to resume issuance of 30-year bonds. Treasury stopped offering the long bond in October 2001 amid large budget surpluses that have since evaporated.

It said in May it was considering bringing back the 30-year to give the government more borrowing flexibility, so analysts expect the formal announcement to come as little surprise.

SOLID ISM MEANS BLUES FOR BONDS

Analysts said U.S. data on the service sector at 10 a.m. (1400 GMT) were unlikely to fuel any further rebound in bond prices because they are expected to show continued expansion.

In other words, the report is likely to be the latest in a recent raft of bond-negative data helping to justify the Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy.

The Institute for Supply Management's non-manufacturing index is expected to have slipped to 60.9 in July from 62.2 in June. A reading of 50 is the dividing line between expansion and contraction.

"Even if you do get the expected decline today, as long as it stays above 60 I don't see any reason why the market would feel able to rally now," said John Davies, fixed income strategist at West LB.

He said the employment component would also come into focus only days ahead of the key non-farm payrolls report.

Friday's payrolls report would be the market's next major hurdle. Analysts expect another month of gains, with median estimates pointing to net creation of some 183,000 jobs.

But for now Treasuries were attracting buyers and managing to stay in positive territory.

A London-based trader said there has been relatively good buying from some customers and there has been a lot of talk about U.S.- Europe trades being unwound.

"U.S. has outperformed for the first time in a long time by about 5 or 6 basis points. A lot of people were buying back U.S," said the trader.


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.
 
U.S. Treasury to resume 30-year bond sales
Wed Aug 3, 2005 09:03 AM ET
WASHINGTON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday it would resume selling 30-year bonds in early 2006, and said it would offer $44 billion in its quarterly refunding auctions next week.
"The Treasury has determined that we have the flexibility to issue 30-year bonds cost-effectively while maintaining deep and liquid markets in our other securities," Treasury Undersecretary for Domestic Finance Randal Quarles said in a statement.

"We believe this is a prudent debt management step that will continue to allow Treasury to finance the government's borrowing needs at the lowest cost over time."

The Bush administration canceled 30-year bond issuances in October 2001 but has come under pressure from Wall Street to resume the sales to add liquidity in long-term debt markets.

The Treasury Department said semiannual auctions of 30-year bonds would resume in the January-March quarter of 2006 with a bond maturing on Feb. 15, 2036.

In its refunding announcement, Treasury said it would sell $18 billion in three-year notes on Monday, Aug. 8; $13 billion in five-year notes on Wednesday, Aug. 10; and $13 billion in 10-year notes on Thursday, Aug. 11.

The sales will refund $18.6 billion of publicly held securities and government account holdings maturing on Aug. 15, and raise about $25.4 billion in new cash for the government.

Analysts had expected Treasury to sell about $46 billion in next week's refunding auctions, less than the $51 billion it sold in the previous four quarterly offerings, because of an improved near-term U.S. budget outlook.


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.
 
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
Bonjour a tout les bondaroles

pazzo di un ditruzzo, no quell'ordine era valido solo per la sessione mattutina
ne avevo messo uno condizionato in caso scendesse sotto 8,10 ma quel puerco sta andando solo verso nord, ma ke kasso , ho letto che si prevedono
una decina tra hurricane e tornado vari nel golfo del messico, ti risulta? :eek: :eek:

Fleu ... no non mi risulta, per lo meno sul sito della nora non ho visto spuntare fuori nuovi uragani, orco modo devo andare a farmi benedire io !!!

Entro corto sul gas e mi becco in faccia un mega rally da 1,6 $ in 7 sedute, peggio dei rally invernali !! ... ma è mai possibile ? :sad: :sad: :( :( :evil: :evil: :evil:


... ma poi scusa tutto stò casino solo per un uragano ? ... a parte che poi i trader del Nymex devono roprio essere cog.lioni persi se credono a queste favole !!! E ti pare che da poco passato emily el'altro uragano il clima è riuscito a caricarsi di energia sufficente in così poco tempo da far nascere un'altro uragano ? .... ma daiiiiiii !!!


... no no deve essere per forza per un'altro motivo, solo che non sono riuscito a capire cosa ancora ... ed è proprio questo che mi spaventa. :( :( :rolleyes:



... oramai in 7 sedute sono finiti in ipercomprato folle ... bande di bollingher forate all'insù da 2 giorni. :( :( :( :eek: :eek:

1123075892azz5.jpg
 
infatti è tiratissimo :eek:
qui è dove c'è scritto sugli 11-14 tropical storms sino a novembre, penso però che pesino di più le tensioni UE-US vs Iran , se attaccano lì va tutto a pute


Crude Surpasses Intraday High Above $62
Wednesday August 3, 8:52 am ET
By Edith Balazs, Associated Press Writer
Crude Futures Surpass Intraday High Above $62 a Barrel on Refinery Outages, Storm Warnings

BUDAPEST, Hungary (AP) -- U.S. refinery outages and forecasts of a higher number of storms in the Gulf of Mexico boosted oil prices Wednesday, with crude futures surpassing their previous intraday high above $62 a barrel.

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Light sweet crude for September delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange gained 55 cents to $62.44 a barrel in electronic trading by midday in Europe, 3 cents off its high for the session and above the previous intraday high of $62.30.

The contract had settled at $61.89 a barrel on Tuesday in New York, the highest closing price since trading began on the Nymex in 1983. Oil is now around 40 percent more expensive than a year ago.

Traders were also waiting for the U.S. Department of Energy weekly inventories snapshot, expected later Wednesday.The report is expected to show declines in crude and gasoline stocks but a rise in distillates, which include heating oil, diesel and jet fuel.

"If we see a lower than 2 million barrel distillate build today, the market could go crazy again with prices heading for $65," said Deborah White, energy analyst at SG Securities in Paris.

Gasoline rose more than a cent to $1.7945 a gallon while heating oil gained a cent to $1.7350 a gallon.

In London, Brent crude for September delivery on the International Petroleum Exchange rose 48 cents to $61.10 a barrel.

Unplanned outages in the United States were fueling fears that oil products output will fail to meet demand in an extremely tight market.

Murphy Oil Corp.'s Meraux, Louisiana refinery, BP PLC's Texas City plant and Exxon Mobil's plant in Joliet, Ill., have been shut down since last week either from fires or unscheduled maintenance. Another production facility in Norco, Ill., was also reported to have been closed for repairs.

Aging refineries in the United States are running at nearly 100 percent utilization, and analysts say output will struggle to keep pace with gasoline demand for summer and heating oil demand for winter.

Weather warnings were also rattling nerves and giving support to rising prices.

There could be 11 to 14 more tropical storms, including seven to nine more hurricanes, by the end of November, U.S. National Weather Service Director David L. Johnson said Tuesday.

Rising oil consumption has been eating into the limited amount of excess production capacity available, and that's put energy traders on edge.

"Supply concerns have plagued the oil markets since December 2002 when a Venezuelan oil workers' strike resulted in 500,000 barrels per day of lost crude production," said energy reporting agency Platts in a research note.

"From there on, petroleum disruptions became almost epidemic, spreading from one critical producing region to another, making global oil markets hypersensitive to any amount of lost producing or refining capabilities."

Iran's impending decision to resume uranium enrichment, which Western government say is the first step to building nuclear weapons, is still worrying markets, but more for the long-term.

Tensions between Iran, the No. 2 producer within the OPEC cartel, and Western governments, especially the United States, the world's largest energy consumer, also worry traders because Tehran can cripple markets by shutting off its taps.

"With the ability to manufacture nuclear weapons still several years away, the only real bargaining chip they have is their vast reserves of oil," said U.S. brokerage Fimat Inc. analyst Mike Fitzpatrick.

Associated Press Writer En-Lai Yeoh in Singapore contributed to this report.
 
andrè se sei sul cacao ocio che stanno rientrando gli spread , potrebbe essere qualcosa in più di un ritraccio, dacci un'occhiata

ric hai letto questa? :P

Bce: Fmi; tassi appropriati, ma potrebbero servire -2-
LONDRA (MF-DJ)--La politica monetaria della Bce resta "appropriata", anche se non e' escluso che in futuro possano rendersi necessari nuovi tagli dei tassi d'interesse.
E' quanto reso noto da Michael Deppler, direttore del Dipartimento europeo del Fondo Monetario Internazionale che precisa come la Banca Centrale dovrebbe guardare da vicino soprattutto al livello dell'inflazione ed eventualmente intervenire qualora si renda necessario. red/est/cat
 
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
infatti è tiratissimo :eek:
qui è dove c'è scritto sugli 11-14 tropical storms sino a novembre, penso però che pesino di più le tensioni UE-US vs Iran , se attaccano lì va tutto a pute


solo questo mi mancava .... ed ora sono ben immmerdato pure quà ... ho i nervi a fior di pelle, è meglio che mi vada a fare un giro và ... altrimenti spacco tutto!!! :evil: :evil: :evil:
 

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