COMMODITIES ... solo per pochi pazzi !!!

Esportazioni di frumento - notizia del 05/07/2004

Il Dipartimento dell’ Agricoltura USA ha acquistato 50.000 ton di frumento per la Georgia e 22.000 ton per l’ Azerbaijan.
Altre 25.500 ton sono state acquistate dalla Corea del Sud.
Il frumento di dicembre (WZ4) venerdì ha recuperato 3,0 centesimi, chiudendo a 354,0.
 
Mais, il clima è favorevole - notizia del 05/07/2004

Il periodo di impollinazione del mais è iniziato in condizioni climatiche eccellenti.
Il contratto di dicembre (CZ4) ha perso 4,25 centesimi, chiudendo a 263,0 centesimi, la chiusura più bassa da metà gennaio.
 
Buongiono ... si fa per dire .... Yukos fà le sue vittime !!!

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apertura settimanale negativa sul mercato elettronico dell'ecbot per corn e soybean , tempo favorevole sui campi americani.
Vediamo se anche oggi si sviluppa il solito canovaccio di questo weather market , apertura in gapdown e recupero nel corso della giornata.

Situazione delicata anche per il caffè, ieri il caffè robusta quotato a Londra ha perso quasi il 6% dopo aver perso il 5% anche venerdì, forati importanti supporti rimane il trincerone fondamentale dei 675, già sfiorato ieri e riavvicinato stamattina.

Il cotone dovrebbe trovare supporto tra i 48 e i 49 , il cacao combatte anch'esso su quota 1300.

Il dollaro debole e il petrolio alto dovrebbero aiutare in particolare il settore grains
 
Pre-Opening Corn Market Report for 7/6/2004

The market was down sharply in overnight trade as a warm but wet outlook into mid-July suggests nearly ideal weather for pollination just ahead.

Good rains over the weekend and the outlook for good weather into July 13th would suggest that a majority of the corn crop areas will be set for near perfect conditions for pollination in the next few weeks. Last year, poor weather after pollination failed to impact the final crop size much as the crop managed a record yield. We need record yield this year to avoid a significant tightening of supply but the crop is still on track to achieve that. It will take very hot and dry weather during the second half of July to disrupt pollination in the few areas which were planted late. Deliveries this morning came in at 257 contracts from 305 contracts on Friday. Funds were noted sellers of nearly 2500 contracts on Friday. World stocks are very tight and record yields in the US will be necessary to avoid extreme tightness for the coming season, but until there is evidence that yields will not be record, speculative selling could be active.

December corn closed 22 1/2 lower on the week on Friday. The market remains in a long liquidation mode with traders viewing the weather forecast as near ideal for pollination during the first half of July. Sparks Companies pegged the corn crop at 10.431 billion bushels as compared with 10.114 billion last year and 10.425 billion in the last USDA supply/demand report. The USDA pegged usage for the 2004/2005 season at 10.505 billion bushels. Basis was steady but trade house selling helped to pressure the market with December corn making new lows for the week late in the session on Friday.

Scattered rains are due Wednesday and again on the weekend, which will help cool down temperatures which are forecast to move into the 90's at that time. Gulf basis was steady. December corn support drops down to 254 and 250 1/4 with 262 1/4 and 266 1/2 as resistance.
 
Sti cinesi son dei gran furboni, qualche settimana si erano rimangiati gli acquisti di soia brasiliana perchè l'avevano pagata troppo rispetto a quello che sono i prezzi attuali dei beans. Ora spunta fuori la notizia che rifiutano il cotone americano arrivato ai loro porti e non pagano per problemi economici e per il solito fatto che gli rode aver prezzato troppo qualche mese fa


ODJ Nybot Cotton Pre-Open: Struggle Still Lies Ahead

-- Market Could Continue To Move Lower

By Alison Guerriere
New York, July 6 (OsterDowJones) - Cotton futures at the New York Board of
Trade could continue to struggle on Tuesday after reaching new contract lows
last week, according to sources.
Traders said continued fears of cancellations hang in the market, but
there are also cancellations that have already taken place.
"Shipped cotton (to China) is getting cancelled with buyers refusing the
goods and that is a huge problem," said a desk trader. This refusal of cotton
was sparked by the current low price of cotton mixed with the tightening of
China's credit, he added.
"The mills are not getting letters of credit and that cycle has taken
prices from 65 cents to 49 cents," the trader said.
The cotton shipments that have been refused at Chinese ports are then put
into storage or sent somewhere else, he said.
"I expect to see a continued struggle unless we have seen the worst of
it," the trader said.
Cotton settled lower on Friday after breaking new contract lows on fierce
speculative selling and options play. Dec settled off its contract low of
49.21 cents a pound at 49.56 cents, down 68 points on the day.
"The technical condition has steadily deteriorated over the last five
trading sessions. Yet this market still does not show any signs of turning,"
said David Moore, cotton analyst at Harvey Price Cotton Co. "This suggests
more new lows can be expected."
Resistance is seen at 49.89 cents while support is at 48.88 cents, he said.
Beneficial rains in West Texas added to the bearishness of the market last
week, said Jim Nunn of Nunn Cotton Co.
The weight of a 102 million-bale-plus world crop and the current situation
in China with payments and potentially with new sales hangs negatively over
the market in a way not seen in three years, he said.
"The hope for a bounce in our market has not occurred and the fact that
trade selling has pushed our market lower while the spec has seemed to take
profits is even more discouraging," Nunn said. "There are no real crop
problems in the cotton world, even though many areas of the Delta and the
Southeast are suffering from too much water."
Seven Jly cotton notices were posted Tuesday, totaling 1,182 since June 24.
 
11:24
Yukos: Khodorkovsky pronto a cedere le proprie azioni
.. ..


Il presidente del colosso petrolifero russo, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, ha detto di essere pronto a vendere le proprie azioni della società per evitare il fallimento. Khodorkovsky sarebbe disponibile a versare, in tutto o in parte, i proventi dalle vendite del suo 44% di azioni della Yukos.
 
Ali-al-Naimi cambia opinione - notizia del 08/07/2004

Il Primo Ministro del Petrolio dell’ Arabia Saudita, Ali-al-Naimi, anticipando la decisione che l’ OPEC ufficializzerà nella riunione del 21 luglio, ha dichiarato che il cartello confermerà l’ incremento di produzione di 500.000 barili al giorno a partire da agosto.
Esattamente una settimana fa – quando il crude quotava 4 dollari meno di oggi - lo stesso Ali-al-Naimi aveva sostenuto di non ritenere necessario un ulteriore aumento di produzione da parte dell’ OPEC.
Dopo aver toccato $39,90 in mattinata, il contratto del petrolio di settembre (CLU4) ha ceduto 52 cents chiudendo ieri a $39,20 .
 

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