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tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece must step up reforms, but on right track: IMF


Tue Dec 7, 2010 11:16am EST



* Greece made good start to fiscal program - Strauss-Kahn
* Says must now focus on tax evasion, labor reforms
* Sees return to growth late 2011, early 2012


By Ingrid Melander and Harry Papachristou


ATHENS (Reuters) - Greece must focus on structural reforms and open up closed professions to spur growth after making an impressive start to mandated fiscal reforms, the head of the International Monetary Fund said in Athens on Tuesday.

Euro zone partners and the IMF rescued the debt-choked country from bankruptcy in May by agreeing a 110 billion euro ($147 billion) bailout in return for tough austerity policies including tax hikes, a pension freeze and public wage cuts.

"Myself, and I believe everybody around the world, is very much impressed by the efforts made by the people of Greece," Dominique Strauss-Kahn told a news conference after meeting Prime Minister George Papandreou.

"There is still a lot to do, and what is in front may be even more important that what has been done," he said. "What has been done mostly had to do with the fiscal situation and ... what has to be done is to restore growth. Without growth there is no solution to the problems of the country."

He said Greece must focus on fighting tax evasion, opening up closed professions, reforming the labor market and making it easier for industries to develop.

Hundreds of pensioners marched through Athens chanting "hands off our pensions" to protest against his visit and thousands of civil servants were planning to take to the streets later on Tuesday.

"His presence here is not welcome," a senior public sector union official, Ilias Iliopoulos, told Reuters. "The austerity measures the IMF prescribed will not help us exit the crisis."

Strauss-Kahn told reporters the IMF should not be vilified as it was in Greece to help.
"Many people in Greek society believe we're the bad guys ... Some people say ... 'IMF go home!'. But believe me, you are better off with us here than with us at home," he said. "Don't fight the doctor."

Strauss-Kahn said he was confident Greece would deliver on the reforms agreed with the EU and the IMF. "I am confident, I believe growth will come back rather soon, (maybe at) the end of 2011, certainly the beginning of 2012."

Strauss-Kahn also criticized Europe's piecemeal response to the euro zone's debt crisis after Germany and other states resisted his calls for firmer action.

"The euro zone has to provide a comprehensive solution to this problem," he said. "The piecemeal approach is not a good one.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Grecia, piano in carreggiata ma difficile target per 2011 - Fmi

martedì 7 dicembre 2010 18:38




ATENE, 7 dicembre (Reuters) - Il piano fiscale greco è ampiamente in carreggiata, ma raggiungere i target l'anno prossimo sarà difficile. Lo ha detto il direttore generale del Fondo monetario internazionale Dominique Strauss-Kahn, precisando che è cruciale per il paese stretto nella morsa del debito ripristinare la crescita.

"Il programma è ampiamente in carreggiata" ha detto Strauss-Kahn al parlamento durante la sua prima visita ad Atene da quando la Grecia è stata salvata dai finanziamenti Ue-Fmi in maggio.

"Adesso in vista del 2011 è ancora difficile raggiungere gli obiettivi, il che è legato al fatto che le spese continuano e le verifiche sono limitate, perché il sistema è fatto in modo tale da limitare le possibilità di controllo" ha detto.

Strauss-Kahn ha aggiunto che la Grecia deve allineare i salari alle produttività per stimolare la fiacca competitività.
Il direttore Fmi aggiunge la convinzione che i prestiti alla Grecia siano sufficienti.

***
Quello che dicevamo anche noi: il 2011 sarà molto impegnativo, è necessario dopo i tagli riprendere la strada della crescita.
Sarà importante un ritorno degli investimenti dall'estero accompagnato da una ripresa del flusso turistico.
Possiamo giocarci un paio di punti di Pil...
 

ficodindia

Forumer storico
Le conseguenze dell'euro forte.

L'euro, da quando è entrato in circolazione, dall'inizio del 2002, si è rivalutato considerevoilmente rispetto alle altre monete ed in particolare il dollaro, il 50% circa. E' evidente che tale rivalutazione ha avuto un effetto devastante sull'economie dei paesi più deboli, come la Grecia, Italia, Portogallo, ecc. Perchè? Perchè tali paesi a causa dell'alto debito pubblico dovendo ridimensionare gli investimenti non han potuto promuovere l'innovazione per acquisire maggior competitività sui mercati internazionali. Viceversa la Germania, non avendo il fardello del debito elevato, ha potuto giocare la carta degli investimenti acquisendo maggiore competitività, aumentando le esportazioni soprattutto nei confronti dei paesi deboli. Del resto la Germania è il paese che nell'UEM ha il maggior tasso di sviluppo. Se tale divario prosegue è evidente che la possibilità di mantenere l'UEM risulta impossibile. Ci si deve rendere conto, soprattutto da parte del Governo tedesco, che la difesa dell'euro passa attraverso un meccanismo d'aiuti ai paesi in difficoltà per allentare la morsa ed il circolo vizioso del debito: alti tassi d'interesse--> più debito --> meno investimenti --> meno tasso di sviluppo --- alti tassi d'interesse --> ecc.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
L'euro, da quando è entrato in circolazione, dall'inizio del 2002, si è rivalutato considerevoilmente rispetto alle altre monete ed in particolare il dollaro, il 50% circa. E' evidente che tale rivalutazione ha avuto un effetto devastante sull'economie dei paesi più deboli, come la Grecia, Italia, Portogallo, ecc. Perchè? Perchè tali paesi a causa dell'alto debito pubblico dovendo ridimensionare gli investimenti non han potuto promuovere l'innovazione per acquisire maggior competitività sui mercati internazionali. Viceversa la Germania, non avendo il fardello del debito elevato, ha potuto giocare la carta degli investimenti acquisendo maggiore competitività, aumentando le esportazioni soprattutto nei confronti dei paesi deboli. Del resto la Germania è il paese che nell'UEM ha il maggior tasso di sviluppo. Se tale divario prosegue è evidente che la possibilità di mantenere l'UEM risulta impossibile. Ci si deve rendere conto, soprattutto da parte del Governo tedesco, che la difesa dell'euro passa attraverso un meccanismo d'aiuti ai paesi in difficoltà per allentare la morsa ed il circolo vizioso del debito: alti tassi d'interesse--> più debito --> meno investimenti --> meno tasso di sviluppo --- alti tassi d'interesse --> ecc.

Veramente la Grecia ha tratto tantissimi benefici con l'introduzione dell'Euro ... non è un caso che Papandreou vuole rimanere attaccato con le unghie alla moneta unica ;).
Diverso il caso dell'Irlanda.
Come diverso è stato il riflesso dell'Euro sulla Spagna, sul Portogallo e sull'Italia.
Accumunarli tutti in uno stesso ragionamento è un pò forzato.

Sulla Germania mi trovi concorde: però anche oggi Schauble ha ribadito la sua fiducia nell'irreversibilità dell'Euro.
Il problema sociologico tedesco è che vogliono equiparare la stirpe germanica a quella latina.
Ma qui c'è un gap storico/culturale/economico immenso, difficile da ricomporre nell'arco di poco tempo.

I Principi tedeschi appoggiarono Lutero proprio contro l'esosità del Pontefice Romano.
E' il filo della storia: i tedeschi si vedono sempre come quelli obbligati a sborsare nei confronti dei latini ... che gozzovigliano.

Tra le altre cose lo spostamento del centro di potere dalla Germania Renana a quella Prussiana ha accentuato una difficoltà maggiore di rapporti tra i paesi del sud-europa.
Diventa ancor più impegnativo essere sulla stessa lunghezza d'onda tra Prussiani/Protestanti alla Merkel e Latini/Cattolici alla Berlusconi/Sarkozy/Zapatero.

Ma riusciremo a farcela ... prima o poi ;).
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece - PM - Meeting with Jose Manuel Barroso in Brussels



MR. J.M. BARROSO: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. It was indeed a pleasure to meet once more my good friend Prime Minister Papandreou. It’s always a pleasure to have this opportunity to discuss European issues with him.

We have discussed in a really good and open manner the full range of issues and preparations for the next European Council.

First of all, let me pay tribute to what Prime Minister Papandreou has achieved since taking office. He has grasped the mettle of economic reform in his country. He is delivering, not just committing.

The Commission stands fully behind the efforts of the Greek government. I am fully aware that these are tough times for Greek citizens, and we are doing everything possible to show our solidarity.

Greece is on track to deliver on its reform agenda. Significant progress has been made, particularly in reducing the fiscal deficit, on the reliability of statistics and key reforms on pensions and labour markets.

The economy should improve in 2011. Wage and price inflation is beginning to moderate, setting the stage for improvements in competitiveness and the current account balance.

The 2011 budget includes measures amounting to 5.75% of GDP, which should suffice to meet the deficit target.

Health spending, state-owned enterprises and tax administration reform are priority areas.

After a positive assessment of compliance with programme conditionality, I expect the Eurogroup to approve the release of the next tranche of the loan, of EUR 6.5 billion, on the 19th of January 2011, which will be on top of the IMF disbursement due at the end of December.

Obviously further efforts will be needed in 2012-2014. Therefore it is essential that Greece continues to show the same strong commitment that we have seen over recent months, both in terms of consolidating public finances and implementing key structural reforms.

I want to say a word of solidarity to the Greek people. I understand their indignation; I understand how difficult some of those measures are. But the situation in fact requires courage, bold reforms, so as to put the growth of Greece on a sustainable path.

These are indeed historic times for Greece and for the European Union as a whole. These are extremely difficult measures to take, by all governments in Europe. And I understand how difficult some of those measures are.

But the truth is that without this kind of measures there will not be a possibility for a structural, consolidated, sustainable growth in Greece, a country that we very, very much respect.

We keep our strong involvement in these developments. Commissioner Rehn and Commissioner Johannes Hahn will both be in Athens this week. Both will be looking to find the best way to support the efforts of the Greek authorities. We are there to help, here in Greece, to show our solidarity.

We also discussed the issues on the European agenda which we will not present now for reasons of time.

And I want also to pay tribute to the commitment and the support of Prime Minister Papandreou, indeed Greece’s support to Community matters, to the European institutions, to a truly European approach. We need that in Europe.

We need in Europe a strong commitment to our project. We need leadership at all levels, from the European institutions of course, but also from national governments. This is a project where all stakeholders have to show their commitment. This is a project of solidarity and responsibility.

And for that we need the continuous support of our national leaders – and I know that Prime Minister Papandreou is a committed European, and I have seen in the European Council the contributions he has made to these kinds of solidarity and responsibility.

We will have very important discussions in the future, and of course I hope to count on the support of Greece for this ambition for a stronger European Union, a European Union that will be based on those two principles I have mentioned, among others. But I think it’s important at this moment to highlight the idea of solidarity and the idea of responsibility.

G. A. PAPANDREOU: It is my pleasure to have the opportunity to meet and work closely with the President of the Commission, Jose Barroso, in a spirit of close collaboration and friendship and I thank him for his positive words as to the course of our country.

I consider what we have done with much pain and endeavour for the Greek people is first of all to the benefit of Greece itself but is also a spirit of solidarity for the broader stability in the Eurozone of the European Union.

Greece finds itself at a stage of major changes, of historic changes with difficult decisions but with a very strong volition, not only of the government but also of the Greek people to move out of the crisis and to create institutions, to create a viable and competitive economy, leading to a pioneering green and clean development, making use of the competitive advantage that Greece has along with the enormous potential, but based on its own strength and not on borrowed strength. This is a Greece that the Greeks truly deserve.

I would like to congratulate the President of the European Commission for his efforts undertaken to support this solidarity and European institutions, the union method which is so important for the cohesion and the course and future of the European Union.

At a time which is especially trying for our institutions, where the dedication of member-states and often of our citizens is being put to the test, with a certain amount of Euro-scepticism, the contribution of the Commission and its President is of tantamount importance for the future of this great endeavour, of the great venture called Europe, which is an issue of peace, of development, prosperity, and democracy for so many peoples and citizens of Europe.

We had an exchange of views on the European support and solidarity mechanism to be discussed in the European Council on the 16th and 17th of December. I stressed to President Barroso that Greece, like the majority of member-states in the Union is in favour of restricted changes to the Treaty.

A support mechanism which will contribute to further stability and a response to international developments and the markets, but will also enable those countries to make the necessary changes they need.

Various proposals from member-states have been submitted, as well as by the European Parliament. At times Greece too has also submitted some suggestions as to how the European Central Bank might play a more active role along with the issue of Euro-bonds.

Another issue discussed is the more rapid use of European funds, the absorption rate of European funds which will contribute to easing the present situation and the further development of the country.

We also addressed the relations of the European Union with Turkey, issues of our neighbouring country, our relations with Turkey, Fyrom, and the Cyprus issue, as well as the European prospect of the Balkans. I would also like to thank the Commission and President Barroso for the Action Plan which we have promoted with Frontex to deal with clandestine immigration. I have also assured him as to the fast track progress we are making in reforming our own asylum system, dealing with migratory flows and the more human stance towards the difficulties these people face, often victims of human traffickers, from one country to the other.

I stressed the very close, institutional, personal and constructive collaboration of Greece with the European Commission and European institutions. I reiterated that the European vision is still alive in our citizens, in Greece and at the level of individuals. With this prospect in mind I expressed to him my confidence in the European Commission and my personal esteem for his initiatives.

I would like to thank him once again and we will be working closely on the most important decision that Europe has to take in forthcoming weeks and months.

SPEAKER: Prime Minister, recently we have heard repeatedly that 2013 is the year we exit the memorandum, but international analysts and economists are saying more frequently that in 2013, not only will we not exit, but that there will be a new memorandum. Do you share these views?

For President Barroso, have you in the Commission discussed the issue of a further extension of Greece’s loan and under what conditions? Thank you.

G. A. PAPANDREOU: Whatever we are doing is with a view to exit the crisis, to have development which will be competitive and viable so that 2013 finds us out of the memorandum and supervision. These are our objectives and we are progressing well. This is a course, I repeat, that Greece has shown its volition and determination for.

In 2010 we have surpassed our objectives by reducing our deficit by 6% compared to the original target of 5.5%.

This is an indication of positive results, despite the various analyses. But there are also positive analyses for Greece, not only those that foresee disaster.

We have very positive analyses that shown that Greece is now on track. We must however keep a steady course. This is what our intentions are and this is the mandate from the Greek people and I am convinced that we will be successful.

MR. J.M. BARROSO: Regarding the loans, the Council decided on the 28th of November that maturities of loans to Ireland and Greece have to be aligned. It means that maturities of loans to Greece under the economic adjustment programme need to be extended. This was a crucial decision for the credibility of the programme. The technical details are now under study and should be finalised soon.

SPEAKER: Prime Minister, on many occasions you supported the idea of issuing Eurobonds as a response to the crisis. Commissioner, in your recent address to the European Parliament concerning the state of the Union, you underlined that Eurobonds could finance big infrastructure projects in Europe.

Do you both agree with Mr. Juncker and others that launching Eurobonds could give a clear message to the financial markets?

MR. J.M. BARROSO: There are two different issues. One thing is the project bonds for specific projects. Another thing is the general Eurobonds.

The idea of the Eurobonds is an old idea in the European Union. One of my prestigious predecessors, Jacques Delors made a proposal many years ago, but agreement was never reached. That is why before commenting on this last proposal we need, I would need to be surer about the political suitability of that idea, but it is certainly an interesting one.

As I have told you it is an idea proposed many years ago, even before the Euro existed.

Regarding project bonds, it’s a specific proposal I have made, and I believe it’s perfectly feasible. It is for some projects, namely cross-border projects, infrastructure projects, where with the European Investment Bank capital is raised for specific projects.

Even on this proposal I must stress there were unfortunately some initial reactions coming from some Capitals that – let’s put it diplomatically – were not enthusiastic. I hope that with the progress in discussions agreement might be reached.

But on the other matter, as we are still at a very sensitive stage regarding markets, I prefer not to make any further comment.

G. A. PAPANDREOU: First of all, let me say that on the proposal by the President of the Commission on the project-oriented bonds of course I am very much in favour. I believe that this is a way that we can leverage funds for big infrastructure projects, which are necessary in Europe for a number of reasons.

If we look at Central and Eastern Europe but also Southern Europe, there is a lack of infrastructure in many areas: transportation, the linkages that we need to really promote a unified Europe and make ourselves more competitive, be it transportation, broadband, or energy networks.

And this, secondly, would be very useful to complement growth, because on the one hand yes, we need to consolidate our fiscal situations at the national level, but we also need the types of projects that will give us growth and make us more competitive. So I would be in absolute agreement with José on this issue.

Now, of course on the other issue of bonds also being able to be used for Eurobonds for funding debt requirements when necessary, this is a proposal that we have also accepted. Greece has also been positive, and this of course is a Greek position. I know there are a number of countries that have accepted this or have proposed this, in different forms and manners.

I think that we need to seriously discuss this issue, to implement this in an organised and responsible way. And if there is an understanding and a consensus I would think that this would be an important step for a wider and more robust financial governance facility in the European Union.


(isria.com)


****
Molto lungo, ma interessante ...
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
IMF to help Greece exit the economic crisis, says IMF head



09:18, December 08, 2010



The aim of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is to assist Greece exit an acute debt crisis, said IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn on Monday during a meeting with Greek President Karolos Papoulias here.

Strauss-Kahn, who is on a one-day visit to Athens for a series of talks with Greek officials on the progress of the ailing Greek economy, introduced himself as a friend of Greece.

IMF seeks to support Greeks find a way out of the crisis which threatened them with bankruptcy this spring, he said, adding that a main concern in efforts to put Greek economy back on the right track is not to add unbearable burdens to the most vulnerable members of society.

"The antidote is a fair tax system, so that the richest pay more," said Strauss-Kahn in a reference to the problem of wide tax evasion in Greece, replying to a comment of Papoulias that the poor suffer more from the crisis.


Under the burden of a budget deficit which stood at 15.4 percent of GDP in 2009, Greece avoided the threat of default in May by securing a multi- billion loan by European Union and IMF.

In exchange, the Greek socialist government pledged and implemented drastic austerity measures and structural reforms which have caused strong reactions by Greek society.

Strauss-Kahn's visit to Athens coincides with deliberations on the terms of an extension of the repayment period of the EU-IMF financial aid for Athens to 2021 instead of 2016, as European partners and IMF are about to release the third tranche of aid to Greece later in December and January.

Expressing disappointment of a part of Greek citizens on Germany's stance regarding the Greek crisis, Papoulias thanked Strauss-Kahn for "IMF's understanding of the Greek crisis compared to some Europeans, such as Germany."

Many Greeks though are still skeptical of IMF's involvement in efforts to overcome the debt crisis in Greece.

As Strauss-Kahn holds talks with Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou at the moment, the umbrella union of civil servants ADEDY and Left parties organize two demonstrations in the centre of Athens this afternoon.

(Il Quotidiano del Popolo, Beijing)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Greek transport workers strike against austerity

Dec 8, 2010 8:12 AM GMT+0100 Wed Dec 08 07:12:57 GMT 2010
By The Associated Press

ATHENS, Greece (AP) — Strikes have halted public transport in Athens for 24 hours, in the latest display of union opposition to austerity measures in crisis-hit Greece.


Buses, the metro, trams and trolleys stopped in the capital Wednesday along with national rail services, as workers walked off the job in opposition to plans by the Socialist government to restructure state-run transport companies and reduce subsidy payments.


Ferry services to Greek islands and flights were not affected.
Unions have called a nationwide general strike for Dec. 15, demanding that the government ease austerity measures, agreed in return for international bailout loans worth euro110 billion ($147 billion) through 2013.


Athens is renegotiating the loan repayment schedule, with both the EU and IMF supportive of an extension.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Sempre relativamente stabili nelle loro oscillazioni gli spread sul bund dei periferici con una lieve tendenza al restringimento.

Ieri sera l'Irlanda ha approvato, con un primo voto, la manovra antideficit proposta dal governo con 82 voti a favore e 77 contrari.
E' un buon primo passo.

La Grecia ha incassato gli elogi di Strauss-Kahn per il modo e la capacità di condurre le riforme, ma molto rimane da fare.
Il 2011 sarà l'anno decisivo che potrà rivelarsi positivo solo con il sostegno da parte della Troika e con una ripresa degli investimenti.

Rimane sempre alta la tensione in Spagna con lo spread in alta quota.

Grecia 889 pb. (891)
Irlanda 531 pb. (555)
Portogallo 316 pb. (322)
Spagna 232 pb. (236)
Italia 161 pb. (169)
Belgio 111 pb. (116)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Last-minute push for 2010 revenues target



PROKOPIS HATZINIKOLAOU


The Finance Ministry is launching a last-ditch 20-day drive to reach the target for total 2010 public revenues as provided for in the budget. Any deficit in revenues or excess in expenditure will burden the 2011 budget with fresh measures, beyond those already announced.

For this month the government requires revenues of 5.9 billion euros to fulfill the requirements of the 2010 budget. That would mean a 13.2 percent increase over December 2009 revenues. In an effort to achieve this target, Deputy Finance Minister Dimitris Kouselas met yesterday with the directors of the 27 biggest tax offices in Attica, which account for 70 percent of public revenues. He asked them to do their best to complete the tax amnesty process and to move ahead with all other debt collection procedures.

The government is expecting to collect a total of 800 million euros by the end of the year from the settlement of outstanding tax debts spanning the last decade, while also awaiting revenue from the last installment of income tax.

However, all this, along with certain other revenues such as road tax (expected to fetch about 1 billion euros) will take the figure to between 5.2 and 5.5 billion euros, well below the 5.9-billion-euro target. When the tax returns are also calculated, amounting to about 0.5 billion euros, this falls to barely 5 billion. The ministry is particularly concerned about the low revenues from value-added tax, resulting from a large drop in consumption.


(Kathimerini.gr)

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