Journal to portfolio afterlife

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E' ancora profondo rosso per il mercato dell'auto in Europa. Nel mese di aprile - secondo i dati dell'Acea, l'associazione dei costruttori europei - sono state immatricolate in Ue, paesi Efta e Regno Unito 830.447 vetture, il 20,2% in meno dello stesso mese dell'anno scorso.
 
Sarà vero, ma io con il dollaro a 1,05 preferisco iniziare ad hedgiarmi, e così ho fatto con l'hedging su embe e la posizione sull'oro, perchè anche i titoli auriferi sono generalmente negativamente correlati col dollaro, anche se non su tutti i timeframe.

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La BIS non prevede stagflazione.

Key takeaways
• Higher commodity prices will erode global growth, as the modest growth boost for commodity exporters
will only partly offset the output losses of commodity importers.
• Rising commodity prices will also intensify global inflationary pressures. The effects will be strongest for
food and energy prices, but spillovers to other components of inflation are likely.
• Recent shocks have been smaller than the 1970s oil shocks but broader-based, encompassing food and
industrial commodities as well as energy. Nonetheless, structural changes, as well as stronger policy
frameworks and nominal anchors, make stagflation less likely to return

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Commodity price increases in the wake of the war in Ukraine are likely to weigh on global growth and add
to inflation. While lower energy dependence and stronger policy frameworks make a repeat of the 1970s
stagflation unlikely, high and volat ile commodity prices could still be di sruptive. This puts a premium on
restoring low inflation quickly, before it becomes ingrained in household and corporate decisions
 

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