Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond Chimica Europa (1 Viewer)

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
29/11/08 Ineos

Originalmente inviato da Eus
Penso che Ineos riuscirà a trovare il dovuto accordo con le banche presentando un piano di rilancio che passerà (inevitabilmente) per un drastico taglio della forza lavoro e la chiusura temporanea di alcuni impianti. I tassi d'interesse in forte ribasso dovrebbero aiutare in questo senso a trovare il giusto accordo sui prestiti bancari di Ineos.
Dici bene: in altre parole tirerà avanti ancora un po' .. ma i settori su cui si fonda sono maturi e di piu' ancora,per la grande maggioranza sono obsoleti ed hanno richieste energetiche notevoli con sfridi produttivi impressionanti...quindi il futuro a medio termine non è roseo anzi.Quindi il rating, se vogliamo predefault, è solo una logica conseguenza
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
30/11/08

Originalmente inviato da Eus
Penso che Ineos riuscirà a trovare il dovuto accordo con le banche presentando un piano di rilancio che passerà (inevitabilmente) per un drastico taglio della forza lavoro e la chiusura temporanea di alcuni impianti. I tassi d'interesse in forte ribasso dovrebbero aiutare in questo senso a trovare il giusto accordo sui prestiti bancari di Ineos.
Cucu'

I "nostri simpatici cazzari del Nord" come qualcuno qui ha spiritosamente denominato quelli di Jiske Bank dopo aver essere stati bullish su Ineos quando era a valori di 80% ne raccomandano ora lo strong SELL su valori sotto il 20%.
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E pure con i soldi rimasti dovresti comprare secondo loro Rexam 2067
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There is therefore
widespread uncertainty over the next six
months, and we find it very difficult to see any
positive momentum in Ineos. Due to the large
uncertainty involved, the rating agencies
Moody’s and S&P downgraded Ineos by two
notches to Caa2 and CCC, respectively, and
both have Ineos on negative watch, indicating
that there are further downgrades on the
cards. We therefore still assess that the
likelihood of a default/bankruptcy is imminent
and we reiterate our SELL recommendation for
Ineos.

We recommend investors in Ineos to switch to
the bonds mentioned in the publication Time
for quality at www.jyskemarkets.com.
Specifically we recommend Rexam €6.75%
2067.
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
30/11/08 su Rexam

Rexam, tempo addietro, ma forse chi lo sa ancora adesso (visto che è in atto una "STRATEGIC REVIEW" così disse Ron Marsh,RPC LTD Marzo 2008) aveva manifestato un certo interesse nel rilevare, appunto, RPC LTD..(RPC è' una holding con circa poco piu' di 40 company in Europa ed una negli States, forti nello stampaggio ad iniezione-con una piccola rappresentanza nell' estrusione Italia e Belgio - per un totale di poco piu' di 6300 dipendenti, quotata alla City).
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
Ed arrivava il rating D sui bond LyondellBasell della filiale USA, mentre sulla holding casa madre europea il rating passava a "C"

FRANKFURT (Standard & Poor's) Jan. 7, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today it lowered to 'D' from 'CC' its ratings on the three main U.S. subsidiaries of LyondellBasell Industries AF S.C.A., namely Lyondell Chemical Co., Equistar Chemicals L.P., and Millennium Chemicals Inc. This follows the company's decision to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for these entities on Jan. 6, 2009. All issue ratings of the U.S. subsidiaries have also been cut to 'D'. The long-term issuer credit rating on the European holding company LyondellBasell Industries AF S.C.A. (LyondellBasell) remains at 'SD', indicating a selective default, because we expect the company to continue to serve its senior debt obligations as well as those on as its three European bonds. However, these obligations are now rated 'C' and there is still a high risk that the bonds could lose the majority of their principal in the ongoing debt restructuring process.

LyondellBasell filed voluntary petitions for reorganization under Chapter 11 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court. The bankruptcy filing comes after Lyondell Chemical Co. missed a $160 million fees and $121 million interest payment relating to the bridge loan agreement on Jan. 4, which had already been deferred from Dec. 19, 2008. The group's owner, Access Industries, has declined to allow LyondellBasell to draw down under the €750 million revolving credit line, which was so far undrawn. LyondellBasell's liquidity deteriorated substantially in the fourth quarter, owing to large double-digit declines in volumes sold as well as the company's obligation to reduce its inventory and receivables-based borrowings by about $1.2 billion. In January 2009, payments totaling $850 million are due under these facilities.

This follows a quickly declining borrowing base under its inventory and receivables-based credit facilities because the oil price has declined by about $100 per barrel and key commodity chemical prices by more than 50% since August 2008. The company has already successfully renegotiated with its lenders up to $8 billion for debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing :)D il sorrisino precede il commento di PaoloGorgo), for which Access Industries will provide about $700 million of debt. The DIP financing, which is subject to court approval, will provide an immediate source of funds to continue its operations and enable LyondellBasell to satisfy customary obligations, including amounts owed to trade creditors, suppliers, customers, and employees in the ordinary course of business.

Of this total, $3.25 billion consists of new funding, $3.25 billion represents a refinancing of certain obligations under LyondellBasell's existing senior secured credit facilities, and $1.515 billion represents replacement of existing working capital facilities in the U.S. "We believe that debt restructuring will result in substantial principal losses for non-senior lenders, mainly the second-lien and very likely a majority of senior unsecured bond obligations," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Tobias Mock. "We will monitor the debt restructuring progress and will assign a new corporate credit rating accordingly, once we have visibility about the future financial structure." The company has adapted its production capacities considerably in recent months, and currently produces only at an estimated 50% of its nameplate capacity.

This, of course, is dramatically reducing its operating profitability and cash flow generation capability. In addition, the petrochemical downturn is not likely to hit its trough until 2010 so that the company is expected to continue to face challenging market conditions for at least another 24 months. We do not expect the dramatic volume decline in the fourth quarter of 2008 to be representative of the underlying demand for plastics over the coming two years and therefore expect a somewhat improving trend in the coming quarters.

However, cheap cost capacities from the Middle East will keep profitability for European and U.S.-based producers very minimal or even loss making as long as the oversupply in the industry exists. The company now expects to achieve EBITDA of about $2.1 billion-$2.3 billion in 2009 and 2010, as indicated in the Lyondell Chemical Co. Chapter 11 filing.

Uno dei problemi che affligge questo mercato e che molto probabilmnte è alla base del mancato accordo tra Kuwait e Dow Chemical è che ci sono 4 milioni di tonnellate in eccesso sulla domanda worldwide di poliolefine..:(
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
3/12/2008 su Arkema

Arkema confirms earnings target despite downturn

FRENCH SPECIALTY chemicals producer Arkema is confident it can still meet its earnings targets, despite the economic downturn, and is counting on China to help it deliver the improvements.
Asia will be at the heart of Arkema's transformation strategy, chairman and CEO Thierry Le Henaff told journalists at a press conference in Shanghai in October. The company intends to increase its share of sales in Asia to 20% by 2012, from a projected 15% in 2008 and from 13% in 2007.
The company has been reorganizing its operations following its spin-off from Total in 2006, and plans to continue cutting costs and realigning its portfolio. Between 2005 and 2007 the company cut its head count by 17% to 15,194 while raising earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) by 129% to €293m ($371m), Le Henaff said.
Arkema is sticking by its target to raise its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margin to 12% by 2010, from an estimated 10% in 2008. To achieve this, the company calculates that it will need to raise its EBITDA by €140m, of which €70m will come from productivity improvement and restructuring projects, €30m from new products and geographical expansions and €40m from mergers and acquisitions (M&A).
Projects already underway are expected to generate €65m of the €140m total, said Le Henaff, while the remaining €75m "will have to come from new projects that we still have to launch."
Restructuring is continuing in fluorochemicals, functional additives and polyamides, and new production capacity has been added for hydrogen peroxide in Shanghai and refrigerants in Calvert City, Kentucky, US. Regarding M&A activity, the company purchased the Coatex specialty polymers and additives firm from Swiss industrial minerals producer Omya in 2007 and acquired Spanish oil company Repsol YPF's polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) business earlier this year.(TUTTE attività che sono a buon valore aggiunto!)
Arkema's strong balance sheet will help the company cope with the economic downturn and allow it to pursue acquisitions, Le Henaff said. Arkema has a low debt level, with a gearing of about 25%, and a €1.1bn credit line that has been renewed to 2013, he continued. "This means we have the safety we need in our balance sheet, first to cope with the current environment and second, to make some small to medium-sized bolt-on acquisitions in the next couple of years."
In the acrylics business, for example, Arkema will continue to seek bolt-on acquisitions of high-value polymers following the purchase of Coatex, he said.(Idem)
Arkema plans to focus on high-margin products and divest or improve less profitable products. The company will concentrate on five core technology platforms: acrylics, methacrylates, thiochemicals, fluorochemicals and polyamides.(Ibidem)
"The idea is to refocus Arkema on the best product lines, and eventually divest less profitable lines," explained Le Henaff.
The company's push into Asia is vitally important. To achieve its goal of increasing its share of sales in Asia to 20% by 2012, the company needs to invest €200m in Asia by 2012, Le Henaff said. Investments will be focused on China, as well as India, Japan and Korea, and project locations will depend largely on access to a competitive supply of raw materials.
In China, sales will be boosted by the hydrogen peroxide expansion in Shanghai and development of Arkema's fluorochemicals operations in Changshu. In addition, the company has formed two joint ventures with Japanese industrial group Daikin - one for the production of HFC-125 in Changshu, and the other for marketing refrigerant fluid blends in the Asia Pacific region.
Arkema also plans to establish research and development (R&D) operations in China to complement its R&D technical center in Kyoto, Japan, Le Henaff said.
Projects under study in China include a further hydrogen peroxide expansion (see box) and the construction of a production plant for Coatex, according to Arkema executive vice president Marc Schuller. The company is also considering construction of acrylic acid and derivatives plants, possibly in India, Singapore or the Middle East.
In November, Arkema revealed that net income for the third quarter rose by 8.1% to €40m on the back of price increases. Sales rose by 5.1% to €1.45bn. Le Henaff said that since October, there had been a sudden demand slowdown, particularly in automotive and construction. This had been amplified by destocking and limited the visibility on the economic outlook in the fourth quarter.
Arkema says products in its five chosen core technology platforms - taken from the industrial chemicals and performance products segments - have an EBITDA margin potential of 15-20%. Other products from these two segments, including organic peroxides, surfactants, glass coatings, oil additives and hydrogen peroxide, are classified as 'specialty niches' and have an EBITDA margin potential of above 15%, it says. The vinyl products segment is expected to break even from 2008, in low-cycle conditions, and have an EBITDA margin of 7-9% in mid-cycle conditions in 2010.
Arkema plans to speed up its transformation by accelerating its business development in Asia, reducing its fixed costs and focusing R&D efforts on new markets, concluded Le Henaff. Growth will be underpinned by securing competitive long-term access to strategic raw materials, building a manufacturing footprint in each major geographical zone, and increasing downstream activities through M&A and organic growth.
"We will continue to accelerate the transformation of the company," he insisted. "We've done a lot since the spin-off but we still have a lot to do."
NEW HYDROGEN PEROXIDE CAPACITY FOR CHINA: Arkema has doubled the capacity of its hydrogen peroxide plant, a joint venture (JV) with Shanghai Coking, to 80,000 tonnes/year and the partners are already studying a debottlenecking. "There are plans to raise the capacity to 100,000 tonnes/year," revealed Liu Xungeng, president of Huayi Group, parent company of Shanghai Coking. Arkema is considering additional opportunities to invest in hydrogen peroxide in China, revealed Marc Schuller, executive vice president with responsibility for industrial chemicals, energy and purchasing. "The existing site is almost reaching its limit," he said. "The next major expansion would be at another site." Arkema is also studying the construction of acrylic acid and derivatives plants, possibly in India, Singapore or the Middle East, according to CEO Thierry Le Henaff. A proposed acrylic acid JV with Essar Chemicals in Vadinar in Guajarat state, India, has been delayed because of a lack of propylene feedstock availability, he said.
TAKING ADVANTAGE OF NEW REGULATIONS: Arkema's first HFC-125 refrigeration plant, under construction in Changshu, China, is scheduled to start up in early 2010. The project, a joint venture with Japanese industrial group Daikin, takes advantage of new regulations in Europe and the US governing the phase-out of HCFC-22. The plant will have an initial capacity of 15,000 tonnes/year, with potential expansion to 25,000 tonnes/year depending on market conditions, executive vice president Pierre Chanoine said. The HFC-125 output will be blended with HFC-32 to produce the refrigerant blend HFC-410A, which will replace HCFC-22 as it is phased out. HFC-410A will then be sold to air-conditioning original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the air-conditioning units will be exported to Europe and the US. "We are adapting our assets to the new regulations," Chanoine said. HCFC-22 will be banned completely in Europe from the end of 2009, while in the US, the refrigerant will be banned from new equipment from the end of 2009, he added. In China, HCFC-22 is not scheduled to be banned until 2040, said Dominique Namer, Arkema's regional general manager for Asia-Pacific
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
11/12/2008 ancora problemi Sabic e Basf e Dow

Proseguono i tagli al personale e le fermate dei plant:

HOUSTON --SABIC Innovative Plastics said on Wednesday it would eliminate 10% of its global workforce through 2009 as part of a larger restructuring plan, becoming the latest major chemical company to react to the global economic downturn.

SABIC spokeswoman Jodi Kennedy said the company will eliminate the jobs through attrition and lay offs. SABIC plastics employs about 10,500 people worldwide.

Kennedy declined to give specifics on the restructuring plan other than to say it would “intensify focus on our diverse customer base”.

“Basically, for last nine months, we designed a new business model that we think better meets the requirements of our diverse customer base. This new model requires fewer but more focused resources,” Kennedy said.

The company would not make a formal announcement on the plan or the lay-offs for competitive reasons, Kennedy said.

Since Monday, SABIC plastics cut about 10% of its workforce at plants in Pittsfield, Massachusetts; Mt Vernon, Indiana; and Wood County, West Virgina.

SABIC Innovative Plastics came into existence after the Saudi petrochemical giant Saudi Basic Industries Corp bought GE Plastics for $11.6bn (€8.9bn) in May 2007. The private company has 80 locations in 21 countries manufacturing such thermoplastics sheets and resins as polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), polycarbonate (PC) and acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS).

In November, it cut its thermoplastic resins production by 20%, citing falling demand.

It is the latest chem major to announce it would scale back its workforce as the global economic downturn sucks demand out of the market.

Dow Chemical announced on 8 December it would eliminate about 5,000 full-time jobs, or 11% of its total workforce, and remove roughly 6,000 contractor positions, or 30% of its total. The company is also closing 20 plants, idling 180 others and selling off businesses.

On 4 December, producer DuPont said it expected to post a fourth-quarter loss and cut 2,500 jobs, or 4.2% of its workforce.

Germany-based BASF said in November it would reduce its full-year profits after it had been hit by a “massive decline" in demand and had been forced to temporarily shut down 80 plants worldwide
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
11/12/08: Correlazioni Chimica e Auto...

E come volevasi dimostrare a causa (ma non solo!) della debolezza del mercato auto anche i produttori di TDI ed MDI hanno la domanda in caduta libera:

10 Dec 08 23:59 Europe TDI in freefall on poor demand, year-end destocking
10 Dec 08 23:36 US bulk TDI on poor demand, destocking


I composti sopracitati servono come precursori dei poliuretani (impiegati come riempitivi per schienali, imbotture dei volanti etc.) e nelle vernici. (ma non solo, obviously
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)

Tra le industrie coinvolte c'è LyondellBasell e poi una lista (NON esaustiva) a seguire:


K&H Chemicals, NL

Lyondell Chemical Company, US
At Lyondell, we manufacture and market basic chemicals

SCHARMER LIMITED & CO. KG, DE

e la MAMMA BASF Obviously,
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Altre news sempre per il TDI

10 Dec 08 23:36 US bulk TDI on poor demand, destocking
10 Dec 08 05:31 US dollar rise fails to boost Asian exports
03 Dec 08 23:59 Europe TDI down €100/t on poor demand, destocking
03 Dec 08 06:06 S Korea's KPX runs TDI unit at 60% op rate

Questo post è dedicato a chi nella selezione bond corporate, scarti magari l' auto per poi prendere qualcosa che è di un' altro settore, ma poi invece, è intimamente collegato con il settore citato.
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
Biocarburanti 22/12/2008

Air Liquide (Lurgi): Buone notizie, (in prospettiva,ovviamente) per i costruttori auto e per la stessa Air Liquide.

Air Liquide (Paris:AI):

As part of its policy targeting the reduction of greenhouse gases, the European Union requires that the proportion of biogenic motor fuels should be increased to 5.75% by the year 2010. In Germany, the Federal Government is aiming for a significant higher quota of fuels generated from renewable resources by year 2020. Second generation biofuels, as they do not use the edible part of the plant, will contribute to this ambitious objective.

In this context, Lurgi, a 100% subsidiary of the Air Liquide Group, will build a second generation of biofuel plant at Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe


Questo è da wsj today
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
E chiudiamo con una buona notizia..

20/12/2008:

19/12/2008

Linde Raised To Buy From Neutral By Goldman Sachs
Akzo Nobel Raised To Buy From Neutral By Goldman Sachs

Linde: Gas tecnici industriali
Akzo:Hanno un discreto controllo di gestione, fanno coatings, (decorativi, strutturali etc.) chemicals specialty, (per carta per polimeri per detergenza), chimica di base.

Fonte: WSJ 19/12/2008
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
Help ....

Dopo il necessario ripescaggio e della storia e di notizie che hanno a che fare con il momento contingente chiedo cortesemente ai Lettori di postare i chemical bond in possesso in maniera tale che si possa costruire un "monitor" di detti bond...
 

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