FTSE Mib Futures solointraday - Cap. 3
- Creatore Discussione DRIVE
- Data di Inizio
ironclad
Pitchfork + Harmonic patterns
La sfera è il broadening di SOLO sul 4 ore spoore il resto non conta.Iron sei il solito pessimista!! Cambia sfera di cristallo
fenice78
Forumer storico
Ma come non conta?? Proprio ora che è finista la crisi vuoi che si inizi a scendere?? Non hai visto che super risultaiti stamattina di germania e francia e svizzera (aggiungo un chi se ne frega per la Svizzera..) Sei davvero un inguarbile pessimista
thedreamer
Forumer storico
Ma come non conta?? Proprio ora che è finista la crisi vuoi che si inizi a scendere?? Non hai visto che super risultaiti stamattina di germania e francia e svizzera (aggiungo un chi se ne frega per la Svizzera..) Sei davvero un inguarbile pessimista
ma chi sei il gemello di jedd? no, pe' curiosità...
(jedd è quello simpatico dei due s'intende...)
DRIVE
Massaio di Voghera
The July retail sales beat came as a surprise to many: an 0.8% increase (full series here) at a time when the data was supposed to grow at less than half this would surely be indicative of a potential turnaround in the US economy. Then we decided to do a quick spot check if maybe the Census Bureau had not adopted one of the BLS' worst habits: fudging seasonal adjustment factors. The reason for this is because we happened to notice that Not Seasonally Adjusted (full series here) retail sales data in July actually declined by 0.9% from $405.8 to $402 billion. Of course, if the Census Bureau was using a consistent, or at least remotely comparable July seasonal adjustment factor as it has in the past, this would make sense and we would move on. So we decided to look at what the July seasonal adjustment variance over the past decade has been. What we found would have shocked us if indeed this is not precisely what we expected: with the July seasonal adjustment factor routinely subtracting a substantial amount from the NSA number, averaging at -$5.2 billion, in 2012, for the first time this decade, the seasonal adjustment not only did not subtract, but in fact added "value" to the NSA number, resulting in a seasonally adjusted number that was $1.9 billion higher than the NSA number at $403.9 billion.
So what would have happened if instead of arbitrarily deciding to add a seasonal contribution for the first time in a decade, the Census Bureau had used the last decade average factor of $5.2 billion (not adjusted for inflation, so the end number would be far greater)? Instead of rising by 0.8% Seasonally Adjusted retail sales would have declined from $400.7 billion to $395.5 billion, or a 1.3% decline.
capso
So what would have happened if instead of arbitrarily deciding to add a seasonal contribution for the first time in a decade, the Census Bureau had used the last decade average factor of $5.2 billion (not adjusted for inflation, so the end number would be far greater)? Instead of rising by 0.8% Seasonally Adjusted retail sales would have declined from $400.7 billion to $395.5 billion, or a 1.3% decline.
capso
fenice78
Forumer storico
?? Davvero non cogli l'ironia nei miei messaggi? Hai le faccine disabilitate?
ciao
ironclad
Pitchfork + Harmonic patterns
Ma come non conta?? Proprio ora che è finista la crisi vuoi che si inizi a scendere?? Non hai visto che super risultaiti stamattina di germania e francia e svizzera (aggiungo un chi se ne frega per la Svizzera..) Sei davvero un inguarbile pessimista
i cani stanno piazzando antenne sul fut a 4 ore come il 27 marzo
Similar threads
