queste due sono "vecchio tipo".
La ISP piu' penalizzante e' la XS0545782020
Credo che dopo l'operazione PSI sulla Grecia, gli investitori hanno realizzato che i cds difficilmente verranno fatti scattare in futuro, per cui si ritrovano senza copertura dell'investimento rischioso, per cui vendono a menetta l'investimento che reputano rischiso.
Da lì nasce, secondo l'articolo, il massiccio sell off recente sui tds italiani
Ma scusa.....ma parlando seriamente c'è qualcuno che crede o credeva che si potessero pagare effetivamente i cds sui i debiti sovrani di stati sistemici all' economia occidentale????..........senza far saltare tutto in aria....in pratica l' Apocalisse economica......... a meno che i Maya non ci abbiano ragione sul 2012......
Pure questa. Passato pure l'appetito per i bond EFSF. Mi sa che la leva 4x del fondo doventa una chimera (salvo intervento della BCE). Praticamente l'accordo di mercoledì scorso è carta straccia.
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EFSF bond may see weak demand
By David Oakley in London
Bankers have warned that the eurozone rescue fund might face lacklustre demand this week for a planned bond issue designed to finance Ireland’s bail-out.
The offering will provide a key test of investor sentiment after the announcement last week of new plans to tackle the eurozone debt crisis.
The bond from the European financial stability facility will seek to raise €3bn ($4bn) and will be in 10-year bonds rather than a 15-year maturity because of worries over demand, say bankers. A 10-year bond is more likely to attract interest from Asian central banks than a longer maturity.
Bankers familiar with the issue said the EFSF had been considering a €5bn issue. However, the EFSF has denied this, saying it had always sought a €3bn issue.
One banker said: “There is so much uncertainty over the EFSF that it will be much harder to sell than it was earlier in the year, when we saw massive demand from European funds and Asian accounts. Japan and China bought in big size earlier in the year. We are not sure we are going to see that type of demand this week.”
Bankers said the bond, which is expected to price on Wednesday, may see weak demand in spite of Klaus Regling, the head of the EFSF, launching a charm offensive in Asia last week to encourage interest.
EFSF officials decided to price this week because market conditions might deteriorate if they hold off any longer, according to bankers.
The bond is expected to price at yields of about 3.30 per cent, about 130 basis points over Germany, the European market benchmark. This represents a big mark-up since the middle of September, when existing 10-year EFSF bonds were trading at about 2.60 per cent, only 70bp over Germany.
Bankers said Chinese and Japanese investors had been big buyers of EFSF bonds earlier in the year on the basis that they were triple A rated with a big premium over Germany, which was seen as a risk-free premium.
However, as worries over the eurozone and its ability to tackle the crisis have deepened, the focus has shifted to the structure of the EFSF, which is still unclear and may mean these bonds could be difficult to sell back to the market.
EU heads of state last week outlined two schemes to leverage up the EFSF, which has a firepower of €440bn.
These are a credit enhancement or insurance scheme, providing additional credit enhancement for new bonds issued by sovereign states, and a special purpose investment vehicle combining public and private capital to extend loans and buy bonds in the primary and secondary markets.
Barclays Capital, Crédit Agricole and JPMorgan are managing the €3bn offering.
Pure questa. Passato pure l'appetito per i bond EFSF. Mi sa che la leva 4x del fondo doventa una chimera (salvo intervento della BCE). Praticamente l'accordo di mercoledì scorso è carta straccia.
*.*.*
EFSF bond may see weak demand
By David Oakley in London
Bankers have warned that the eurozone rescue fund might face lacklustre demand this week for a planned bond issue designed to finance Ireland’s bail-out.
The offering will provide a key test of investor sentiment after the announcement last week of new plans to tackle the eurozone debt crisis.
The bond from the European financial stability facility will seek to raise €3bn ($4bn) and will be in 10-year bonds rather than a 15-year maturity because of worries over demand, say bankers. A 10-year bond is more likely to attract interest from Asian central banks than a longer maturity.
Bankers familiar with the issue said the EFSF had been considering a €5bn issue. However, the EFSF has denied this, saying it had always sought a €3bn issue.
One banker said: “There is so much uncertainty over the EFSF that it will be much harder to sell than it was earlier in the year, when we saw massive demand from European funds and Asian accounts. Japan and China bought in big size earlier in the year. We are not sure we are going to see that type of demand this week.”
Bankers said the bond, which is expected to price on Wednesday, may see weak demand in spite of Klaus Regling, the head of the EFSF, launching a charm offensive in Asia last week to encourage interest.
EFSF officials decided to price this week because market conditions might deteriorate if they hold off any longer, according to bankers.
The bond is expected to price at yields of about 3.30 per cent, about 130 basis points over Germany, the European market benchmark. This represents a big mark-up since the middle of September, when existing 10-year EFSF bonds were trading at about 2.60 per cent, only 70bp over Germany.
Bankers said Chinese and Japanese investors had been big buyers of EFSF bonds earlier in the year on the basis that they were triple A rated with a big premium over Germany, which was seen as a risk-free premium.
However, as worries over the eurozone and its ability to tackle the crisis have deepened, the focus has shifted to the structure of the EFSF, which is still unclear and may mean these bonds could be difficult to sell back to the market.
EU heads of state last week outlined two schemes to leverage up the EFSF, which has a firepower of €440bn.
These are a credit enhancement or insurance scheme, providing additional credit enhancement for new bonds issued by sovereign states, and a special purpose investment vehicle combining public and private capital to extend loans and buy bonds in the primary and secondary markets.
Barclays Capital, Crédit Agricole and JPMorgan are managing the €3bn offering.
articolo interessanteTempo fa si diceva le banche USA, e questo articolo sembrerebbe confermarlo. Questo spiegherebbe anche la fortissima pressione di Geitner per una risoluzione rapida della crisi Europea...
Se così fosse, l'idea di swappare perpetuals Europei con USA non sembrerebbe particolarmente efficace...
Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. banks increased sales of insurance against credit losses to holders of Greek, Portuguese, Irish, Spanish and Italian debt in the first half of 2011, boosting the risk of payouts in the event of defaults.
Guarantees provided by U.S. lenders on government, bank and corporate debt in those countries rose by $80.7 billion to $518 billion, according to the Bank for International Settlements. Almost all of those are credit-default swaps, said two people familiar with the numbers, accounting for two-thirds of the total related to the five nations, BIS data show.
The payout risks are higher than what JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the leading CDS underwriters in the U.S., report. The banks say their net positions are smaller because they purchase swaps to offset ones they're selling to other companies.
Selling More Insurance on Europe Debt Raises Risk for U.S. Banks - BusinessWeek