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FT - Should investors stump up for Deutsche and UniCredit’s fund raisings?
Over the next six months, two of Europe’s biggest banks are likely to ask for about €20bn of fresh capital. Should investors stump up? ...........
Both UniCredit and Deutsche are now valued at about a third of the book value of their net assets, up from a quarter a few months ago. To the casual observer, these two European lenders have a fair amount in common — the biggest banks in their respective countries, long unloved, but finally regaining a degree of popularity with investors. The parallels, though, are false. These are two very different banks, with even more different investment cases.
UniCredit is a pretty simple retail and corporate bank. Like its Italian peers, it has been laid low by a double-dip recession and has a glut of non-performing loans (nearly €80bn at the end of September). But the fix is under way. Jean-Pierre Mustier, its energetic new chief executive, has moved decisively, selling assets aggressively ahead of December’s package of restructuring and capital-raising.
Deutsche, despite its US settlement and the market’s newfound optimism, faces a long list of challenges. Chief executive John Cryan has been in the job for an exhausting 18 months. Another legacy legal issue looms, relating to a $10bn “mirror-trade” scandal in Russia. Most serious perhaps is Deutsche’s reliance on areas of investment banking that are challenged by tighter regulation. Critics have long complained there is no convincing alternative strategy. Noises about refocusing on Germany ring hollow — Deutsche has neglected its home market for decades.....................
If an investor had to choose, it is hard to imagine Deutsche winning out.
FT - Should investors stump up for Deutsche and UniCredit’s fund raisings?
Over the next six months, two of Europe’s biggest banks are likely to ask for about €20bn of fresh capital. Should investors stump up? ...........
Both UniCredit and Deutsche are now valued at about a third of the book value of their net assets, up from a quarter a few months ago. To the casual observer, these two European lenders have a fair amount in common — the biggest banks in their respective countries, long unloved, but finally regaining a degree of popularity with investors. The parallels, though, are false. These are two very different banks, with even more different investment cases.
UniCredit is a pretty simple retail and corporate bank. Like its Italian peers, it has been laid low by a double-dip recession and has a glut of non-performing loans (nearly €80bn at the end of September). But the fix is under way. Jean-Pierre Mustier, its energetic new chief executive, has moved decisively, selling assets aggressively ahead of December’s package of restructuring and capital-raising.
Deutsche, despite its US settlement and the market’s newfound optimism, faces a long list of challenges. Chief executive John Cryan has been in the job for an exhausting 18 months. Another legacy legal issue looms, relating to a $10bn “mirror-trade” scandal in Russia. Most serious perhaps is Deutsche’s reliance on areas of investment banking that are challenged by tighter regulation. Critics have long complained there is no convincing alternative strategy. Noises about refocusing on Germany ring hollow — Deutsche has neglected its home market for decades.....................
If an investor had to choose, it is hard to imagine Deutsche winning out.