Bund, Tbond e la matrixiana allo yen vm18

i pettegolezzi sul rimbalzone finale di mercoledì, evidentemente non ci credeva nessuno

Big US stock market move sparks questions; CME says no error
Thu Aug 2, 2007

CHICAGO, Aug 2 (Reuters) - A big jump in U.S. stocks in the last half hour of trading late on Wednesday sparked speculation that a bad trade in the futures market was behind the unexpected rally, but CME Group (CME.N: Quote, Profile , Research), the world's largest futures exchange, said trading was normal.

The rally led to market talk that a mistake had been made on a trade, resulting in a 180 point jump in the Dow Jones industrial average <DJI> and a sharp rise in the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 Index <SPX> in the last 20 minutes of trade on Wednesday.

Traders in London overnight cited talk that someone made an error entering a purchase order for a futures contract, placing a far larger order than intended.

But CME spokeswoman Mary Haffenberg said the exchange encountered no problems with its S&P 500 futures contracts, whether on its Globex electronic platform or from the trading floor.

"We had no price corrections and no trade busts," she said.

A trade bust is when a trade is canceled after the order is erroneously executed.

There was also talk that the late Wednesday rally could have been related to an error in trading options on the S&P 500. A spokeswoman for the Chicago Board Options Exchange said there were no problems in the SPX options pit on Wednesday.

Merrill Lynch analyst Jon Davi said in a note to investors that one factor for the move up could be due to an error in the SPX option pit. It was the beginning of the month which can see large asset allocation orders and dealers adjusting their hedges at the end of the day in a high volatility environment, he said
The late rally was most likely due to traders covering positions that bet the market would go lower, he added.

"We believe most dealers are short options and have to buy more futures as the futures move up or sell more as we move down," Davi said.

Jack Bouroudjian, a principal with Brewer Investment Group, doubted a trading error was behind the rally.

"That rally was not an aberration. That was a power short-covering, end-of-the-day, first-of-the-month rally," he said.
 
un altro punto di vista

Has NYSE's Electronic Trading Model Caused More Volatility?
By An Industry Executive
Aug 2, 2007 at 05:33 PM ET

Contributed by Joseph Saluzzi, Partner and Co-Founder of Themis Trading, an agency only institutional brokerage firm.

Trading on NYSE listed stocks has changed and investors need to be aware of the consequences.

If an average investor were asked, where is volatility greatest—the NYSE or the NASDAQ—most would probably respond that the NASDAQ has more volatility. Up until recently, they were probably correct. A study performed in April 2005 by the US Office of Economic Analysis found that, “On average, stocks experience a significant decline in intraday volatility upon moving from the NASDAQ to the NYSE”.

And why is that? “A major reason…is the role NYSE specialists play,” says the NYSE Euronext’s Web site. “The specialists have an affirmative obligation with regulatory accountability to cushion price movement and dampen volatility. They commit capital to dampen volatility and reduce the impact of institutional orders.”

Since the introduction of Regulation NMS and the NYSE Hybrid market, however, electronic trading has become the dominant method for trading NYSE stocks. Market share by the NYSE on NYSE listed stocks has dropped dramatically over the past year. In the second quarter of 2007, NYSE reported 63% of matched volume in NYSE Listed issues (down from 75% in the second quarter of 2006).

A recent example of this trend of increased electronic trading of NYSE stocks occurred on August 1, 2007. A rumor hit the market around 10:30 am that Beazer Homes (NYSE: BZH) may file for bankruptcy. The stock started to sell off immediately. Within 20 minutes, it plunged 37%, to $8.12 and the entire housing sector (including TOL, KBH and PHM) sold off quickly in sympathy. At 11:30 am, BZH issued a statement saying that the rumor was false. This led to a rally in BZH and the rest of the housing sector, which led to a recovery in the sell off to their pre-10:30 am levels.

If the electronic trading alternative was not available, the BZH specialist on the NYSE would have been more in control. Seeing the imbalance in sell orders, the specialist would have stepped in and committed capital to take the other side of the trade. Or they would have requested a trading halt. By performing either one of these actions, the specialist would have mitigated the initial and unwarranted plunge, and the subsequent spillover to the rest of the sector and the overall market would have been limited.

As a result of a large share of trading on NYSE listed stocks being done electronically, the specialist now has different motivations. The desire to commit capital has been diminished due to the lack of profits being derived from the specialist activities.

To sum up, NYSE stocks are essentially traded the same way as NASDAQ stocks now (except for the opening and closing trades). Investors need to be aware of this change and adjust their strategies accordingly.

About the Author:
Joseph Saluzzi is partner, co-founder and co-head of equity trading of Themis Trading LLC, a leading independent agency brokerage firm that trades equities for institutional money managers and hedge funds.

Mr. Saluzzi is a frequent speaker at industry conferences on issues involving market access, algorithmic trading and other sell- and buy-side concerns. He has provided expert commentary for media outlets such as The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters, HedgeWorld News, CNN Money.com, and Bloomberg. Mr. Saluzzi also has authored articles for Traders Magazine and Journal of Investment Compliance.

Prior to Themis, Mr. Saluzzi headed the team responsible for equity sales and trading for major institutional accounts at Instinet Corporation for more than nine years. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with an MBA in Finance and received a Bachelor’s Degree in Finance from New York University.
 
f4f ha scritto:
beh, buongiorno

si presenti allA bbbanda con un poco di dettagli, s'il vous plaiD

questi bastano? :cool:
1186152285pamela.jpg
 
oggi posto solo notizie pessimiste :specchio:

GB, pignoramenti immobiliari a max 8 anni su spinta rialzo tassi

Reuters - 03/08/2007 18:24:00

LONDRA, 3 agosto (Reuters) - Il numero di cittadini britannici che sotto il peso dei debiti in un contesto di tassi d'interesse in salita ha perso la propria casa ha toccato un massimo da otto anni nel primo semestre 2007, a dispetto di aumenti a due cifre nei prezzi delle abitazioni.

Secondo gli economisti, però, è poco probabile che la situazione in Gran Bretagna si sommi in maniera significativa ai problemi del settore immobiliare americano, che ha scosso fortemente i mercati finanziari globali a causa dei timori per le insolvenze crescenti sui mutui e le possibili conseguenze sull'economia reale.

Il Council of Mortgage Lenders ha comunicato un aumento dei pignoramenti immobiliari di circa un terzo rispetto a un anno fa, a quota 14.000, massimo dal 1999 e corrispondente all'incirca a 77 abitazioni al giorno.

Le cifre mostrano inoltre che le insolvenze di privati sono vicine a livelli record, con l'equivalente di circa 12 persone all'ora vittima di debiti insoluti nei tre mesi a giugno.

"I numeri sono spiacevoli e peggioreranno", ha commentato Alan Clarke di Bnp Paribas.

Da agosto scorso Banca d'Inghilterra ha alzato cinque volte il costo del denaro portandolo al 5,75%.
 
nubi fosche, sullo spoore altri dieci punti e si torna a fare nuovi minimi , però c'è sempre la famosa ultima mezz'ora :D sul monetario lo svvvizzero fa un +1% sul $ ed è a un livello critico , sul T-Bond ormai è long
 
rimbalzo limitato e nuovo affondo ribassista.... il mercato ha voglia di approfondire le aspettative degli analisti...
 

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