Jsvmax79
Forumer storico
JPMorgan on protential CPI scanerios
10% chance of a print above 0.40% — a selloff in the range of 1.75% to 2.5%.
35% chance of a print between 0.30% and 0.40%, inclusive — JPMorgan anticipates the $SPY could either advance a quarter percentage point, or lose as much as 1%.
37.5% chance of a print between 0.20% and 0.30%, inclusive — An in-line reading could mean the $SPX might add as much as a half percentage point, or fall by as much as 1%.
15% chance of a print between 0.10% and 0.20%, inclusive — would mean the $SPY could rally between 1.25% and 1.75%.
2.5% chance below 0.10% — A downside surprise in core inflation could spark a rally in the $SPX in the range of 1.5% and 2%.
10% chance of a print above 0.40% — a selloff in the range of 1.75% to 2.5%.
35% chance of a print between 0.30% and 0.40%, inclusive — JPMorgan anticipates the $SPY could either advance a quarter percentage point, or lose as much as 1%.
37.5% chance of a print between 0.20% and 0.30%, inclusive — An in-line reading could mean the $SPX might add as much as a half percentage point, or fall by as much as 1%.
15% chance of a print between 0.10% and 0.20%, inclusive — would mean the $SPY could rally between 1.25% and 1.75%.
2.5% chance below 0.10% — A downside surprise in core inflation could spark a rally in the $SPX in the range of 1.5% and 2%.
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