COMMODITIES ... solo per pochi pazzi !!!

[ditropan]

... la saga del petrolio ... :smile: :smile:

22.07.2004 15:30 Opec su petrolio
L'Opec ha dichairato che attualmente sta producendo circa 2 milioni di barili al giorno al di sopra del limite produttivo (25,5 milioni di barili al giorno) e che non vi è carenza di offerta nel mercato del petrolio. L'Opec ha inoltre dichiarato di essere vicina ai limiti massimi di produzione data l'attuale struttura produttiva e che ulteriori investimenti potrebbero portare la capacità produttiva extra -rispetto ai limiti dell'Organizzazione- tra i 2,5 ed i 3 milioni di barili al giorno.


22.07.2004 15:08 Petrolio in rialzo su vicenda Yukos
Continua il rialzo del prezzo del petrolio, con il Brent quotato a $38,63 al barile, alle 15:06, ora italiana. Le quotazioni risentono anche della vicenda Yukos dopo che la società, principale compagnia petrolifera in Russia, ha dichiarato che un eventuale bancarotta potrebbe mettere a rischio le vendite di petrolio all'estero.


21.07.2004 16:36 In calo prezzo petrolio su scorte Usa
Prezzo del petrolio in calo in seguito alla diffusione del dato sulle scorte Usa (EIA) che con riferimento alla settimana del 16 luglio mostrano un calo di quelle di petrolio ed un aumento di quelle di benzina. Alle 16:35 ora italiana il Brent veniva scambiato a 38,42 Dollari al barile, il WTI a 40,53 Dollari al barile.


20.07.2004 17:26 Petrolio: WTI sopra 42 Dollari al barile
Prosegue la fase di crescita del prezzo del petrolio con le quotazioni del WTI che superano i 42 Dollari al barile. Alle 17:25 ora italiana il Brent veniva scambiato a 39,22 dollari al barile, il WTI a 42 Dollari al barile.


20.07.2004 16:37 Petrolio, Brent sopra i $39 al barile
Continua il rialzo del prezzo del petrolio. Alle 16:37, ora italiana, il Brent era scambiato a $39,05 al barile.


20.07.2004 14:17 In aumento il prezzo del petrolio
Prosegue la fase di crescita del prezzo del petrolio con le qutazioni del greggio che sfiorano i 42 Dollari al barile. Alle 14:16 ora italiana il Brent veniva scambiato a 39 Dollari al barile, il WTI a 41,53 Dollari al barile.


15.07.2004 11:01 In aumento prezzo del petrolio
Prosegue la fase di crescita del prezzo del petrolio sulla scia del deludente dato sulle scorte di petrolio e di benzina Usa (uscite nella giornata di ieri) e del recente attentato all'oleodotto in Iraq. Alle 11:00 ora italiana il Brent veniva scambiato a 38,17 Dollari al barile.

 

[Fleursdumal]

elenco dei fattori bullish e bearish sul cotton


7/20 BULLISH FACTORS - BEARISH FACTORS
1 Low interest rates - World production over 104 million bales
2 Stocks/Use Ratio in important consuming countries dangerously low - Yarn stocks
3 Dollar still relatively weak - Polyester prices low in Asia
4 China Supply - China slow down
5 High basis - Chinese sale cancellations
6 Uncertain Indian monsoon seriously impacting crop size - U.S. crop progressing well
7 Brisk sales recently - FWA & CIS need to sell new crops sooner or later
8 Chinese market has strengthened over last week - ....

 

[ditropan]

Aggiornamento petrolio ... altro giorno di sofferenza !!!!

opzioni ...

 

[ditropan]

Yukos: corte Mosca dà ok a congelamento conti svizzeri
MOSCA (MF-DJ)--Un tribunale di Mosca ha confermato la decisione di congelare i conti bancari svizzeri della società petrolifera russa Yukos e di confiscare documenti relativi al gruppo.
È quanto rivela l'agenzia di stampa Interfax, secondo cui la corte ha confermato inoltre la legalità dell'ordine di congelamento dei conti bancari svizzeri di Anton Drel e Vasily Aleksanyan, legali dell'ex amministratore delegato Mikhail Khodorkovsky, e di diversi azionisti di Yukos. ren/liv

 

[Fleursdumal]

altro capitombolo dell'orange juice :

DJ Nybot FCOJ Review: Liquidation Extends Losses To 1-Month Low

By Nicole Wyckoff
CEDAR FALLS, Iowa (Dow Jones)--Frozen concentrated orange juice futures
tumbled once again Tuesday on the New York Board of Trade as liquidation
continued, setting off sell stops.
Sep settled 485 points lower at 61.15 cents a pound, while Nov fell 480
points to 61.60c.
Since the close of business on Friday, the Sep contract has lost 1,000
points. The contract fell to a one-month low of 61.00c Tuesday, a level not
seen since June 24 when it hit 60.70c.
Early in the session, Sep attempted to rally and hit a daily high of
67.25c. However, when the market was unable to push above those levels market
participants started to sell.
The trade was selling into the rally, Boyd Cruel, senior softs analyst at
Alaron Trading in Las Vegas, told Dow Jones Newswires. In addition, sell stops
hit below 65.00 cents a pound touched off more long liquidation, he said.
Since the middle of June, futures have continuously pushed higher, despite
poor market fundamentals. An oversupply of FCOJ, ideas the 2004-05 Florida
orange crop is not going to see much of a reduction and a large crop in Brazil
weigh on the market.
"All these factors put together, and you had funds buying the market, and
when that dried up the market can't just rebound," Judith Ganes-Chase,
president of J Ganes Consulting, LLC told Dow Jones Newswires.
There is some hope among market participants that orange juice consumption
could begin to pick up amid the introduction of new products and hopes that
low-carbohydrate dieting will fade some, she said.
"But it's not going to be enough to eat into the massive oversupply."
The Florida Department of Agriculture on Monday said that citrus growers
in the state report trees in most areas in good condition with a flush of new
growth showing.
Meanwhile, Tuesday's Nybot FCOJ speculation and hedging report indicated
that speculators decreased their long positions for the week ended July 23 to
30,975 from 31,612 the previous week. Open interest fell to 40,497 from last
week's 41,456.
Futures volume at 1300 ET (1700 GMT) estimated at 4,868 while options were
seen at 697 lots.
Chart support for Sep is seen at 61.00c and 60.70c. Resistance is found at
62.00c, and 62.50c, traders said.

NYCE Close Change Range
Sep 61.15 dn 4.85 61.00-67.25
Nov 61.60 dn 4.80 61.50-67.10

 

[sosa]

sai il perchè fleurs?, sono entrato a 63 oggi non mi aspettavo un 15 % in 2 giorni......

 

[ditropan]

... corn ... forse hanno finito di massacrarlo !!!

 

[Fleursdumal]

sai il perchè fleurs?, sono entrato a 63 oggi non mi aspettavo un 15 % in 2 giorni......

sorry sosa , però non sono rari comportamenti del genere, ultimamente ho visto selloff ancora più paurosi sullo zucchero, argento e palladio della durata di due-tre giorni.

 

[ditropan]

.... petrolio ... tutto sembrava filare liscio, un bel doppio max, i volumi in calo ..... e poi chi ti arriva ???

Quella maledetta Yukos !!! .... ed ecco i risultati .... ribaltato completamente lo scenario !!!

opzioni

 

[ditropan]

succo d'arancia


DJ Nybot FCOJ Review: Moves Higher After Hitting Fresh 5-Week Low


By Nicole Wyckoff
CEDAR FALLS, Iowa (Dow Jones)--Frozen concentrated orange juice futures
ended higher Wednesday on the New York Board of Trade after falling to a new
five-week low earlier in the session.
Sep settled 115 points higher at 62.30 cents a pound, while Nov rose 135
points to 62.95c.
"We've seen some liquidation the last two days, and we probably saw some
more today," a Florida broker said. "But (with) the market dropping so quickly
here, I think we have some longs that are still trapped."
Sep began the day in negative territory and soon dropped to a fresh low of
59.90c, near a level not seen since June 21, when it fell to 59.65c. However,
shortly after that the contract reversed and rose to a session high of 62.50c.
But once again the market soon fell below unchanged where it stayed until
just over an hour remained in trade. The contract then slowly moved higher
during the last hour.
"We liquidated about 2,000 Sep (contracts) yesterday and 1,800 the day
before, plus whatever was liquidated today," the broker said.
Traders and market participants have now turned their attention toward
private industry Florida 2004-05 crop estimates that are expected to be
released in the middle of August. During the summer trading months, many
analysts and traders begin to discount the new crop.
Early speculation is that the next crop will also be large because the
winter was ideal and the trees went dormant, so they were able to recoup, the
broker said. In addition, the spring and summer weather was good, which is
also helping the new crop.
"If you drew a circle around the biggest crops we've had, it's right up
there," the broker said.
The 2003-04 crop is expected to produce 242 million 90-pound boxes, with
some expecting the 2004-05 crop between 220-230 million boxes.
However, analysts and industry producers are unable at this point to know
the size of the fruit, which will determine how many oranges it will take to
fill a box.
Futures volume at 1300 ET (1700 GMT) estimated at 5,814 while options were
seen at 1,738 lots.
Chart support for Sep is seen at 61.00c, 60.70c and 59.90c. Resistance is
found at 62.50c, 63.00c and 65.00c, traders said.

NYCE Close Change Range
Sep 62.30 up 1.15 59.90-62.50
Nov 62.95 up 1.35 60.40-63.00

-By Nicole Wyckoff; Dow Jones Newswires; 319-268-7330;
[email protected]