Wednesday, February 25, 2009
GM gets closer on deal for investors
Bondholders signal they're willing to accept less cash for forgiving unsecured notes.
Robert Snell and Bryce G. Hoffman / The Detroit News
Negotiations between General Motors Corp. and its bondholders are progressing, with major investors signaling that they are now willing to accept less money than originally sought in exchange for forgiving billions in unsecured notes -- but only if the federal government guarantees the new debt.
Bondholders had pushed for about 50 cents on the dollar. Now, sources familiar with the situation say they are prepared to accept 40 cents on the dollar, or even 30 cents. But government backing would have to be approved by Congress, which grilled executives from Detroit's Big Three during contentious hearings late last year.
A deal is necessary for the troubled automaker to comply with a $13.4 billion federal loan package and avoid bankruptcy.
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GM is required to cut its $27 billion in unsecured public debt by two-thirds under terms of the loan package it received in December. The struggling automaker has been trying to convince bondholders to trade in their existing bonds at about 30 cents on the dollar.
U.S. Treasury Department officials have signaled a willingness to consider federal guarantees to keep GM out of bankruptcy court, but they can only make proposals.
It is up to Congress to vote on them, and many members are likely to oppose any plan that has the American taxpayer guaranteeing GM's bonds.
But some on Wall Street are at least cautiously optimistic that a deal can be reached. However, they say there must be a cash component, too, to make sure all of the bondholders exchange their bonds.
"We continue to believe the government will support GM outside of a bankruptcy," JPMorgan analyst Eric Selle wrote Tuesday. "We believe the government could fund a bond exchange where 10 cents of the value is in cash and 30 cents of the value is in a guarantee of the new notes. In this scenario, the bondholders get closer to parity with the treatment of (hourly retiree health care obligations) and the 'free-rider' issue is reduced."
The new deal being discussed by GM and advisers representing the automaker's largest institutional bondholders revolves around the government funding a deal worth as much as 40 cents on the dollar. The deal would give bondholders 10 cents on the dollar in cash and the government could guarantee new notes worth 20 or 30 cents, according to two sources familiar with talks.
Two weeks ago, bondholders were pushing for a deal worth 50 cents on the dollar, which at the time would have mirrored the value of UAW concessions.
The union, GM and Chrysler LLC, which also has received federal loans, are negotiating to change funding terms for a trust the union will manage beginning next year to pay for retiree health care.
The union already has agreed to let GM freeze lump-sum bonuses and cost-of-living increases for the next two years, reduce skilled-trades positions and eventually pay less to laid-off workers, according to sources familiar with the situation.
Talks are continuing ahead of a March 31 deadline by which GM must make progress toward trimming its unsecured debt and reaching concessions with the UAW.
GM and Chrysler have received $17.4 billion in loans so far and last week increased their combined request to $39 billion. GM said it needs $2 billion next month or it could run out of cash.
In its restructuring plan submitted to the U.S. Treasury Department last week, GM addressed the possibility of reorganizing under bankruptcy -- an option that some analysts and lawmakers have recommended.
GM rejected that route, saying it would need up to $100 billion from the government to operate under a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing.
You can reach Robert Snell at (313) 222-2028 or [email protected].