Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 2

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Treasuries stabili in attesa di nota Fed
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Reuters - 21/09/2011 15:55:52
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NEW YORK, 21 settembre (Reuters) -


I Treasuries Usa si mantengono stabili in attesa della nota della Federal Reserve, che stasera dovrebbe annunciare il ribilancimaneto del suo portafoglio titoli verso le scadenze più lunghe per mantenere bassi i tassi di interesse a lungo termine.

Gli ultimi sviluppi della crisi del debito in Europa sembrano non influire sull'andamento dei prezzi dei titoli di stato Usa.

Oggi il governo greco annuncerà le nuove misure di austerità che si è impegnata a portare avanti con i finanziatori internazionali per ottenere la nuova tranche di aiuti, ma i lavoratori greci hanno indetto scioperi per il 5 e per il 19 ottobre.

Intorno alle 15,45 il contratto benchmark a 10 annni <US10YT=RR> è piatto con un rendimento dell'1,9384%. Stabile anche il titolo con scadenza a due anni <US2YT=RR>, con un rendimento di 0,1613%. I bond a 30 anni <US30YT=RR> cedono 6/32 e rendono il 3,21%.
 
Il navigante
che veleggiò quel mar sotto l'Eubea,
vedea per l'ampia oscurità scintille
balenar d'elmi e di cozzanti brandi,
fumar le pire igneo vapor, corrusche
d'armi ferree vedea larve guerriere
cercar la pugna; e all'orror de' notturni
silenzi si spandea lungo ne' campi
di falangi un tumulto e un suon di tube
e un incalzar di cavalli accorrenti
scalpitanti su gli elmi a' moribondi,
e pianto, ed inni, e delle Parche il canto.

:ola::ola:
 
Qui c´e´un po´di benzina per il traccheggio perpetuo BCE - FMI - UE - EFSF e chi piu´ne ha piu´ne metta...
Si capisce perche´qualcuno (Fitch) ha detto che la Grecia defaultera´ma dentro l´euro ( un nonsenso) .
Mi chiedo questo punto se sia tutto un gigantesco nonsenso...nessuno sa piu´come e cosa fare...quindi chissa´...
Alla fine mi sa che Russia ha qualche probabilita´in piu´di sfangare ;)

http://intermarketandmore.finanza.c...guardiamo-i-costi-e-le-prospettive-33693.html
 
Qui c´e´un po´di benzina per il traccheggio perpetuo BCE - FMI - UE - EFSF e chi piu´ne ha piu´ne metta...
Si capisce perche´qualcuno (Fitch) ha detto che la Grecia defaultera´ma dentro l´euro ( un nonsenso) .
Mi chiedo questo punto se sia tutto un gigantesco nonsenso...nessuno sa piu´come e cosa fare...quindi chissa´...
Alla fine mi sa che Russia ha qualche probabilita´in piu´di sfangare ;)

Euro: conviene uscire? Se guardiamo i costi e le prospettive… | IntermarketAndMore


Io nel dubbio stò lentissimamente ...accorciando le distanze ...oggi venduto 17 k di 8/2013 e acquistato 13 k di 3/2012:D
 
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Art Cashin On The "Greek Tragedy



The chairman of the "Friends of the Fermentation" committee dives into the two topics preoccupying the world: Bernanke and Greece, and as usual, deconstructs both with his laser-focused pragmatic perspective. That both of these are closed loops that only get worse as they "get better" is becoming increasingly clear to everyone even remotely interested in events away from the top 20 items in Google Trends.
Greek Tragedy Playing Out As French Farce - Somber faced correspondents pop up on TV screens throughout the day to report on the negotiations going on to validate the next tranche of the Greek bailout package. They convey a sense that the process is being conducted in an almost laboratory-like fashion.
Most of my veteran trading friends believe that the situation is hopeless. Greece must default. It is inevitable.
The Greeks gave us democracy, geometry, the building blocks of western philosophy and even the word austerity itself. The trouble is that while they can pronounce austerity, they can’t seem to practice it.
Here, thanks to my pal, Jim Brown, over at Premier Investor (himself a multi-decade veteran of the trading arena), we’ll take a look at some of the zanier snippets of this process.


The troika is demanding that Greece privatize large sections of the government and fire up to 100,000 government workers. Greece has already laid off 20,000 but hired 7,000 back, which is also in violation of the agreements not to hire more than one person for every ten fired. Another problem is the termination rules. Greece may be laying off workers but thanks to the Greek civil service plan they continue to pay them at 60% of the salary even though they are not working.
Jim further notes:


More than 250,000 private jobs have disappeared in Greece over the last year out of a population of 11.2 million and labor force of 4.9 million. If the government cuts another 100,000 as the troika wants and halts payments to terminated workers the unemployment rate will rise to nearly 20% on an official basis and even higher unofficially. Currently 42% of those under 24 are unemployed and 22.6% of those from 24-35 are out of work. Now you know where all the protestors come from when they televise the riots.
He points to the unbalanced nature of the “bailout”.


The German side of this equation is getting worse. Germany is responsible for 27% of any funds paid out on behalf of the EU. The election losses for Merkel's party over the weekend make it less likely the vote on the EFSF fund will fail (sic…pass?). That vote has been postponed until the 29th because of a visit by the Pope.
Jim touches on the imminence of critical time frames.


Greece said it may have to start issuing IOUs instead of checks for payment of some government expenses and some employees. Greece will run out of money in October if it does not receive the 8 billion euros in the next tranche of the bailout.
The inevitability of default is also the conclusion of my very good friend and fellow trading floor veteran, Dennis Gartman. Here’s a bit from today’s “The Gartman Letter”.


Once the Greek government actually moves to reduce public employees… something that heretofore has been anathema in Greece but which is inevitable and may come sooner rather than later… we shall move the odds of default up materially. Once the streets are again filled with Greek protesters, marching more and more often behind the red flags of the Socialist and Communist parties there, we shall move the odds of default up materially. Once the teachers go on strike; once the transportation unions go on strike; once the sanitation workers and the doctors and the nurses go on strike…and they will, mark our words… we shall move the odds of default up materially. As we have said all along, it really is not a matter of if but a matter of when Greece shall finally say that enough is indeed enough; that austerity imposed from without the country upon those within is too severe to continue; that the country shall be better off with a drachma it can devalue rather than a too strong EUR it has little if any power over. Greece’ only power is its power of default and eventually it shall wield that power. It really shall have no choice.
 
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WRAPUP 2-Greece to tighten austerity, IMF warns on banks
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Reuters - 21/09/2011 16:39:57
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(Adds IMF report on banks, Greek strikes set, ECB on collateral)
* Greece expected to outline job and spending cuts, tax rises
* IMF warns debt crisis has raised European banks' exposure
* Greek unions call general strikes for Oct. 5, 19
* Euro zone crisis seen dominating IMF/G20 meetings in Washington
* ECB loosens collateral rules for banks

By Harry Papachristou

ATHENS/WASHINGTON, Sept 21 (Reuters) -



Greece was set to outline more austerity measures on Wednesday to secure a bailout instalment crucial to avoid running out of money next month, as the IMF warned that Europe's sovereign debt crisis risks tearing a giant hole in banks' capital.

The cabinet in Athens was meeting to consider major public sector layoffs, pay and pension cuts and tax increases sought by international lenders in return for an 8 billion euro rescue loan vital to pay state salaries and bills in October. (news)
Greece is the front line in the euro zone debt crisis that has also engulfed Ireland and Portugal and now threatens Italy, Spain and some of Europe's biggest banks, risking plunging the West back into recession.

In its Global Financial Stability Report, the International Monetary Fund said the crisis had increased European banks' exposure by 300 billion euros and they needed to recapitalise to ensure they can weather potential losses. (news)
"Risks are elevated and time is running out to tackle vulnerabilities that threaten the global financial system and the ongoing economic recovery," the report said.

The global lender did not try to measure banks' capital needs. Europe-wide bank stress tests in July drew derision when they found only eight banks deficient in capital with a combined shortfall of just 2.5 billion euros.

Officials said European governments are now looking seriously at ways to shore up banks' capital after initially rejecting an IMF call last month for urgent action.

Fears of another credit crunch or recession due to Europe's inability to overcome the debt crisis have dominated the run-up to this week's IMF/World Bank and Group of 20 meetings of finance chiefs in Washington.

A Greek government spokesman said measures negotiated in tough talks with European Union and IMF officials would be announced in the afternoon after the special cabinet session.

After a summer lull in protests, Greece's two biggest labour unions said they would jointly stage 24-hour strikes on Oct. 5 and Oct. 19 to protest against the new measures required by international lenders.

"We will fight to the end, to topple this policy," Ilias Iliopoulos, general Secretary of public sector union ADEDY, told Reuters on Wednesday. "The troika (EU and IMF) and the government must go."

Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos acknowledged before the meeting that Greece's public finances would have gone off the rails without checks by the so-called troika of EU/IMF inspectors, who walked out of Athens on Sept. 3 after uncovering a new deficit shortfall.

"If it weren't for the troika's control... unfortunately we would have derailed fiscally," Venizelos told lawmakers, adding that the country needed the help of international lenders, who have imposed a string of unpopular tax rises, pension cuts and economic reforms since they rescued the country in May 2010.

Venizelos had a two-hour conference call late on Tuesday with senior troika officials, who pushed Greece to accelerate its austerity and reform drive.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Other stories on euro zone crisis (news)
BREAKINGVIEWS on ECB and euro zone banks (news)
Insight on Greek finance minister (news)
Analysis on planning for Greek default (news)
Graphics on European banks Reuters - European banks in graphics
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BUYING TIME
In a sign that a deal may be close, the European Commission announced after the call that troika mission chiefs would return to Athens early next week to complete their quarterly review of progress on Greece's adjustment programme.

Diplomats and market analysts say Greece is likely to get the aid tranche, if only to buy time for European governments to recapitalise banks and strengthen the euro zone's rescue fund to cope with a probable default, perhaps early next year.

A Finance Ministry official said Venizelos had agreed to bring forward measures from the so-called "mid-term plan," in which it has committed to slash its budget deficit through 2014 and sell some 50 billion euros in state assets.

Greek media reported the measures were likely to include accelerated sackings of state workers, pension and wage cuts for civil servants, increases in heating fuel tax and extension of a one-off property tax announced.

The government has so far said it will immediately put up to 3,000 public employees into a so-called labour reserve, in which they draw 60 percent of salary for a year while looking for another job. Another 20,000 would follow in a second wave.

Those who do not find a job within 12 months would be dismissed. The government estimates that putting people in the labour reserve saves about 12,000 euros per year per worker.

The measure is part of Greece's overall commitment to cut the civil service payroll by 150,000 employees by 2015 -- about 20 percent of the total. The troika wants layoffs speeded up.


BANK RECAPITALISATION
In another move to help banks avoid a potential credit crunch, the European Central Bank loosened its collateral rules on Wednesday to widen the pool of assets that banks can post to obtain central bank funds. (news)
IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard said European countries were warming to the idea that banks in the region need to boost their capital to withstand potential losses from the sovereign debt crisis.

If banks needing more capital are unable to raise more on financial markets then authorities might need to step in, although outright nationalisations are not necessary, Blanchard said in a French television interview.

Blanchard said he noted a clear change of tone at a weekend meeting of EU finance ministers and central bankers in Poland.

"The position of most European countries is, yes, we have a problem, capital needs to be put into the banks," he told news channel France24. "It seems to me there's been a 180-degree change in a lot of countries."

EU finance ministers agreed on Saturday that European banks must be strengthened in the follow-up to July stress tests as an EU report said a "systemic" crisis in sovereign debt now threatened a new credit crunch. (news)
Barclays Capital said European banks may need some 230 billion euros to preserve a 6 percent core Tier 1 ratio in the extreme case of 50 percent haircuts on all sovereign debt of Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain, and the likely deep recession that would follow. The figure would be far smaller if only Greece were provisioned.

European banking shares have suffered steep falls in recent weeks on concerns about the sector's exposure to debt issued by Greece, with French banks suffering some of the biggest losses.

The head of Germany's number two lender, Commerzbank (CBK.FRA) said the debt crisis was casting doubt on his bank's profit targets for this year, already softened last month.

"August was certainly not a happy month for a lot of banks," Commerzbank CEU Martin Blessing told Frankfurt business journalists. (news)
Blessing said euro zone leaders had bought time by setting up the EFSF rescue fund but they had so far failed to find a path out of the crisis. Investors were awaiting reliable answers, he said.

"I believe we have reached a crossroads," Blessing said. If Europe wanted to save the single currency, it must move toward a fiscal union. "A monetary union without a fiscal union, this construct has failed," he said.
 
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