Journal to portfolio afterlife

La differenza tra Italia (tasso 5y da 1,2 a 4,1%) e Germania (tasso 5y da 1,2 a 2,2%). Il differenziale dell'aumento tassi in 6 mesi è notevole.

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The evidence presented demonstrates that differences in GDP growth contain little information about the differences in stock returns in the same year or over the subsequent year. This means that it is difficult for investors to earn excess returns by relying on estimates of current or future GDP growth — even estimates that perfectly forecast GDP growth over the next 12 months.
 

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