paradossista
mediocrità strategica
Gli stimoli forniti dalla Cina (#205) hanno sortito il loro effetto nel breve termine.
Portafogli e Strategie (investimento) - Portafoglio, asset allocation, retirement
Zimbabwe raised interest rates and devalued its gold-backed currency by 43%, following persistent weakness in the ZiG amid deep skepticism that the nation’s latest bid to create a viable local unit would succeed.
Monthly inflation quickened to 5.8% in September from 1.4% in August.
The ZiG, backed by the southern African nation’s gold and hard currency reserves, was introduced in early April to replace the Zimbabwean dollar, which had lost around 80% of its value since the start of the year.
The sixth attempt to stand up a local currency since 2009 was immediately met with doubt from Zimbabweans, who have bitter memories of how previous local currencies had failed.
Those experiments, undermined by the central bank printing money to fund government borrowing, stoked hyperinflation that wiped out savings and drove the economy to the US dollar, which remains the main unit of exchange.
Still, the central bank voiced confidence that its actions on Friday would yield results. Its other measures include raising reserve requirements on local and foreign currency deposits to 30%, from 15% and 20% respectively, and capping the amount of foreign currency an individual can take out of the country to $2,000 from $10,000.
High yield involves a considerable amount of equity-like risk. Its correlation with equities has averaged around 40% over the past 25 years, with the other 60% of its return variance explained by its bond-like features.
High yield spreads have compressed relative to investment grade conditioning for leverage and the phase of the business cycle. The difference in spreads between global high yield and global investment grade is currently tight (243 bps at the time of writing), which suggests a below-steady-state excess return for high yield relative to investment grade of 50 bps. We expect high yield to provide a return of 5.50% per year over the next five years for a euro investor in our base case
Longevity risk can really be broken down into three categories:Macro risk includes things like tax rates going up and your investments being really volatile or having low returns. Inflation risk is simply that your living expenses climb faster than expected. Personal spending risk includes things like massive healthcare or long-term care expenses or the need to take care of your parents or kids. Divorce and fraud also get lumped into this category for lack of a better place to put them, although the real problem with divorce and fraud may be getting your assets cut in half, not having your expenses increase.
- Macro and Market Risk
- Inflation Risk
- Personal Spending Risk
When the United States last exceeded 60% of global market capitalization in the 1960s, the US economy accounted for 40% of global GDP. Today, the US is similarly overrepresented in global market capitalization, but it only accounts for 26% of global GDP. Since equity ownership represents a share in economic activity, there appears to be a disconnect between the United States’ share of global market cap sitting near a six-decade high at 63%, while its share of global economic output is near a six-decade low at 26%.
But anytime you see "free commissions" being advertised, it should be plainly clear to you that nothing is free, and your true costs are simply hidden.
Beyond simply buying and selling stocks, you can click a few buttons and buy short-term options contracts in seconds. There’s a huge difference between buying $10,000 of Apple stock because you like its long-term growth prospects and buying $10,000 of Apple call options expiring in two weeks because you think its China iPhone sales numbers in September will beat expectations. The former is investing and the latter is speculating, but when both options are available in the same apps at the same time, it’s easy to convince yourself that you’re “investing” in those call options, because you are, technically, putting money to work financial markets.
Investing has never been harder than it is today because there are so many distractions tempting us to trade and speculate on anything, anywhere, all the time, but investing is supposed to be a passive endeavor.