Titoli di Stato paesi-emergenti VENEZUELA e Petroleos de Venezuela - Cap. 1 (4 lettori)

probabilità recovery

  • 1

    Votes: 21 48,8%
  • 100

    Votes: 6 14,0%
  • 50

    Votes: 16 37,2%

  • Total voters
    43
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fabriziof

Forumer storico
Chavez Undergoing Cancer Surgery Today, Minister Says

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is recovering after six hours of surgery for cancer yesterday, his vice president said, while calling on the nation to pray for the leader’s health.
Nicolas Maduro, in a nationally televised address surrounded by members of the nation’s Cabinet, said Chavez is convalescing following a “complex” operation and will take a few days to recuperate.
“These have been several hours of worry, but the operation was carried out as planned and with success,” Maduro said yesterday. “This moment should serve to unite us in love for Chavez.”
The 58-year-old self-declared socialist named longtime ally Maduro, who has close ties to Cuba, as his heir apparent before traveling to the communist island for a fourth operation in 18 months. Chavez has urged Venezuelans to vote for Maduro in the event he’s unable to remain in office.
Maduro said Chavez is being attended by Cuban and Venezuelan doctors and experts from other countries he didn’t name. Chavez’s family is by his bedside along with National Assembly President Diosdado Cabello and Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez, he said.
The vice president led a late-night vigil attended by hundreds in downtown Caracas yesterday, asking Venezuelans to light candles for Chavez to give him strength.
‘Good Hands’
Before departing for Cuba on Dec. 10, Chavez said he was delegating and leaving the country in the “good hands” of Maduro. Chavez won re-election to a third six-year term in October.
Under Venezuelan law, if Chavez is too ill to serve during the first four years of the term, the vice president assumes the presidency for 30 days while elections are held. If he can’t serve the final two years, the vice president can finish out the term. If Chavez is unable to assume power in an inauguration ceremony scheduled for Jan. 10, Congress President Cabello would assume power while elections are arranged.
Chavez first told Venezuelans he had cancer in June 2011 after undergoing surgery in Cuba to drain an abscess from his pelvic area during which he said doctors discovered a baseball- sized tumor in the same area. The tumor was excised in a subsequent operation, Chavez said, without specifying the exact location or type of cancer.
After four bouts of chemotherapy, he returned to Cuba in February for a third operation after his medical team discovered a second tumor and underwent several rounds of radiation therapy over the following months. While campaigning for re-election in July, he said he was “free, totally free” of illness, echoing words he said in October 2011 after completing chemotherapy treatment.
Bond Yields
While Venezuela’s president hasn’t yet ceded power, investors are increasingly convinced he will stand down. Yields on the dollar debt of South America’s biggest oil producer plunged to the lowest since November 2007 as investors bet a change in government would augur a reversal of nationalizations and currency and price controls that have stoked 18 percent inflation and driven away investment.
Maduro called on Venezuelans to unite and pray for their president and said they shouldn’t be deterred by the hatred “anti-imperialists” hold for Chavez. He said he’ll give daily updates on the leader’s health and said Chavez had “overcome the first obstacle.”
“Comandante, we’re waiting for you here, you need to return,” Maduro said. “The sadness of the hour is giving us strength.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Charlie Devereux in Caracas at [email protected]; Corina Pons in Caracas at [email protected]
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joshua Goodman at [email protected]


una palla da baseball...poveraccio
 

Wallygo

Forumer storico
Mi rattrista come persona che ha un cuore che CHAVEZ stia soffrendo e su questo "piano" gli auguro ogni bene
ma non posso non prendere atto che i mercati fanno salire violentemente :up: la carta venezuelana ogni volta che la salute del presidente si aggrava.
Questo "a casa mia" lo traduco come una speculazione che i mercati fanno a un ritorno alla normalità della democrazia in questo meraviglioso paese nell' eventuale dopo Chavez...

se verrà preso come modello di sviluppo la Colombia la scelta sarà a mio avviso moooolto premiante (vedesi CDS su carta colombiana :up:) se CHAVEZ rimarrà al potere e continuerà con la sua (vecchia)politica i livelli di spread attuali non avranno alcun supporto
 
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gionmorg

low cost high value
Membro dello Staff
Venezuelan Opposition Loses to Chavez Allies in Elections

Venezuela’s opposition lost ground in regional elections while retaining its de facto leader as the country braces for another national vote should President Hugo Chavez lose his battle with cancer.
Opposition candidates lost the governorship in five of eight states they held before yesterday’s vote, the national electoral council reported. Chavez allies took 20 of 23 states nationwide, building on the 58-year-old president’s re-election win in October. Opposition governor and former presidential candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski said that his re-election in Miranda state was an isolated win for his supporters.
“I’m happy for the people of Miranda, Lara and Amazonas,” Capriles said last night, referring to the three states the opposition held on to. “But I can’t feel happy for Venezuela.”
With Chavez recovering from cancer surgery in Havana, his fourth since June 2011, a victory for Capriles was crucial for maintaining opposition unity behind a single leader. The broader victory for Chavez’s allies is a sign the opposition may struggle to beat the president’s successor if a vote is held in the next few months, said Bret Rosen, a Latin America analyst at Standard Chartered Bank in New York.
“Today’s elections went very much in favor of Chavismo,” the political movement led by Chavez, Rosen said in an e-mailed report yesterday.
Vote Count
Chavez’s socialist party, known as PSUV, obtained 4.8 million votes in yesterday’s election compared to 3.8 million for opposition candidates, according to preliminary data released by the National Electoral Council. In presidential elections on Oct. 7, Chavez won with 8.2 million votes against Capriles’s 6.7 million.
The government’s benchmark 2027 dollar bond fell 1.55 cents to 99.46 cents on the dollar as of 10:25 a.m. today in New York, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The bond’s yield rose 19 basis points, or 0.19 percentage point, to 9.32 percent, the biggest daily increase since Oct. 9, the first day of trading after the Oct. 7 elections.
“The market assumption was that if Capriles won it will be good for the bonds,” Victor Sierra, managing partner and head of sales and trading for emerging market fixed income at Torino Capital LLC in New York, said today in an e-mailed response to questions. “Now dealers are changing their game saying that the strong victory for Chavismo is a sign that they will continue to be in power.”
Dollar Debt
Venezuelan dollar debt has returned 48.1 percent this year, trailing only Ivory Coast in emerging markets, as investors bet that Chavez will step down, paving the way for a transition of power, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI Global index. The average yield on Venezuelan dollar debt has plunged 4.63 percentage points this year to 9.27 percent.
Chavez, who suffered bleeding during a Dec. 11 operation in Havana, Cuba, has since improved and began communicating with family and government officials three days ago, Technology Minister Jorge Arreaza, who is also the president’s son-in-law, said in a phone interview broadcast on state television yesterday.
“Political and media attention is now back on Havana and Chavez’s post-surgery progress,” Diego Moya-Ocampos, a Venezuelan political analyst at IHS Global Insight in London, said in an e-mailed report today. “His supporters will be expecting him to be in Venezuela on January 10, fit for the inauguration of his 2013-19 constitutional term. Otherwise, a transition could well start formally, paving the way for a fresh presidential election.”
New Elections
Under Venezuela’s constitution, elections must be held within 30 days if Chavez steps down in the first four years of his new term, which is set to begin on Jan. 10.
On Dec. 10, before returning to Cuba for surgery, Chavez urged Venezuelans to elect Vice President Nicolas Maduro should the president be unable to take office or fulfill his term.
“The people have given a present of love to comandante Hugo Chavez,” Maduro said in a phone interview broadcast on state television yesterday.
Capriles, who lost the presidential election to Chavez in October by more than 10 percentage points, won 52 percent of the vote in Miranda state against 48 percent for former Vice President Elias Jaua. Voter turnout was 54 percent after reaching 80 percent in October’s presidential elections.
Capriles Consolidated
“This consolidates Capriles as maybe the one person that can really confront Chavismo,” David Smilde, a sociologist at the University of Georgia who wrote a book about Chavez’s rule, said in phone interview from Caracas. “In the coming months, it looks like Maduro or whoever is the candidate would win an election, though that won’t necessarily be the case in six months time.”
Opposition rivals to Capriles found themselves voted out of office. Pablo Perez, who came second to Capriles in a February primary, lost his re-election bid for governor of Zulia, the country’s most populous state. The opposition also lost strongholds in Tachira, Carabobo and Nueva Esparta.
The government would need to hold elections as soon as possible to capitalize on its momentum, said Smilde. Difficult economic decisions, including a need to devalue the bolivar, could quickly erode gains, he said.
Bank of America Corp. forecasts that Venezuela’s economy will contract 3.6 percent next year as a result of the expected devaluation. Venezuela needs to close a fiscal deficit that widened to an estimated 8.8 percent of gross domestic product as a result of a pre-election spending boom by Chavez. Devaluation would help narrow the deficit because the government would earn more in local currency from oil sales abroad.
“Every week that goes by, there will be less advantage for Chavismo,” Smilde said.
To contact the reporters on this story: Charlie Devereux in Caracas at [email protected]; Corina Pons in Caracas at [email protected].
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joshua Goodman at [email protected].
 

iguanito

Forumer storico
Secondo fonti che potrei reputare abbastanza (dico solo...abbastanza) attendibili Chavez è tenuto in vita attraverso le macchine in attesa che i familiari decidano di staccarne la spina.
 

iguanito

Forumer storico
in ogni caso al massimo il 10 gennaio si saprà la verità poichè in quel giorno dovrà necessariamente presentarsi per l'insediamento; in mancanza nuove elezioni
 

c.f.i.

Banned
davvero triste speculare sulla morte di un essere umano anche se magari e' stata la persona piu' cattiva del mondo :down:
a me chavez ha sempre pagato e fatto guadagnare le ho mollate troppo presto le venezuela in dollari ma il suo stato e' stato sempre solvente nn posso lamentarmi
 

nochicco

Forumer attivo
condivido

davvero triste speculare sulla morte di un essere umano anche se magari e' stata la persona piu' cattiva del mondo :down:
a me chavez ha sempre pagato e fatto guadagnare le ho mollate troppo presto le venezuela in dollari ma il suo stato e' stato sempre solvente nn posso lamentarmi
a pieno con te io sono dentro sulla 2027 in dollari a 99,60 da una settimana oggi 105 , devo dire la verita' ci sono entrato un po' senza valutare bene i rischi ma attualmente ero liquido uscito da una posizione in gain non sapevo dove mettere tutto caro ....allora a meno di 100 a cedola 9,25 e ho cominciato a seguire il discorso e a conoscere un po' di piu' Chavez ..... come detto sopra condivido ma sai i soldi e i guadagni ...l'uomo a fatto di peggio ....io poi mai piu' pensavo che piu' stasse male piu' crescessero le quotazioni e sinceramente stento a :rolleyes:capire ancora ora il perche' .....:rolleyes:
 

c.f.i.

Banned
a pieno con te io sono dentro sulla 2027 in dollari a 99,60 da una settimana oggi 105 , devo dire la verita' ci sono entrato un po' senza valutare bene i rischi ma attualmente ero liquido uscito da una posizione in gain non sapevo dove mettere tutto caro ....allora a meno di 100 a cedola 9,25 e ho cominciato a seguire il discorso e a conoscere un po' di piu' Chavez ..... come detto sopra condivido ma sai i soldi e i guadagni ...l'uomo a fatto di peggio ....io poi mai piu' pensavo che piu' stasse male piu' crescessero le quotazioni e sinceramente stento a :rolleyes:capire ancora ora il perche' .....:rolleyes:

son speculazioni se vai a vedere le movimentazioni storiche giornaliere sul tlx mai il venezuela aveva auto cosi tanta movimentazione poi metti anche che altre obbligazioni son salite e la cedola e' ottima il venezuela presumibilmente senza chavez andra' meglio .e' un paese ricco son solo ipotesi.e ' salito tutto pure grecia e argentina pensa te
 
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