AUD/USD Il canguro suona sempre due volte (1 Viewer)
- Creatore Discussione Fleursdumal
- Data di Inizio
ditropan
Forumer storico
ditropan ha scritto:
Ok, dato uscito a nostro favore ... +0,1% contro il +0,6% atteso .... e quindi a maggio non dovrebbe esserci alcun rialzo dei tassi come invece ci si attendeva.
A questo punto la terra dovrebbe franargli sotto i piedi; domani ore 11:00 pm la decisione sui tassi in nuova zelanda (che ci si attende essere invariati al 7,5%) e poi non ci dovrebbero essere più pretesti per non scendere.
... mò vediamo che si inventano !!!
anche io chiuso ora a 0.8240, ma ne avevo residui solo 20k
quicksilver
Forumer storico
Yen sale prima di feste Giappone grazie a inflazione Australia
TOKYO, 24 aprile (Reuters) - Yen in rialzo in Asia dopo una lettura molto più debole delle attese sull'inflazione australiana, che ha depresso il dollaro australiano e trascinato al ribasso le principali divise incluso l'euro. A sostenere lo yen sono inoltre le ricoperture in vista delle festività nipponiche della cosiddetta Settimana Dorata e l'attesa della riunione di politica monetaria di Banca del Giappone il prossimo venerdì. Spinto da una flessione dell'1% del dollaro australiano nei confronti della divisa giapponese, lo yen si è rafforzato sulle pricipali valute. Nel primo trimestre l'indice australiano dei prezzi al consumo ha registrato un progresso di 0,1%, ben al di sotto dello 0,6% previsto dagli analisti. "Un trend molto chiaro nelle ultime due sessioni è stata la correzione del dollaro australiano nei confronti dello yen. Questo limita i rialzi dell'euro su yen e pesa anche sull'euro contro dollaro", commenta Hiroshi Niwa, presidente di Phoenix Securities
TOKYO, 24 aprile (Reuters) - Yen in rialzo in Asia dopo una lettura molto più debole delle attese sull'inflazione australiana, che ha depresso il dollaro australiano e trascinato al ribasso le principali divise incluso l'euro. A sostenere lo yen sono inoltre le ricoperture in vista delle festività nipponiche della cosiddetta Settimana Dorata e l'attesa della riunione di politica monetaria di Banca del Giappone il prossimo venerdì. Spinto da una flessione dell'1% del dollaro australiano nei confronti della divisa giapponese, lo yen si è rafforzato sulle pricipali valute. Nel primo trimestre l'indice australiano dei prezzi al consumo ha registrato un progresso di 0,1%, ben al di sotto dello 0,6% previsto dagli analisti. "Un trend molto chiaro nelle ultime due sessioni è stata la correzione del dollaro australiano nei confronti dello yen. Questo limita i rialzi dell'euro su yen e pesa anche sull'euro contro dollaro", commenta Hiroshi Niwa, presidente di Phoenix Securities
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
sei una ciola dan dovevi aspettare il segnale di uscita a 3 con me e ditro 
io aspetto sto pomeriggio per vedere se i merikani li fanno a pezzi e anzi se rimbalza su a 0,8270 quasi quasi gliene mollo un altro
Aussie dollar falls below 83 cents on tame CPI
Tuesday April 24, 2007, 4:13 pm
By Daniel Morrissey
SYDNEY, April 24 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar had its biggest one-day percentage fall in seven weeks on Tuesday after benign first-quarter inflation data slashed expectations the central bank would increase interest rates later this year.
But a move down towards 82 cents against the U.S. currency was likely to be a good buying opportunity because the strength of the global economy should help limit the fall in the Aussie, said John Horner, foreign exchange strategist at Deutsche Bank.
"The risk in the very near term is that we do get an extension of today's move over the next day or so," Horner said, but he added that the global factors that have underpinned the Aussie in recent weeks were soon likely to return to the fore.
ABN AMRO currency strategist Greg Gibbs said: "A move towards 82 cents will probably be seen as a buying opportunity at the moment, based on a weaker U.S. dollar, strong global growth, strong commodity prices and strong global equity markets."
At 4 p.m. (0600 GMT) the Aussie dollar AUD= was quoted at $0.8247/52 versus $0.8343/47 here late on Monday, Reuters data showed. Its session low was $0.8240, taking its fall to as much as 1.8 percent since it hit a 17-year high of $0.8390 last week.
Still, it remains more than 7 percent higher than seven weeks ago when it dropped to a 16-week low of $0.7682 after investors unwound riskier bets amid gyrations on global stock markets.
Financial markets now priced only a 5 percent chance the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would lift rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 6.50 percent next week, down from a 45 percent risk before the data, a Credit Suisse report said.
Only a 52 percent risk was priced in over the next 12 months.
The Aussie could come under more pressure in offshore trade, and a near-term test below 82 cents was possible, Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief currency strategist Richard Grace said.
"We are not getting too bearish on the Aussie because there are more fundamental factors at work supporting it than the chance of a near-term RBA interest rate rise," Grace said.
The consumer price index rose 0.1 percent in the quarter, well below market forecasts of a 0.6 percent rise, to take the annual pace to 2.4 percent, its slowest speed in two years.
"This shows that inflation in Australia is moderate and families will welcome the fact that prices hardly rose at all in the March quarter," Australian Treasurer Peter Costello said.
He said the annual CPI would be below 2 percent next quarter.
Underlying inflation rose just 0.5 percent for the second consecutive quarter, the RBA's own measures showed. That dragged down the annual rate to 2.7 percent in the first quarter, putting it back within the RBA's 2 percent to 3 percent target band.
"We expect rates to be on hold for the balance of 2007, although the bias will be towards tightening," said Stephen Milch, head of economic research at St George Bank.
A Reuters poll of 26 analysts taken after the data showed only nine expect the next move in rates to be up, while 10 said rates were on hold over their forecasting horizon.
Seven analysts thought the next move by the RBA on rates would actually be down, though not for many months yet and perhaps not until late 2008, the Reuters poll showed.
dovevi aspettare il segnale di uscita a 3 con me e ditro io aspetto sto pomeriggio per vedere se i merikani li fanno a pezzi e anzi se rimbalza su a 0,8270 quasi quasi gliene mollo un altro
Aussie dollar falls below 83 cents on tame CPI
Tuesday April 24, 2007, 4:13 pm
By Daniel Morrissey
SYDNEY, April 24 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar had its biggest one-day percentage fall in seven weeks on Tuesday after benign first-quarter inflation data slashed expectations the central bank would increase interest rates later this year.
But a move down towards 82 cents against the U.S. currency was likely to be a good buying opportunity because the strength of the global economy should help limit the fall in the Aussie, said John Horner, foreign exchange strategist at Deutsche Bank.
"The risk in the very near term is that we do get an extension of today's move over the next day or so," Horner said, but he added that the global factors that have underpinned the Aussie in recent weeks were soon likely to return to the fore.
ABN AMRO currency strategist Greg Gibbs said: "A move towards 82 cents will probably be seen as a buying opportunity at the moment, based on a weaker U.S. dollar, strong global growth, strong commodity prices and strong global equity markets."
At 4 p.m. (0600 GMT) the Aussie dollar AUD= was quoted at $0.8247/52 versus $0.8343/47 here late on Monday, Reuters data showed. Its session low was $0.8240, taking its fall to as much as 1.8 percent since it hit a 17-year high of $0.8390 last week.
Still, it remains more than 7 percent higher than seven weeks ago when it dropped to a 16-week low of $0.7682 after investors unwound riskier bets amid gyrations on global stock markets.
Financial markets now priced only a 5 percent chance the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would lift rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 6.50 percent next week, down from a 45 percent risk before the data, a Credit Suisse report said.
Only a 52 percent risk was priced in over the next 12 months.
The Aussie could come under more pressure in offshore trade, and a near-term test below 82 cents was possible, Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief currency strategist Richard Grace said.
"We are not getting too bearish on the Aussie because there are more fundamental factors at work supporting it than the chance of a near-term RBA interest rate rise," Grace said.
The consumer price index rose 0.1 percent in the quarter, well below market forecasts of a 0.6 percent rise, to take the annual pace to 2.4 percent, its slowest speed in two years.
"This shows that inflation in Australia is moderate and families will welcome the fact that prices hardly rose at all in the March quarter," Australian Treasurer Peter Costello said.
He said the annual CPI would be below 2 percent next quarter.
Underlying inflation rose just 0.5 percent for the second consecutive quarter, the RBA's own measures showed. That dragged down the annual rate to 2.7 percent in the first quarter, putting it back within the RBA's 2 percent to 3 percent target band.
"We expect rates to be on hold for the balance of 2007, although the bias will be towards tightening," said Stephen Milch, head of economic research at St George Bank.
A Reuters poll of 26 analysts taken after the data showed only nine expect the next move in rates to be up, while 10 said rates were on hold over their forecasting horizon.
Seven analysts thought the next move by the RBA on rates would actually be down, though not for many months yet and perhaps not until late 2008, the Reuters poll showed.