Journal to portfolio afterlife

Forse c'è un eccessivo timore per l'impatto sull'azionario del rialzo tassi da parte della fed ...

From a fundamental standpoint, it seems doubtful that a single rate hike off of 0% would be enough to cause an economic contraction, just as it wasn’t enough back in December 2015 (though many expressed similar concerns at the time). Even at 4 rate hikes, monetary policy would still be very easy in any historical context (real Fed Funds Rate would still be negative even if the inflation rate falls back to 2%).

 
The European Commission announced Wednesday it's planning to propose a bill for a digital euro early next year.
The bill will serve as the legal foundation for the European Central Bank’s ongoing technical work on the virtual version of a euro banknote or coin.

EU finance chief Mairead McGuinness announced the Commission’s legislative plans Wednesday morning at a fintech conference by Afore Consulting, soon after POLITICO had confirmed the news.

 
Le corporations americane hanno i portafogli pieni per affrontare crisi, fare acquisizioni o buyback.

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Consistent with this backdrop, we also see more volatility ahead. The early stages of rate hiking cycles almost always coincide with temporary but sharp market drawdowns. In fact, as Exhibit 5 shows, the aggregate drawdown so far in 2022 for the S&P 500 has actually been mild in historic terms. However, we expect the near-term correction could go further, given the sheer magnitude of stimulus that it is running off. For equity investors, the biggest change is likely to be the onset of multiple contraction this cycle.

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La tecnologia è deflattiva.

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Anche KKR si aspetta un raffreddamento dell'inflazione americana.

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Le brutte notizie "vendono" di più di quelle buone e mi chiedo se gli europei sono preoccupati perché influenzati dai mezzi di informazione o perché hanno approfondito la questione. Io non credo a una guerra, ma come sempre lascio ai posteri l'ardua sentenza.

In Europa il timore per un’invasione dell’Ucraina da parte della Russia è alto. Un sondaggio paneuropeo (realizzato in sette Stati membri dell’Unione europea) dello European Council on Foreign Relations rivela come la maggioranza in Francia (51%), Germania (52%), Italia (51%), Polonia (73%), Romania (64%) e Svezia (55%) ritiene che Mosca farà questo passo. Un’opinione condivisa da molti anche in Finlandia (44%).

 
Wealth is what you don’t spend, which makes it invisible and hard to learn about by observing other people’s lives. Spending is contagious; wealth is mysterious.

Money is often a negative art. What you don’t do can be more important than what you actively do.

Everything has a price, and prices aren’t always clear. The price of exercise isn’t just the workout; it’s avoiding the post-workout urge to eat a ton of food. Same in finance. The price of building wealth isn’t just the trouble of earning money or dealing; it’s avoiding the post-income urge to spend what you’ve accumulated.

 

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