Journal to portfolio afterlife

Eccellente articolo.

Instead of stressing about trying to pick “the right” asset allocation, you’re better off picking anything reasonable and ignoring every other asset allocation internet discussion for the rest of your life…and then working an extra six or twelve months to pad out your retirement fund before retiring.

 
L'extra-rendimento di ieri dei metalli preziosi lo restituisco oggi.

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Negli USA il Top 1% accumula ulteriore ricchezza a scapito della classe media.

This data series compiled by the Fed started in the third quarter of 1989. The most recent data is from the third quarter of 2021.

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La concentrazione del portafoglio è un modo per diventare ricchi velocemente solo se si è dalla parte giusta nella scelta della posizione e nel periodo temporale giusto, ed è una combinazione molto difficile.

Yes, concentration is one of the few paths to extreme wealth, but it’s also one of the few paths to absolute ruin as well. History is riddled with examples of traders and business owners alike who went from riches to rags because they had all their eggs in one basket.

 
Inflation is now raging, largely due to the record $trillions of new money the Federal Reserve has issued in monetary stimulus while keeping interest rates at historic lows.
As central banks around the world conduct the greatest monetary experiment in human history in real-time around us, it's important to keep the Bullwhip Effect in mind.
The mathematical odds that the world's many central planners, with their manifold partners in distributing fiat liquidity, are going to have the finesse to successfully steer their ships to safety through the shoals of inflation and deflation that threaten on either side, are very low. And that's before taking into account the unintended consequences of their more extreme measures.
Bottom line: If another liquidity crisis hits (which many of the experts I interview every week on this program worry is a real possibility in the future), the one thing we can count on is that the response from our leaders will be ill-fitting to the situation.
Prepare accordingly.

 
To implement the right plan it takes 5 minutes (almost); to find the right plan it might take a life (hopefully less than that). The world is full of false prophets and investing does not have a great feedback loop: I might do the right thing and lose money or do something stupid and become a millionaire

 

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