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ETC Natural Gas (99 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
NEO_99
Forumer storico
May 24 (Bloomberg) -- Natural gas futures fell, heading for their first monthly decline since February, on speculation that demand from power plants won’t be strong enough to surpass rising supplies of the fuel.
Gas dropped for the first time in three days as the Energy Department forecasts record gas production in 2011. Output may rise 2.3 percent to 63.2 billion cubic feet a day this year, the department’s May 10 Short-Term Energy Outlook showed. Prices had risen as a drop in the number of active drilling rigs spurred speculation that production would decline.
“We’ve had a move down in gas rigs, but generally speaking we’re well above the 800 to 825 number where you’d actually see an impact to natural gas production,” said Carl Neill, an energy consultant at Risk Management Inc. in Atlanta. “The expectation is that we’ll have plenty of gas in storage at the end of the summer.
Natural gas for June delivery fell 0.1 cent to settle at $4.345 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The futures have declined 7.5 percent this month.
“Near-term demand growth aside, robust gas supply should remain a headwind for gas prices,” analysts including Cameron Horwitz at Canaccord Genuity in Houston said in a note to clients today.
Gas rigs fell by 8 to 866 last week, the lowest level since the week ended Jan. 29, 2010, according to data from Houston- based Baker Hughes Inc.
Stockpile Report
The Energy Department may report May 26 that 93 billion cubic feet of gas were added to inventories in the week ended May 20, according to the median of six analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The five-year average injection is 95 billion cubic feet.
Last year, stockpiles grew by 100 billion cubic feet for the week, department data show. Inventories totaled 1.919 trillion in the week ended May 13, 1.8 percent below the five- year average and 11 percent below year-earlier levels.
Inventories may rise near 3.9 trillion cubic feet at the end of October because of higher production and a mild summer relative to last year, the department said. Stockpiles totaled a record 3.84 trillion in November 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Gas Capacity
Demonstrated peak working gas capacity was 4.049 trillion as of April 2010, according to the department. The measure is the sum of the highest inventory level in each storage facility over the previous five years, excluding supplies needed to maintain adequate pressure.
Last week, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that 12 to 18 named storms, with winds of 39 miles per hour (63 kilometers per hour) or higher, would form during the six-month Atlantic season. Of those storms, six to 10 may become hurricanes with winds of at least 74 mph.
The average Atlantic hurricane season produces 11 named storms, according to the hurricane center.
Gas futures volume in electronic trading on the Nymex was 232,293 as of 2:44 p.m., compared with the three-month average of 308,000. Volume was 302,925 yesterday. Open interest was 927,174 contracts. The three-month average open interest is 944,000.
Gas dropped for the first time in three days as the Energy Department forecasts record gas production in 2011. Output may rise 2.3 percent to 63.2 billion cubic feet a day this year, the department’s May 10 Short-Term Energy Outlook showed. Prices had risen as a drop in the number of active drilling rigs spurred speculation that production would decline.
“We’ve had a move down in gas rigs, but generally speaking we’re well above the 800 to 825 number where you’d actually see an impact to natural gas production,” said Carl Neill, an energy consultant at Risk Management Inc. in Atlanta. “The expectation is that we’ll have plenty of gas in storage at the end of the summer.
Natural gas for June delivery fell 0.1 cent to settle at $4.345 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The futures have declined 7.5 percent this month.
“Near-term demand growth aside, robust gas supply should remain a headwind for gas prices,” analysts including Cameron Horwitz at Canaccord Genuity in Houston said in a note to clients today.
Gas rigs fell by 8 to 866 last week, the lowest level since the week ended Jan. 29, 2010, according to data from Houston- based Baker Hughes Inc.
Stockpile Report
The Energy Department may report May 26 that 93 billion cubic feet of gas were added to inventories in the week ended May 20, according to the median of six analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The five-year average injection is 95 billion cubic feet.
Last year, stockpiles grew by 100 billion cubic feet for the week, department data show. Inventories totaled 1.919 trillion in the week ended May 13, 1.8 percent below the five- year average and 11 percent below year-earlier levels.
Inventories may rise near 3.9 trillion cubic feet at the end of October because of higher production and a mild summer relative to last year, the department said. Stockpiles totaled a record 3.84 trillion in November 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Gas Capacity
Demonstrated peak working gas capacity was 4.049 trillion as of April 2010, according to the department. The measure is the sum of the highest inventory level in each storage facility over the previous five years, excluding supplies needed to maintain adequate pressure.
Last week, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that 12 to 18 named storms, with winds of 39 miles per hour (63 kilometers per hour) or higher, would form during the six-month Atlantic season. Of those storms, six to 10 may become hurricanes with winds of at least 74 mph.
The average Atlantic hurricane season produces 11 named storms, according to the hurricane center.
Gas futures volume in electronic trading on the Nymex was 232,293 as of 2:44 p.m., compared with the three-month average of 308,000. Volume was 302,925 yesterday. Open interest was 927,174 contracts. The three-month average open interest is 944,000.
NEO_99
Forumer storico
sono fuori da tutto... ho praticamente solo liquidita' che uso per tradare future.. le uniche quote che ho, sono : 90 di SCOP e 65 di SWEA
mi sono innamorato del future sul DAX ..ma stasera mi ha tradito..ero in gain di 350 euro. ho chiuso la serata sotto di 100
.. a +350 ho detto mi fermo....ma se nn lego le mani....
NEO_99
Forumer storico
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Natural gas futures prices settled fractionally lower Tuesday as strong supplies snuffed out a rally spurred by forecasts for near-term warm temperatures across much of the U.S.
Prices had jumped more than 6%, or 25 cents a million British thermal units, in the prior two days on forecasts for above-normal temperatures from the Midwest through the East Coast. But the rally fizzled when gas couldn't break through a two-week high near $4.40/MMBtu.
June-delivery natural gas on the New York Mercantile Exchange settled down 0.1 cent at $4.345/MMBtu.
"The weather is getting warmer, that's what it's supposed to do at this time of year," said Ed Kennedy, senior vice president at INTL Hencorp Futures in Miami. "So what? There's plenty of gas."
Gene McGillian, a broker at Tradition Energy, said the weather issue has been neutralized by ample supply. He said U.S. natural gas inventory levels are expected to continue to rise, following the largest increase of the season a week ago, which pushed prices down to a six-week low.
"Until the summer cooling, and hurricane seasons kick in," McGillian said he expects volatile trading in a $4-to-$4.50 range. "When we get down to $4 it's pretty readily bought," he said. Prices haven't settled below $4/MMBtu since mid-March.
The National Weather Service said Monday afternoon that above-normal temperatures are expected across much of the nation from Texas to through the East Coast over the next six to 14 days to June 6. But traders said the market is well supplied to meet the short-term demand. Federal forecasters also said they expect the June 1 to Nov. 30 Atlantic hurricane season to have above-average activity. Strong storms in the U.S. Gulf have regularly, at least temporarily, impacted gas supplies.
Traders also said they will be on watch for economic indicators this week, for signs of stronger industrial demand. Data on U.S. durable goods order for April is due out Wednesday and is expected to show a 2.1% drop, after jumping a revised 4.1% in March, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of economists. U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product data, due Thursday, is expected show real GDP growth at a 2.2% annual rate, up from the earlier indication a month ago of 1.8% growth.
Prices had jumped more than 6%, or 25 cents a million British thermal units, in the prior two days on forecasts for above-normal temperatures from the Midwest through the East Coast. But the rally fizzled when gas couldn't break through a two-week high near $4.40/MMBtu.
June-delivery natural gas on the New York Mercantile Exchange settled down 0.1 cent at $4.345/MMBtu.
"The weather is getting warmer, that's what it's supposed to do at this time of year," said Ed Kennedy, senior vice president at INTL Hencorp Futures in Miami. "So what? There's plenty of gas."
Gene McGillian, a broker at Tradition Energy, said the weather issue has been neutralized by ample supply. He said U.S. natural gas inventory levels are expected to continue to rise, following the largest increase of the season a week ago, which pushed prices down to a six-week low.
"Until the summer cooling, and hurricane seasons kick in," McGillian said he expects volatile trading in a $4-to-$4.50 range. "When we get down to $4 it's pretty readily bought," he said. Prices haven't settled below $4/MMBtu since mid-March.
The National Weather Service said Monday afternoon that above-normal temperatures are expected across much of the nation from Texas to through the East Coast over the next six to 14 days to June 6. But traders said the market is well supplied to meet the short-term demand. Federal forecasters also said they expect the June 1 to Nov. 30 Atlantic hurricane season to have above-average activity. Strong storms in the U.S. Gulf have regularly, at least temporarily, impacted gas supplies.
Traders also said they will be on watch for economic indicators this week, for signs of stronger industrial demand. Data on U.S. durable goods order for April is due out Wednesday and is expected to show a 2.1% drop, after jumping a revised 4.1% in March, according to a Dow Jones Newswires survey of economists. U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product data, due Thursday, is expected show real GDP growth at a 2.2% annual rate, up from the earlier indication a month ago of 1.8% growth.
mavtop
Forumer storico
purtroppo il trading fa questo, a volte non ci accontenta mai, io ho fatto lo stesso col gas, portare a casa 120 euro in 3 giorni non e' da poco, poi non vendere per 0,005 di differenza e' da ........
Ora ho impostato il trailing stop
speriamo che non mi venda subito, solo che su fineco non e' che l'ho capito molto bene se e' attivo o meno, se vado su trading ed elenco tutti i movimenti mi da le azioni comprate con i 10 tick sul trailing, ma se vado sul book di quel "titolo" e vado in trailing non mi indica nulla, vabbe' vedremo se funziona
Ora ho impostato il trailing stop
speriamo che non mi venda subito, solo che su fineco non e' che l'ho capito molto bene se e' attivo o meno, se vado su trading ed elenco tutti i movimenti mi da le azioni comprate con i 10 tick sul trailing, ma se vado sul book di quel "titolo" e vado in trailing non mi indica nulla, vabbe' vedremo se funziona 
Zio paperone
Forumer attivo
Buongiorno a tutti,
riguardo a levnatgas attendiamo dati scorte...
riguardo a levnatgas attendiamo dati scorte...