paradossista
mediocrità strategica
In questo video si descrive come lavorano le aziende di private equity. E interessante come abbiano cambiato pelle negli ultimi 5-10 anni.
Ultima modifica:
Our choices have a messy confluence of influences ranging from the explicit (financial incentives) to the implicit (our own psychological wiring). It is impossible to ever understand precisely why we made a particular decision – it is just too complex.
A useful activity for any investor is to note down the major financial market issues that are in focus each week. After a year or so we can review these and realise how unworthy of our attention they were.
We are bombarded with information (noise) that encourages costly choices at the expense of our long-term goals.
Our attention is drawn towards things that are available (easily accessible) and salient (provoke some form of emotional response). For investors this means whatever narrative thread is being weaved around random and unpredictable fluctuations in market prices. This is a major problem as the things we are being constantly exposed to are exactly the things that most of us should be ignoring.
What we pay attention to tends to drive the decisions we make, and investors are persistently exposed to meaningless noise masquerading as meaningful information. We tend to perceive investment acumen in those individuals with an intimate knowledge of these daily market gyrations, but we have this entirely backwards – the ones with real skill are those who find ways to ignore it.
I owe you some sense of what the term “high-coupon” might mean. My rule of thumb is that if you trust the Fed to do what is necessary to hit 2.0% inflation over the longer term, and the US economy grows at just under 2.0% real, a 4% coupon on a 10 year bond affords both income and a portfolio buffer against periodic cyclical hits to growth. Even if you don’t agree with the numbers, this exposition might help frame things.