Indici Italia ........Analisi Tecnica UBS......Hindenburg Omen confermato su S&P500.....
- Creatore Discussione MM(mistermib)
- Data di Inizio
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Un centinaio leggono.....voi continuate a metterli..........se vi basta, vi ringrazio per tutti
storm
Forumer storico
serve il secondo cmq. Per ora siamo al primo che non vuol dire niente. Poi se ci sarà il secondo può non voler dire niente ancora.
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
rino555
Nuovo forumer
grazie Mr Mib,
comunque molto interessante ... nel report di primavera ci hanno preso molto bene .contraccambio con il report di quei grandissimi figl di put
di GS .. è uscito il giovedì prima di ferragosto.... e gira (stranamente) gratis sui forum USA ....
che dire ??? pare che qui si stanno tutti preparando a suonare la campana a morto ... la faccenda, però, mi puzza un pò o sono diventati tutti buoni e vogliono evitare perdite ai longer oppure sono sempre i soliti figli di put e lo vogliono mettere in ..ehmmm agli shorter ....
... bho ??? PS sempre fonte USA pare che l'HO sia pure stato ari-confermato .... ecc ecc.
Francisco
Forumer attivo
normalmente quanti giorni passano dall'uscita della notizia prima del crash,esiste una data certa o approssimativa?
MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
cio,guarda che dovrebbe essere scritto nel report, in ogni caso questi sono gli ultimicommenti dell'ideatore.......
Hindenburg Omen Creator Has Exited The Market
As we reported first, last week saw the second confirmation of the Hindenburg Omen, most recently sighted for the first time on August 12. Presumably this is an indication of putting one's money where one's mouth is (and away from the market).
From the WSJ:
The latest trigger has prompted the Omen’s creator, Jim Miekka, to exit the market. “I’m taking it seriously and I’m fully out of the market now,” Miekka, a blind mathematician, said in a telephone interview from his home in Surry, Maine. “I would’ve probably stayed in until the beginning of September,” depending on how the indicators varied. “That was my basic plan, until the Hindenburg came along.”
The Omen has been behind every market crash since 1987, but significant stock-market declines have followed only 25% of the time. So there’s a high likelihood that the Omen could be nothing more than a false signal.
But that isn’t stopping Miekka from taking any chances, especially as September, typically the market’s worst-performing month, sits only one week away.
“It’s sort of like a funnel cloud,” he said. “It doesn’t mean it’s going to crash, but it’s a high probability. You don’t get a tornado without a funnel cloud.” He added he’s not currently shorting anything, although he may look to short Nasdaq stock index futures in the next few weeks, “depending on how the technicals go.”
Despite the ominous forecast, there are some glimmers of hope. Miekka doesn’t expect to sit on the sidelines for very long. In fact, Miekka, who is an avid target shooter despite being blind, is looking at put volumes and various moving averages that will offer clues of when he will start buying again
MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
....aggiornamento di UBS, Hindenburg Omen e altre considerazioni...buona lettura...
MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
Third Hindenburg Omen Confirmation
The market is now down 3.4% from the August 12 open, when the first Hindenburg Omen was sighted, on route to validating the prediction of a 5% drop. However, in the process it continues getting worse and worse - today we just got a third H.O. confirmation, and a 4th standalone HO event, as the market seems to be getting ever more schizophrenic, with increasing new highs and new lows, while the undercurrent is one of ever increasing implied correlation as noted earlier, as ever more asset managers simply rely on levered beta "strategies" to redeem their year. Unlike 2009, however, this time the trick won't fly, as it appears the market's downside potential is finally starting to be
The market is now down 3.4% from the August 12 open, when the first Hindenburg Omen was sighted, on route to validating the prediction of a 5% drop. However, in the process it continues getting worse and worse - today we just got a third H.O. confirmation, and a 4th standalone HO event, as the market seems to be getting ever more schizophrenic, with increasing new highs and new lows, while the undercurrent is one of ever increasing implied correlation as noted earlier, as ever more asset managers simply rely on levered beta "strategies" to redeem their year. Unlike 2009, however, this time the trick won't fly, as it appears the market's downside potential is finally starting to be
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